Sat, Mar 15, 2025·TD Garden, Boston
Tampa Bay Lightning 6, Boston Bruins 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 100% of the time.
100%
BOS winsTBL wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
BOS forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TBL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Kucherov–Cirelli–Hagel | Gourde–Guentzel–Point | Bjorkstrand–Paul–Goncalves | Glendening–Girgensons–Bjorkstrand | Gourde–Guentzel–Cirelli | Glendening–Girgensons–Cirelli | Glendening–Girgensons–Goncalves | Glendening–Gourde–Girgensons | Kucherov–Paul–Hagel | Glendening–Girgensons–Guentzel | McDonagh–Cernak | Hedman–Moser | Perbix–Lilleberg | Raddysh–Lilleberg | Hedman–Raddysh | Perbix–Moser | Cernak–Lilleberg | Moser–Lilleberg | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pastrnak–Zacha–Geekie | 2:190.20–0.09 | 3:320.01–0.12 | 2:320.14–0.14 | 7:470.29–0.19 | 1:560.00–0.00 | 0:500.00–0.21 | 0:310.04–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Lindholm–Lauko–Khusnutdinov | 3:270.01–0.17 | 0:470.00–0.01 | 2:280.00–0.22 | 0:370.05–0.00 | 0:400.00–0.00 | 0:360.00–0.00 | 2:400.06–0.00 | 1:060.00–0.00 | 2:150.00–0.22 | 0:460.00–0.17 | 0:420.00–0.00 | 0:540.03–0.00 | ||||||
| Lettieri–Mittelstadt–Koepke | 0:390.00–0.10 | 3:340.00–0.06 | 0:560.00–0.11 | 1:090.00–0.00 | 0:470.00–0.00 | 0:420.00–0.02 | 2:070.00–0.00 | 2:550.00–0.20 | 0:340.00–0.00 | 1:380.00–0.00 | ||||||||
| Brown–Kastelic–Beecher | 1:450.00–0.00 | 0:360.04–0.00 | 1:090.00–0.05 | 0:450.00–0.13 | 0:370.00–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.00 | 2:260.04–0.21 | 0:490.00–0.05 | 1:080.00–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.00 | ||||||||
| Pastrnak–Geekie–Mittelstadt | 0:420.00–0.00 | 0:450.00–0.00 | 0:440.00–0.03 | |||||||||||||||
| Lettieri–Lauko–Khusnutdinov | 0:510.00–0.17 | 0:360.00–0.00 | 0:510.00–0.17 | 0:310.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||||
| Lettieri–Mittelstadt–Khusnutdinov | 0:410.00–0.01 | 0:300.00–0.07 | 0:430.00–0.01 | |||||||||||||||
| Pastrnak–Zacha–Khusnutdinov | 0:330.00–0.00 | 1:010.00–0.14 | ||||||||||||||||
| Lindholm–Lauko–Koepke | 0:570.00–0.24 | 0:590.00–0.24 | ||||||||||||||||
| Zadorov–Jokiharju | 6:480.14–0.60 | 4:090.04–0.34 | 3:030.11–0.05 | 0:370.00–0.03 | 1:160.05–0.00 | 3:120.11–0.17 | 6:420.11–0.17 | 2:040.00–0.44 | 2:080.14–0.01 | 0:530.00–0.19 | 0:460.00–0.03 | 0:380.00–0.00 | ||||||
| Peeke–Lohrei | 3:140.07–0.16 | 4:260.01–0.01 | 2:100.00–0.35 | 0:400.00–0.00 | 5:430.14–0.08 | 2:240.00–0.00 | 2:380.00–0.26 | 1:120.00–0.22 | 1:140.00–0.00 | 0:540.04–0.00 | ||||||||
| Wotherspoon–Mitchell | 0:370.00–0.18 | 1:000.00–0.32 | 2:170.04–0.11 | 0:450.00–0.13 | 0:330.00–0.00 | 0:530.00–0.00 | 1:530.04–0.18 | 0:570.00–0.21 | 1:050.00–0.03 | 1:050.00–0.00 | 1:330.00–0.29 | 0:550.00–0.08 | ||||||
| Wotherspoon–Lohrei | 0:330.00–0.18 | 0:330.00–0.00 | 1:090.00–0.14 | |||||||||||||||
| Peeke–Mitchell | 0:580.00–0.24 | 1:040.00–0.24 | ||||||||||||||||
| Mitchell–Lohrei | 0:500.00–0.00 | 1:060.00–0.07 | ||||||||||||||||
| Jokiharju–Lohrei | 0:480.00–0.10 | 0:310.00–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
BOSTBLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Victor HedmanTBL | 27 | 23:14 | 0:52 | 2:21 | 8 | 2 |
 Mason LohreiBOS | 24 | 22:47 | 0:57 | 2:23 | 2 | 1 |
 Henri JokiharjuBOS | 28 | 22:46 | 0:49 | 1:56 | 2 | 5 |
 Anthony CirelliTBL | 25 | 22:00 | 0:53 | 1:39 | 3 | 1 |
 David PastrnakBOS | 21 | 21:27 | 1:01 | 1:55 | 5 | 0 |
 Brandon HagelTBL | 25 | 21:08 | 0:51 | 1:35 | 4 | 3 |
 Nikita ZadorovBOS | 27 | 20:57 | 0:47 | 1:35 | 4 | 5 |
 Andrew PeekeBOS | 21 | 20:42 | 0:59 | 2:13 | 1 | 1 |
 Jake GuentzelTBL | 22 | 20:14 | 0:55 | 2:08 | 7 | 2 |
 Nikita KucherovTBL | 22 | 19:25 | 0:53 | 2:53 | 3 | 0 |
 Morgan GeekieBOS | 19 | 19:11 | 1:01 | 1:49 | 5 | 0 |
 Pavel ZachaBOS | 20 | 18:59 | 0:57 | 1:58 | 4 | 3 |
 J.J. MoserTBL | 25 | 18:13 | 0:44 | 1:12 | 4 | 2 |
 Elias LindholmBOS | 19 | 18:04 | 0:57 | 2:47 | 2 | 3 |
 Erik CernakTBL | 25 | 18:04 | 0:43 | 1:18 | 2 | 3 |
 Ryan McDonaghTBL | 25 | 17:55 | 0:43 | 1:11 | 3 | 3 |
 Brayden PointTBL | 20 | 17:28 | 0:52 | 2:05 | 6 | 2 |
 Yanni GourdeTBL | 22 | 17:26 | 0:48 | 1:14 | 7 | 2 |
 Casey MittelstadtBOS | 19 | 16:51 | 0:53 | 1:25 | 2 | 2 |
 Marat KhusnutdinovBOS | 20 | 16:35 | 0:50 | 1:25 | 1 | 2 |
 Jakub LaukoBOS | 21 | 15:54 | 0:45 | 1:21 | 2 | 2 |
 Emil LillebergTBL | 20 | 15:34 | 0:47 | 1:25 | 1 | 0 |
 Ian MitchellBOS | 20 | 15:33 | 0:47 | 1:23 | 0 | 3 |
 Parker WotherspoonBOS | 18 | 15:11 | 0:51 | 1:36 | 0 | 4 |
 Vinni LettieriBOS | 19 | 14:12 | 0:45 | 1:17 | 2 | 2 |
 Oliver BjorkstrandTBL | 18 | 13:59 | 0:47 | 2:19 | 4 | 1 |
 Nick PaulTBL | 18 | 13:58 | 0:47 | 1:12 | 5 | 1 |
 Gage GoncalvesTBL | 20 | 13:48 | 0:41 | 1:30 | 2 | 1 |
 Cole KoepkeBOS | 16 | 11:56 | 0:45 | 1:20 | 3 | 2 |
 Darren RaddyshTBL | 16 | 11:27 | 0:43 | 1:10 | 4 | 0 |
 Nick PerbixTBL | 16 | 11:25 | 0:43 | 1:13 | 0 | 0 |
 Zemgus GirgensonsTBL | 14 | 11:24 | 0:49 | 1:07 | 1 | 0 |
 Luke GlendeningTBL | 16 | 11:19 | 0:42 | 1:06 | 1 | 2 |
 John BeecherBOS | 15 | 11:01 | 0:44 | 1:06 | 1 | 6 |
 Patrick BrownBOS | 12 | 8:12 | 0:41 | 1:06 | 0 | 5 |
 Mark KastelicBOS | 12 | 7:43 | 0:39 | 1:01 | 0 | 4 |