Tue, Oct 28, 2025·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Calgary Flames 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 60% of the time.
52%
8%
9%
31%
TOR winsCGY wins
Calgary Flames
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Rasmus AnderssonD · #4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 25:48 | 0.06 | 31.9% | +20.1 |
 Nazem KadriC · #91 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 23:33 | 0.52 | 73.3% | +14.9 |
 Kevin BahlD · #7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 22:58 | 0.00 | 27.1% | 0.0 |
 Morgan FrostC · #16 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 21:37 | 0.27 | 74.8% | +14.9 |
 Jonathan HuberdeauLW · #10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 21:15 | 0.38 | 68.5% | +14.9 |
 MacKenzie WeegarD · #52 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20:50 | 0.14 | 78.8% | 0.0 |
 Jake BeanD · #24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:48 | 0.06 | 78.9% | 0.0 |
 Blake ColemanLW · #20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 16:34 | 0.29 | 36.5% | 0.0 |
 Mikael BacklundC · #11 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 16:27 | 0.01 | 30.5% | +42.2 |
 Joel FarabeeLW · #86 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 16:04 | 0.21 | 53.8% | +20.1 |
 Zayne ParekhD · #19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:54 | 0.02 | 54.8% | 0.0 |
 Yegor SharangovichC · #17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:18 | 0.17 | 53.5% | 0.0 |
 Connor ZaryC · #47 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:43 | 0.17 | 52.0% | 0.0 |
 Samuel HonzekLW · #29 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11:41 | 0.20 | 39.8% | +42.2 |
 Joel HanleyD · #44 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 11:39 | 0.03 | 65.3% | 0.0 |
 Matt CoronatoRW · #27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:21 | 0.00 | 30.0% | 0.0 |
 Justin KirklandC · #23 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 8:38 | 0.09 | 55.6% | +20.1 |
 Ryan LombergLW · #70 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:06 | 0.13 | 52.9% | 0.0 |
 Dustin Wolf#32 | L | 37 | 33 | 4 | .892 | 3.18 | −0.8 | 58:34 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Brandon CarloD · #25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 24:01 | 0.32 | 42.6% | 0.0 |
 Jake McCabeD · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 23:05 | 0.05 | 46.2% | 0.0 |
 Auston MatthewsC · #34 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 21:03 | 0.43 | 36.9% | 0.0 |
 Matthew KniesLW · #23 | 2 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 5 | 21:02 | 0.84 | 83.6% | +100.8 |
 Morgan RiellyD · #44 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 19:35 | 0.22 | 53.5% | 0.0 |
 William NylanderRW · #88 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 18:49 | 0.00 | 53.7% | +20.3 |
 John TavaresC · #91 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 5 | 18:13 | 0.64 | 77.9% | +47.8 |
 Oliver Ekman-LarssonD · #95 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:19 | 0.04 | 42.0% | 0.0 |
 Simon BenoitD · #2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:22 | 0.02 | 40.4% | 0.0 |
 Philippe MyersD · #51 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 15:18 | 0.04 | 53.5% | 0.0 |
 Steven LorentzC · #18 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 15:15 | 0.24 | 43.3% | +16.9 |
 Bobby McMannC · #74 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14:22 | 0.25 | 36.9% | 0.0 |
 Nicolas RoyC · #55 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:05 | 0.05 | 28.3% | 0.0 |
 Max DomiC · #11 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12:25 | 0.22 | 46.3% | +64.7 |
 Nick RobertsonLW · #89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 12:09 | 0.02 | 42.6% | 0.0 |
 Matias MaccelliLW · #63 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 11:47 | 0.04 | 46.2% | +16.9 |
 Dakota JoshuaC · #81 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:16 | 0.04 | 6.8% | 0.0 |
 Easton CowanRW · #53 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 9:54 | 0.00 | 30.9% | 0.0 |
 Anthony Stolarz#41 | W | 29 | 26 | 3 | .897 | 2.76 | −0.2 | 60:00 |