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Ice Lab

Thu, Jan 1, 2026·Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles

Tampa Bay Lightning 5, Los Angeles Kings 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 72% of the time.

LAK winsTBL wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

LAK forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TBL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Kucherov–Point–GoncalvesGourde–Girgensons–HolmbergGuentzel–Cirelli–HagelBjorkstrand–Paul–JamesKucherov–Guentzel–PointKucherov–Cirelli–HagelGuentzel–Point–GoncalvesKucherov–Point–HagelRaddysh–MoserCernak–D'AstousCrozier–CarlileRaddysh–D'AstousCernak–MoserCrozier–MoserD'Astous–Crozier
Fiala–Turcotte–Kuzmenko2:310.00–0.263:140.05–0.072:120.17–0.172:370.16–0.091:400.04–0.225:130.44–0.094:090.01–0.09
Kopitar–Kempe–Laferriere1:190.09–0.003:440.02–0.003:140.07–0.280:430.03–0.000:540.06–0.004:290.10–0.284:100.00–0.181:380.15–0.000:360.00–0.00
Armia–Foegele–Byfield3:240.02–0.341:180.35–0.002:280.07–0.081:050.04–0.000:560.00–0.005:030.04–0.411:410.07–0.001:290.37–0.000:480.00–0.000:480.00–0.22
Perry–Malott–Helenius0:580.00–0.000:380.00–0.002:220.07–0.001:300.00–0.002:010.07–0.00
Kempe–Byfield–Laferriere0:330.00–0.000:430.09–0.000:320.00–0.02
Kopitar–Fiala–Kempe
Perry–Turcotte–Malott0:450.00–0.000:450.00–0.00
Doughty–Anderson5:390.00–0.242:150.04–0.004:050.17–0.131:000.00–0.000:430.03–0.000:480.00–0.006:370.07–0.244:470.17–0.003:030.00–0.051:310.00–0.00
Edmundson–Clarke1:550.18–0.044:550.03–0.071:300.00–0.303:080.03–0.230:430.06–0.003:500.03–0.353:450.00–0.193:170.03–0.171:150.15–0.021:060.10–0.00
Dumoulin–Ceci2:370.00–0.331:040.35–0.004:120.14–0.192:380.24–0.090:530.01–0.003:500.01–0.331:560.23–0.093:060.49–0.070:450.00–0.001:120.00–0.000:510.00–0.010:510.00–0.00
Dumoulin–Clarke0:490.00–0.000:430.11–0.000:450.00–0.00
Edmundson–Ceci0:370.00–0.00
Doughty–Clarke0:560.00–0.000:500.00–0.00
Doughty–Edmundson0:450.00–0.000:390.00–0.00
Anderson–Clarke0:350.16–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndKempe FKopitar FLaferriere FArmia FByfield FFoegele FTurcotte FFiala FKuzmenko FPerry FMalott FHelenius FEdmundson DClarke DAnderson DDoughty DDumoulin DCeci DKuemper GGirgensons FHolmberg FGourde FGuentzel FHagel FCirelli FGoncalves FKucherov FPoint FJames FPaul FBjorkstrand FD'Astous DCernak DRaddysh DMoser DCarlile DCrozier DJohansson G
LAKTBLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Darren RaddyshTBL2624:550:581:4543
J.J. MoserTBL2424:491:021:4734
Drew DoughtyLAK2522:150:531:3813
Charle-Edouard D'AstousTBL2521:390:521:2931
Mikey AndersonLAK2321:350:561:3214
Nikita KucherovTBL2520:510:501:45101
Brandt ClarkeLAK2520:200:491:4051
Erik CernakTBL2620:130:471:4014
Kevin FialaLAK2019:220:581:5552
Joel EdmundsonLAK2319:190:501:5123
Quinton ByfieldLAK2319:010:501:5934
Brayden PointTBL2318:560:491:43101
Adrian KempeLAK2018:370:561:2712
Brandon HagelTBL2018:320:561:2513
Jake GuentzelTBL1917:440:561:3552
Alex LaferriereLAK2017:250:521:2712
Anthony CirelliTBL2117:130:491:2533
Anze KopitarLAK2116:530:481:1212
Brian DumoulinLAK2016:500:511:4911
Gage GoncalvesTBL2016:500:511:1240
Andrei KuzmenkoLAK1916:470:531:5462
Alex TurcotteLAK1915:490:501:3941
Warren FoegeleLAK2315:450:411:2713
Cody CeciLAK2015:450:471:4311
Yanni GourdeTBL1715:180:541:3711
Joel ArmiaLAK2115:110:431:1004
Max CrozierTBL1714:250:511:5811
Zemgus GirgensonsTBL1712:240:441:2211
Pontus HolmbergTBL1611:550:451:0311
Corey PerryLAK1411:290:491:3430
Declan CarlileTBL1611:240:431:2411
Oliver BjorkstrandTBL1310:210:481:1731
Nick PaulTBL139:580:461:1932
Dominic JamesTBL119:230:511:3021
Jeff MalottLAK117:470:421:2300
Samuel HeleniusLAK107:220:441:2000