Fri, Oct 24, 2025·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Toronto Maple Leafs 3, Buffalo Sabres 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 56% of the time.
35%
9%
9%
46%
BUF winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Oliver Ekman-LarssonD · #95 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 25:50 | 0.13 | 81.1% | +29.2 |
 Auston MatthewsC · #34 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 23:48 | 0.28 | 54.7% | +16.0 |
 Brandon CarloD · #25 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 21:31 | 0.01 | 59.0% | +13.2 |
 Jake McCabeD · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20:32 | 0.02 | 18.6% | 0.0 |
 John TavaresC · #91 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 3 | 19:16 | 0.26 | 39.9% | +16.0 |
 Matthew KniesLW · #23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 19:03 | 0.34 | 47.1% | 0.0 |
 Bobby McMannC · #74 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 18:09 | 0.00 | 39.7% | 0.0 |
 William NylanderRW · #88 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 17:39 | 0.29 | 60.4% | +13.2 |
 Simon BenoitD · #2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:53 | 0.00 | 9.0% | 0.0 |
 Nicolas RoyC · #55 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 15:11 | 0.35 | 57.0% | +13.1 |
 Matias MaccelliLW · #63 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 14:40 | 0.39 | 33.9% | 0.0 |
 Max DomiC · #11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 14:16 | 0.24 | 58.6% | 0.0 |
 Philippe MyersD · #51 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 3 | 14:05 | 0.12 | 53.1% | 0.0 |
 Dakota MermisD · #36 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 13:12 | 0.04 | 34.4% | 0.0 |
 Dakota JoshuaC · #81 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12:36 | 0.27 | 78.6% | +13.1 |
 Easton CowanRW · #53 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11:05 | 0.07 | 53.1% | +13.1 |
 Steven LorentzC · #18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 10:49 | 0.01 | 29.9% | 0.0 |
 Calle JarnkrokC · #19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 10:16 | 0.00 | 20.3% | 0.0 |
 Anthony Stolarz#41 | L | 30 | 25 | 5 | .833 | 2.51 | −2.5 | 57:09 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Mattias SamuelssonD · #23 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +4 | 3 | 23:38 | 0.22 | 71.3% | +26.8 |
 Conor TimminsD · #21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23:37 | 0.11 | 45.0% | 0.0 |
 Bowen ByramD · #4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21:25 | 0.03 | 40.1% | +23.5 |
 Rasmus DahlinD · #26 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20:28 | 0.01 | 42.3% | +13.8 |
 Zach BensonLW · #6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 20:25 | 0.37 | 53.3% | +13.7 |
 Ryan McLeodC · #71 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 20:03 | 0.16 | 83.6% | +13.0 |
 Owen PowerD · #25 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 20:02 | 0.00 | 58.5% | +8.7 |
 Alex TuchRW · #89 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 19:34 | 0.21 | 76.0% | +21.7 |
 Tage ThompsonC · #72 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 5 | 19:06 | 0.40 | 55.7% | +37.2 |
 Jiri KulichC · #20 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 1 | 16:50 | 0.12 | 53.8% | +37.2 |
 Jack QuinnRW · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 14:55 | 0.08 | 37.4% | 0.0 |
 Peyton KrebsC · #19 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13:43 | 0.12 | 43.0% | +13.8 |
 Jason ZuckerLW · #17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 12:47 | 0.15 | 25.5% | 0.0 |
 Noah OstlundC · #86 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 12:28 | 0.00 | 18.4% | 0.0 |
 Beck MalenstynLW · #29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 12:14 | 0.44 | 38.2% | 0.0 |
 Josh DoanRW · #91 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 11:57 | 0.10 | 85.1% | 0.0 |
 Zach MetsaD · #73 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 9:41 | 0.00 | 29.0% | 0.0 |
 Tyson KozakC · #48 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1:49 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 |
 Alex Lyon#34 | W | 34 | 31 | 3 | .912 | 2.83 | −0.2 | 60:00 |