Sat, Jan 10, 2026·Xfinity Mobile Arena, Philadelphia
Tampa Bay Lightning 7, Philadelphia Flyers 2
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 65% of the time.
27%
9%
9%
55%
PHI winsTBL wins
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Darren RaddyshD · #43 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +4 | 1 | 21:57 | 0.05 | 66.4% | +6.6 |
 J.J. MoserD · #90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 2 | 21:29 | 0.07 | 59.3% | 0.0 |
 Charle-Edouard D'AstousD · #51 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 1 | 20:28 | 0.10 | 93.3% | +31.3 |
 Max CrozierD · #24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:47 | 0.03 | 47.4% | 0.0 |
 Erik CernakD · #81 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 18:17 | 0.00 | 79.8% | 0.0 |
 Jake GuentzelC · #59 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 17:41 | 0.24 | 73.1% | +2.0 |
 Nick PaulLW · #20 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 17:02 | 0.32 | 73.4% | +16.3 |
 Yanni GourdeC · #37 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16:19 | 0.33 | 61.8% | +1.2 |
 Brandon HagelLW · #38 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 16:10 | 0.33 | 65.5% | +2.0 |
 Declan CarlileD · #67 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:39 | 0.13 | 37.8% | 0.0 |
 Pontus HolmbergRW · #29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15:28 | 0.32 | 61.7% | 0.0 |
 Anthony CirelliC · #71 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 0 | 15:24 | 0.05 | 73.1% | +18.3 |
 Gage GoncalvesC · #93 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +4 | 2 | 15:05 | 0.33 | 61.8% | +6.8 |
 Nikita KucherovRW · #86 | 2 | 2 | 4 | +4 | 2 | 14:24 | 0.32 | 63.8% | +36.6 |
 Oliver BjorkstrandRW · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:04 | 0.13 | 62.2% | 0.0 |
 Brayden PointC · #21 | 0 | 3 | 3 | +4 | 0 | 13:35 | 0.14 | 64.2% | +29.9 |
 Zemgus GirgensonsC · #28 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13:28 | 0.17 | 64.7% | +1.2 |
 Dominic JamesC · #17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:11 | 0.00 | 62.0% | 0.0 |
 Andrei Vasilevskiy#88 | W | 20 | 18 | 2 | .900 | 2.24 | +0.2 | 60:00 |
Philadelphia Flyers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Rasmus RistolainenD · #55 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 20:36 | 0.01 | 35.4% | 0.0 |
 Travis SanheimD · #6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 20:26 | 0.00 | 24.9% | 0.0 |
 Emil AndraeD · #36 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20:22 | 0.21 | 53.1% | 0.0 |
 Cam YorkD · #8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 2 | 19:55 | 0.05 | 27.2% | 0.0 |
 Noah JuulsenD · #47 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 19:05 | 0.00 | 35.9% | +14.8 |
 Nick SeelerD · #24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 18:33 | 0.02 | 26.0% | 0.0 |
 Christian DvorakC · #22 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 18:11 | 0.52 | 35.3% | +1.7 |
 Trevor ZegrasC · #46 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 17:11 | 0.10 | 44.2% | 0.0 |
 Matvei MichkovRW · #39 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 2 | 17:10 | 0.27 | 34.3% | 0.0 |
 Sean CouturierC · #14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −4 | 0 | 15:59 | 0.14 | 16.0% | 0.0 |
 Owen TippettRW · #74 | 1 | 0 | 1 | −4 | 3 | 15:56 | 0.39 | 18.8% | +1.7 |
 Nikita GrebenkinRW · #29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 15:40 | 0.16 | 46.2% | 0.0 |
 Noah CatesLW · #27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:22 | 0.04 | 46.7% | 0.0 |
 Denver BarkeyC · #52 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 0 | 14:30 | 0.00 | 24.9% | 0.0 |
 Carl GrundstromRW · #91 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 13:49 | 0.17 | 42.9% | 0.0 |
 Garnet HathawayRW · #19 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 11:37 | 0.09 | 37.0% | +14.8 |
 Rodrigo AbolsC · #18 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 11:10 | 0.06 | 24.5% | +14.8 |
 Nicolas DeslauriersLW · #44 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 10:28 | 0.00 | 41.4% | 0.0 |
 Samuel Ersson#33 | L | 23 | 16 | 7 | .696 | 3.07 | −3.9 | 60:00 |