Wed, Dec 31, 2025·Honda Center, Anaheim
Tampa Bay Lightning 4, Anaheim Ducks 3 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 59% of the time.
33%
8%
9%
50%
ANA winsTBL wins
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 6 | 26:08 | 0.40 | 58.4% | +64.8 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 24:57 | 0.10 | 58.4% | +15.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 2 | 20:06 | 0.14 | 68.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 6 | 19:14 | 0.37 | 64.9% | +89.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 1 | 18:48 | 0.10 | 49.5% | +24.3 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 18:29 | 0.45 | 48.9% | +44.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 18:28 | 0.00 | 45.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 18:00 | 0.96 | 62.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 17:45 | 0.30 | 48.9% | +20.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:01 | 0.16 | 56.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:10 | 0.07 | 47.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:55 | 0.04 | 38.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:28 | 0.08 | 50.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 14:27 | 0.00 | 42.2% | +20.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:46 | 0.00 | 32.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:35 | 0.08 | 0.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 11:30 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 8:19 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| W | 28 | 25 | 3 | .893 | 2.74 | −0.3 | 62:47 |
Anaheim Ducks
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 25:42 | 0.22 | 50.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 5 | 25:27 | 0.12 | 27.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 22:31 | 0.05 | 45.2% | +27.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:28 | 0.11 | 38.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 18:27 | 0.52 | 59.1% | +27.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 18:26 | 0.30 | 34.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 18:03 | 0.43 | 56.5% | +22.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 17:57 | 0.20 | 31.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:52 | 0.03 | 34.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:48 | 0.26 | 59.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:26 | 0.13 | 65.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 15:46 | 0.07 | 55.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 15:29 | 0.00 | 68.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:45 | 0.00 | 45.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:39 | 0.03 | 72.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:24 | 0.14 | 67.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8:01 | 0.00 | 42.3% | +19.2 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7:22 | 0.12 | 45.7% | +19.2 |
| O | 29 | 25 | 4 | .862 | 3.25 | −0.7 | 62:47 |