Sun, Feb 1, 2026·Raymond James Stadium, TampaOutdoor game
Boston Bruins 5, Tampa Bay Lightning 6 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 72% of the time.
66%
22%
TBL winsBOS wins
Boston Bruins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 30:19 | 0.13 | 54.9% | +30.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 25:50 | 0.05 | 76.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 5 | 23:10 | 0.55 | 51.8% | +4.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 22:10 | 0.01 | 40.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 20:07 | 0.17 | 61.4% | +4.2 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 3 | 18:43 | 0.23 | 55.7% | +34.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 18:32 | 0.19 | 50.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 17:09 | 0.00 | 45.8% | +16.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:28 | 0.00 | 64.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 15:24 | 0.22 | 68.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 14:35 | 0.23 | 67.0% | +9.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 14:18 | 0.06 | 60.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 5 | 14:02 | 0.67 | 56.0% | +14.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:58 | 0.16 | 53.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13:11 | 0.36 | 62.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 11:48 | 0.16 | 51.2% | +9.3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8:02 | 0.19 | 52.6% | +15.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7:38 | 0.06 | 62.3% | +15.9 |
| O | 46 | 41 | 5 | .891 | 5.03 | 0.0 | 65:00 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 1 | 2 | −1 | 7 | 29:38 | 0.63 | 50.8% | +18.6 | |
| 1 | 3 | 4 | +1 | 8 | 28:13 | 0.81 | 54.9% | +61.5 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 27:40 | 0.57 | 69.4% | +20.4 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 6 | 27:37 | 0.63 | 56.7% | +23.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 24:21 | 0.23 | 40.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 19:40 | 0.05 | 32.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 19:19 | 0.42 | 35.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:21 | 0.14 | 36.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15:40 | 0.00 | 30.0% | +26.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14:32 | 0.15 | 57.9% | +26.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 13:41 | 0.21 | 37.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 13:36 | 0.23 | 51.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:22 | 0.16 | 28.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 11:43 | 0.42 | 47.6% | +4.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:18 | 0.02 | 28.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 2 | 10:23 | 0.21 | 37.6% | +16.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 10:18 | 0.03 | 36.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 6:25 | 0.12 | 35.1% | 0.0 |
| W | 34 | 29 | 5 | .853 | 3.43 | −1.6 | 64:59 |