Tue, Oct 28, 2025·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Calgary Flames 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 60% of the time.
52%
8%
9%
31%
TOR winsCGY wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
TOR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against CGY's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Kadri–Huberdeau–Frost | Backlund–Coleman–Honzek | Farabee–Sharangovich–Zary | Kirkland–Lomberg–Coronato | Farabee–Zary–Coronato | Kirkland–Lomberg–Farabee | Andersson–Bahl | Weegar–Bean | Hanley–Parekh | Bahl–Parekh | Weegar–Hanley | Andersson–Bean | Bean–Parekh | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nylander–Matthews–McMann | 4:070.03–0.43 | 3:090.27–0.08 | 0:340.00–0.00 | 3:440.37–0.28 | 4:090.03–0.35 | 0:410.00–0.00 | 0:520.02–0.00 | ||||||
| Domi–Lorentz–Robertson | 1:210.00–0.21 | 2:050.14–0.20 | 1:030.06–0.00 | 1:350.00–0.00 | 0:310.00–0.08 | 1:540.02–0.04 | 2:590.00–0.20 | 2:120.19–0.12 | 0:460.15–0.13 | ||||
| Tavares–Maccelli–Knies | 2:470.04–0.00 | 0:380.00–0.01 | 1:500.02–0.09 | 0:530.00–0.00 | 1:060.04–0.00 | 4:470.17–0.00 | 1:250.00–0.09 | 0:550.00–0.01 | |||||
| Joshua–Roy–Cowan | 1:570.00–0.11 | 0:530.00–0.08 | 1:460.04–0.08 | 0:430.00–0.00 | 0:570.00–0.08 | 1:530.00–0.34 | 0:520.04–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.00 | 0:320.00–0.00 | ||||
| Tavares–Nylander–Knies | 0:440.24–0.00 | 0:350.07–0.00 | 0:480.24–0.00 | 0:510.07–0.00 | |||||||||
| Roy–Knies–Cowan | 0:490.11–0.00 | 0:490.11–0.00 | 0:390.00–0.06 | ||||||||||
| McCabe–Carlo | 4:490.00–0.40 | 1:450.24–0.00 | 1:220.12–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.00 | 0:350.07–0.00 | 4:140.34–0.28 | 3:450.17–0.03 | 0:390.00–0.06 | 0:540.15–0.14 | 0:410.00–0.09 | 1:130.00–0.00 | ||
| Rielly–Myers | 2:120.03–0.12 | 3:100.39–0.17 | 2:170.15–0.17 | 1:140.00–0.09 | 4:000.29–0.00 | 3:570.07–0.43 | 2:320.19–0.12 | 1:100.08–0.00 | |||||
| Ekman-Larsson–Benoit | 0:470.09–0.00 | 1:530.00–0.05 | 1:140.00–0.09 | 0:580.00–0.00 | 0:490.04–0.00 | 2:500.22–0.04 | 1:430.02–0.09 | 1:090.12–0.15 | 1:230.00–0.01 | ||||
| Ekman-Larsson–Carlo | 3:280.02–0.27 | 1:380.02–0.00 | 1:540.00–0.15 | ||||||||||
| McCabe–Benoit | 1:260.02–0.16 | 0:410.00–0.08 | 1:480.00–0.27 | 0:410.00–0.08 | |||||||||
| Ekman-Larsson–McCabe | 0:310.01–0.00 | 0:310.00–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Ekman-Larsson–Rielly | 0:300.00–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
TORCGYFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Rasmus AnderssonCGY | 35 | 25:48 | 0:44 | 1:37 | 2 | 5 |
 Brandon CarloTOR | 29 | 24:01 | 0:50 | 2:18 | 2 | 6 |
 Nazem KadriCGY | 24 | 23:33 | 0:59 | 2:04 | 3 | 2 |
 Jake McCabeTOR | 30 | 23:05 | 0:46 | 2:19 | 2 | 7 |
 Kevin BahlCGY | 31 | 22:58 | 0:44 | 2:10 | 1 | 5 |
 Morgan FrostCGY | 23 | 21:37 | 0:56 | 2:05 | 4 | 4 |
 Jonathan HuberdeauCGY | 26 | 21:15 | 0:49 | 1:40 | 4 | 2 |
 Auston MatthewsTOR | 21 | 21:03 | 1:00 | 2:04 | 7 | 5 |
 Matthew KniesTOR | 22 | 21:02 | 0:57 | 2:04 | 5 | 3 |
 MacKenzie WeegarCGY | 33 | 20:50 | 0:38 | 1:16 | 0 | 9 |
 Morgan RiellyTOR | 24 | 19:35 | 0:49 | 1:47 | 7 | 0 |
 William NylanderTOR | 19 | 18:49 | 0:59 | 1:57 | 8 | 2 |
 Jake BeanCGY | 28 | 18:48 | 0:40 | 1:19 | 1 | 4 |
 John TavaresTOR | 21 | 18:13 | 0:52 | 1:50 | 6 | 1 |
 Oliver Ekman-LarssonTOR | 27 | 17:19 | 0:38 | 1:02 | 6 | 1 |
 Blake ColemanCGY | 22 | 16:34 | 0:45 | 1:19 | 1 | 10 |
 Mikael BacklundCGY | 22 | 16:27 | 0:45 | 1:17 | 1 | 10 |
 Joel FarabeeCGY | 22 | 16:04 | 0:44 | 1:14 | 0 | 2 |
 Zayne ParekhCGY | 22 | 15:54 | 0:43 | 1:31 | 3 | 0 |
 Simon BenoitTOR | 24 | 15:22 | 0:38 | 1:16 | 1 | 0 |
 Philippe MyersTOR | 23 | 15:18 | 0:40 | 1:39 | 2 | 0 |
 Steven LorentzTOR | 19 | 15:15 | 0:48 | 1:21 | 2 | 1 |
 Bobby McMannTOR | 16 | 14:22 | 0:54 | 2:04 | 3 | 2 |
 Nicolas RoyTOR | 18 | 14:05 | 0:47 | 1:37 | 0 | 1 |
 Max DomiTOR | 14 | 12:25 | 0:53 | 1:21 | 3 | 0 |
 Yegor SharangovichCGY | 17 | 12:18 | 0:43 | 1:08 | 0 | 0 |
 Nick RobertsonTOR | 15 | 12:09 | 0:49 | 1:41 | 4 | 0 |
 Matias MaccelliTOR | 16 | 11:47 | 0:44 | 1:19 | 2 | 0 |
 Connor ZaryCGY | 17 | 11:43 | 0:41 | 1:09 | 0 | 0 |
 Samuel HonzekCGY | 19 | 11:41 | 0:37 | 0:58 | 1 | 5 |
 Joel HanleyCGY | 25 | 11:39 | 0:28 | 1:05 | 0 | 4 |
 Matt CoronatoCGY | 14 | 11:21 | 0:49 | 1:28 | 3 | 3 |
 Dakota JoshuaTOR | 16 | 10:16 | 0:39 | 1:08 | 0 | 2 |
 Easton CowanTOR | 12 | 9:54 | 0:50 | 1:32 | 0 | 0 |
 Justin KirklandCGY | 14 | 8:38 | 0:37 | 1:17 | 0 | 4 |
 Ryan LombergCGY | 12 | 8:06 | 0:41 | 0:55 | 0 | 2 |