Sat, Dec 20, 2025·Benchmark International Arena, Tampa
Carolina Hurricanes 4, Tampa Bay Lightning 6
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 81% of the time.
75%
12%
TBL winsCAR wins
Carolina Hurricanes
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 K'Andre MillerD · #19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 21:28 | 0.04 | 22.1% | 0.0 |
 Sebastian AhoC · #20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 21:19 | 0.11 | 6.2% | 0.0 |
 Jalen ChatfieldD · #5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 19:59 | 0.02 | 17.2% | 0.0 |
 Alexander NikishinD · #21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 19:45 | 0.00 | 61.3% | 0.0 |
 Nikolaj EhlersLW · #27 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −3 | 1 | 19:36 | 0.07 | 27.8% | +12.1 |
 Jackson BlakeRW · #53 | 1 | 0 | 1 | −3 | 1 | 19:25 | 0.05 | 9.3% | +12.1 |
 Andrei SvechnikovRW · #37 | 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 18:12 | 0.39 | 17.8% | +21.8 |
 Shayne GostisbehereD · #4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 1 | 18:11 | 0.04 | 27.1% | +12.1 |
 Sean WalkerD · #26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 18:05 | 0.11 | 29.5% | 0.0 |
 Logan StankovenC · #22 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 16:22 | 0.21 | 25.7% | +9.4 |
 Taylor HallLW · #71 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 15:52 | 0.31 | 17.6% | 0.0 |
 Jordan StaalC · #11 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 15:08 | 0.00 | 42.0% | +14.8 |
 Eric RobinsonLW · #50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13:50 | 0.17 | 25.4% | +14.8 |
 Mike ReillyD · #6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 13:45 | 0.01 | 13.5% | 0.0 |
 Bradly NadeauLW · #29 | 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 4 | 13:06 | 0.31 | 67.6% | +9.4 |
 Mark JankowskiLW · #77 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 10:55 | 0.00 | 42.2% | +21.8 |
 Jesperi KotkaniemiC · #82 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 10:06 | 0.00 | 40.4% | +21.8 |
 William CarrierLW · #28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:50 | 0.00 | 23.2% | 0.0 |
 Pyotr Kochetkov#52 | L | 28 | 23 | 5 | .821 | 3.44 | −1.6 | 59:06 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Darren RaddyshD · #43 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 23:06 | 0.33 | 79.2% | 0.0 |
 J.J. MoserD · #90 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 4 | 22:55 | 0.12 | 75.4% | +34.7 |
 Anthony CirelliC · #71 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 22:30 | 0.16 | 80.5% | 0.0 |
 Ryan McDonaghD · #27 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 1 | 19:34 | 0.20 | 84.1% | +24.5 |
 Nikita KucherovRW · #86 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 19:25 | 0.14 | 86.1% | +14.8 |
 Jake GuentzelC · #59 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 5 | 19:19 | 0.95 | 61.1% | +37.3 |
 Brayden PointC · #21 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18:25 | 0.40 | 81.8% | +14.8 |
 Max CrozierD · #24 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16:42 | 0.01 | 38.3% | +9.3 |
 Charle-Edouard D'AstousD · #51 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 0 | 16:42 | 0.00 | 88.3% | +36.6 |
 Yanni GourdeC · #37 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 16:13 | 0.49 | 89.3% | +19.7 |
 Declan CarlileD · #67 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:22 | 0.04 | 49.2% | 0.0 |
 Zemgus GirgensonsC · #28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 13:44 | 0.06 | 78.5% | 0.0 |
 Oliver BjorkstrandRW · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:01 | 0.00 | 61.1% | 0.0 |
 Nick PaulLW · #20 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12:50 | 0.28 | 64.2% | +34.7 |
 Pontus HolmbergRW · #29 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 12:26 | 0.21 | 79.7% | +21.8 |
 Dominic JamesC · #17 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 0 | 10:44 | 0.00 | 66.9% | +28.9 |
 Gage GoncalvesC · #93 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 10:18 | 0.20 | 55.0% | +9.3 |
 Jack FinleyC · #62 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 8:19 | 0.27 | 70.2% | +19.7 |
 Andrei Vasilevskiy#88 | W | 22 | 18 | 4 | .818 | 1.85 | −2.2 | 60:00 |