Sat, Jan 10, 2026·Xfinity Mobile Arena, Philadelphia
Tampa Bay Lightning 7, Philadelphia Flyers 2
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 65% of the time.
27%
9%
9%
55%
PHI winsTBL wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
PHI forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TBL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Guentzel–Cirelli–Hagel | Gourde–Girgensons–Holmberg | Kucherov–Point–Goncalves | Bjorkstrand–Paul–James | Gourde–Paul–Holmberg | Bjorkstrand–Paul–Goncalves | Raddysh–Moser | Cernak–D'Astous | Crozier–Carlile | D'Astous–Crozier | Raddysh–D'Astous | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Couturier–Tippett–Barkey | 4:270.00–0.18 | 0:370.00–0.00 | 2:410.14–0.31 | 0:360.00–0.00 | 1:010.00–0.30 | 3:340.01–0.19 | 2:570.17–0.00 | 0:540.00–0.00 | |||
| Deslauriers–Hathaway–Abols | 0:400.00–0.00 | 0:330.05–0.00 | 5:100.06–0.15 | 0:380.00–0.00 | 1:380.05–0.00 | 6:210.06–0.15 | |||||
| Dvorak–Zegras–Michkov | 4:040.00–0.31 | 0:400.00–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.00 | 2:510.00–0.16 | 1:570.00–0.14 | 0:410.05–0.00 | |||||
| Zegras–Grebenkin–Michkov | 0:530.10–0.00 | 2:540.21–0.10 | 0:300.06–0.21 | 1:340.06–0.04 | 2:520.34–0.04 | 1:320.00–0.21 | |||||
| Dvorak–Grundstrom–Cates | 1:080.00–0.17 | 0:390.03–0.00 | 2:310.11–0.00 | 4:360.14–0.17 | |||||||
| Grundstrom–Cates–Grebenkin | 1:450.13–0.01 | 1:130.00–0.14 | 0:340.00–0.00 | 1:210.13–0.14 | 1:530.00–0.01 | ||||||
| Couturier–Grundstrom–Tippett | 0:450.01–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.00 | 1:280.01–0.07 | ||||||||
| Cates–Grebenkin–Michkov | 0:410.06–0.00 | 0:410.06–0.00 | |||||||||
| Juulsen–Andrae | 1:490.00–0.11 | 5:070.05–0.25 | 1:180.20–0.00 | 5:430.12–0.16 | 1:160.00–0.04 | 3:490.06–0.05 | 4:080.05–0.14 | 8:030.26–0.21 | 0:540.00–0.10 | ||
| Seeler–Ristolainen | 7:280.25–0.18 | 1:290.06–0.24 | 1:330.00–0.06 | 1:440.00–0.00 | 0:370.00–0.00 | 0:440.00–0.00 | 4:490.18–0.47 | 5:180.00–0.01 | 1:410.00–0.00 | 1:080.02–0.00 | |
| Sanheim–York | 1:070.00–0.00 | 2:300.07–0.07 | 6:090.11–0.38 | 1:290.00–0.09 | 7:020.18–0.26 | 2:520.01–0.27 | 2:360.02–0.00 | 0:450.00–0.00 | |||
| Ristolainen–Sanheim | 0:410.00–0.07 | 0:410.00–0.00 | 1:000.00–0.00 | ||||||||
| York–Andrae | |||||||||||
| Seeler–York | 1:020.00–0.18 | 0:400.00–0.18 |
Every shift, one row per player.
PHITBLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Darren RaddyshTBL | 23 | 21:57 | 0:57 | 1:32 | 2 | 3 |
 J.J. MoserTBL | 22 | 21:29 | 0:59 | 2:05 | 4 | 3 |
 Rasmus RistolainenPHI | 29 | 20:36 | 0:43 | 1:26 | 2 | 1 |
 Charle-Edouard D'AstousTBL | 27 | 20:28 | 0:45 | 1:28 | 2 | 2 |
 Travis SanheimPHI | 25 | 20:26 | 0:49 | 2:06 | 1 | 5 |
 Emil AndraePHI | 26 | 20:22 | 0:47 | 1:26 | 4 | 1 |
 Cam YorkPHI | 25 | 19:55 | 0:48 | 1:26 | 2 | 6 |
 Noah JuulsenPHI | 25 | 19:05 | 0:46 | 1:28 | 4 | 2 |
 Max CrozierTBL | 19 | 18:47 | 0:59 | 1:38 | 0 | 0 |
 Nick SeelerPHI | 27 | 18:33 | 0:41 | 1:09 | 2 | 1 |
 Erik CernakTBL | 26 | 18:17 | 0:42 | 1:26 | 1 | 4 |
 Christian DvorakPHI | 20 | 18:11 | 0:55 | 1:44 | 5 | 2 |
 Jake GuentzelTBL | 17 | 17:41 | 1:02 | 2:05 | 4 | 2 |
 Trevor ZegrasPHI | 21 | 17:11 | 0:49 | 1:21 | 5 | 1 |
 Matvei MichkovPHI | 20 | 17:10 | 0:52 | 1:23 | 5 | 1 |
 Nick PaulTBL | 18 | 17:02 | 0:57 | 1:40 | 3 | 3 |
 Yanni GourdeTBL | 20 | 16:19 | 0:49 | 1:25 | 0 | 4 |
 Brandon HagelTBL | 19 | 16:10 | 0:51 | 1:50 | 4 | 3 |
 Sean CouturierPHI | 20 | 15:59 | 0:48 | 1:05 | 1 | 3 |
 Owen TippettPHI | 19 | 15:56 | 0:50 | 2:07 | 2 | 3 |
 Nikita GrebenkinPHI | 21 | 15:40 | 0:45 | 1:10 | 3 | 2 |
 Declan CarlileTBL | 17 | 15:39 | 0:55 | 1:44 | 1 | 0 |
 Pontus HolmbergTBL | 20 | 15:28 | 0:46 | 1:24 | 0 | 3 |
 Anthony CirelliTBL | 19 | 15:24 | 0:49 | 1:33 | 4 | 4 |
 Noah CatesPHI | 21 | 15:22 | 0:44 | 1:12 | 3 | 4 |
 Gage GoncalvesTBL | 17 | 15:05 | 0:53 | 2:00 | 5 | 0 |
 Denver BarkeyPHI | 18 | 14:30 | 0:48 | 1:10 | 1 | 1 |
 Nikita KucherovTBL | 17 | 14:24 | 0:51 | 1:34 | 5 | 1 |
 Oliver BjorkstrandTBL | 18 | 14:04 | 0:47 | 1:16 | 4 | 1 |
 Carl GrundstromPHI | 18 | 13:49 | 0:46 | 1:16 | 3 | 4 |
 Brayden PointTBL | 16 | 13:35 | 0:51 | 1:25 | 6 | 1 |
 Zemgus GirgensonsTBL | 18 | 13:28 | 0:45 | 1:23 | 0 | 3 |
 Dominic JamesTBL | 15 | 12:11 | 0:49 | 1:25 | 3 | 1 |
 Garnet HathawayPHI | 17 | 11:37 | 0:41 | 1:26 | 1 | 1 |
 Rodrigo AbolsPHI | 15 | 11:10 | 0:45 | 1:20 | 1 | 0 |
 Nicolas DeslauriersPHI | 16 | 10:28 | 0:39 | 1:15 | 1 | 1 |