Thu, Jan 1, 2026·Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles
Tampa Bay Lightning 5, Los Angeles Kings 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 72% of the time.
21%
8%
64%
LAK winsTBL wins
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 0 | 24:55 | 0.07 | 64.2% | +34.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 24:49 | 0.01 | 71.0% | +29.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 21:39 | 0.00 | 47.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 2 | 20:51 | 1.06 | 69.7% | +64.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 20:13 | 0.01 | 57.6% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 5 | 18:56 | 0.77 | 62.9% | +43.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 18:32 | 0.30 | 62.9% | +45.2 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 17:44 | 0.23 | 62.0% | +51.7 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 4 | 17:13 | 0.57 | 75.1% | +82.9 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 16:50 | 0.22 | 82.7% | +37.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 15:18 | 0.00 | 12.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:25 | 0.00 | 40.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:24 | 0.00 | 14.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:55 | 0.07 | 14.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:24 | 0.00 | 51.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 10:21 | 0.27 | 46.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 9:58 | 0.14 | 40.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 9:23 | 0.00 | 46.9% | 0.0 |
| W | 20 | 17 | 3 | .850 | 2.47 | −0.5 | 60:00 |
Los Angeles Kings
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 22:15 | 0.00 | 41.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 21:35 | 0.00 | 44.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 20:20 | 0.13 | 37.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | −3 | 3 | 19:22 | 0.58 | 38.2% | +40.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 19:19 | 0.06 | 26.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 19:01 | 0.27 | 50.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 18:37 | 0.09 | 28.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:25 | 0.23 | 43.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:53 | 0.00 | 34.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 16:50 | 0.01 | 60.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | −2 | 1 | 16:47 | 0.17 | 45.6% | +40.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 15:49 | 0.00 | 38.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 15:45 | 0.44 | 47.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:45 | 0.00 | 45.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 15:11 | 0.20 | 35.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11:29 | 0.21 | 92.4% | +55.2 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 7:47 | 0.07 | 80.0% | +14.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 7:22 | 0.00 | 83.5% | 0.0 |
| L | 23 | 19 | 4 | .826 | 2.88 | −1.1 | 59:46 |