Skip to content
Ice Lab

Sun, Feb 1, 2026·Raymond James Stadium, TampaOutdoor game

Boston Bruins 5, Tampa Bay Lightning 6 (SO)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 72% of the time.

TBL winsBOS wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BOS's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Pastrnak–Geekie–KhusnutdinovArvidsson–Mittelstadt–MintenJeannot–Kastelic–PoitrasKuraly–Eyssimont–SteevesPastrnak–Geekie–MintenMcAvoy–AspirotZadorov–PeekeLindholm–LohreiLindholm–McAvoyLindholm–ZadorovMcAvoy–LohreiZadorov–McAvoy
Gourde–Girgensons–Holmberg9:410.21–0.680:550.01–0.100:400.00–0.051:140.00–0.063:550.15–0.183:240.00–0.044:170.14–0.490:360.00–0.17
Kucherov–Guentzel–Hagel0:510.11–0.115:120.18–0.130:570.03–0.001:500.18–0.003:340.17–0.012:030.11–0.241:540.03–0.000:480.18–0.000:360.00–0.00
Bjorkstrand–Goncalves–James1:150.01–0.002:200.02–0.151:560.03–0.001:330.00–0.000:560.07–0.000:340.01–0.00
Kucherov–Cirelli–Hagel1:560.20–0.230:490.20–0.231:370.00–0.00
Guentzel–Goncalves–James2:270.01–0.071:170.01–0.020:560.00–0.00
Bjorkstrand–Paul–James0:390.05–0.000:430.00–0.010:300.00–0.010:370.05–0.000:350.00–0.00
Paul–Goncalves–James0:300.15–0.080:370.00–0.340:300.15–0.080:370.00–0.34
Bjorkstrand–Paul–Holmberg0:430.09–0.220:340.09–0.22
Raddysh–Moser6:000.23–0.164:110.20–0.241:310.00–0.051:490.23–0.227:500.46–0.502:360.11–0.114:240.09–0.050:320.00–0.05
McDonagh–Cernak4:170.05–0.291:500.06–0.000:540.00–0.000:400.10–0.002:190.08–0.043:210.10–0.000:560.00–0.170:340.00–0.00
Crozier–Carlile1:310.12–0.133:100.05–0.001:120.00–0.341:140.05–0.002:270.00–0.132:270.00–0.34
Hedman–Crozier1:330.15–0.230:320.00–0.001:120.16–0.081:090.00–0.00
Hedman–Carlile0:590.01–0.101:190.00–0.150:360.11–0.010:460.00–0.011:360.11–0.100:310.01–0.16
Cernak–Moser0:390.00–0.341:040.00–0.060:530.00–0.060:380.00–0.34
Hedman–Cernak1:000.00–0.001:310.00–0.02
McDonagh–Raddysh0:360.12–0.03
McDonagh–Crozier0:330.05–0.000:410.05–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3OTEndHagel FCirelli FKucherov FGirgensons FHolmberg FGourde FGoncalves FGuentzel FJames FBjorkstrand FPaul FRaddysh DMoser DMcDonagh DCernak DCrozier DHedman DCarlile DVasilevskiy GMittelstadt FArvidsson FMinten FGeekie FPastrnak FKhusnutdinov FPoitras FJeannot FKastelic FSteeves FEyssimont FKuraly FAspirot DMcAvoy DLohrei DLindholm DPeeke DZadorov DSwayman G
TBLBOSFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Charlie McAvoyBOS3330:190:552:2626
Darren RaddyshTBL2829:381:044:2263
Nikita KucherovTBL3128:130:554:48102
Jake GuentzelTBL2827:400:594:26103
Brandon HagelTBL3427:370:494:2295
Hampus LindholmBOS3125:500:502:2929
J.J. MoserTBL3024:210:491:3653
David PastrnakBOS2423:100:582:3351
Nikita ZadorovBOS2722:100:492:1416
Marat KhusnutdinovBOS2620:070:461:2133
Yanni GourdeTBL2619:400:451:1533
Pontus HolmbergTBL2519:190:461:1413
Morgan GeekieBOS2318:430:492:0652
Fraser MintenBOS2718:320:411:2556
Zemgus GirgensonsTBL2317:210:451:0813
Jonathan AspirotBOS2317:090:451:3612
Mason LohreiBOS2316:280:431:1132
Erik CernakTBL2415:400:391:0913
Tanner JeannotBOS2015:240:461:4604
Mark KastelicBOS2114:350:421:4604
Ryan McDonaghTBL2114:320:421:0723
Andrew PeekeBOS2014:180:431:1114
Viktor ArvidssonBOS2314:020:371:0954
Casey MittelstadtBOS2213:580:381:0125
Dominic JamesTBL2113:410:391:0840
Max CrozierTBL1913:360:432:0041
Sean KuralyBOS1613:110:491:4204
Gage GoncalvesTBL2012:220:371:1441
Matthew PoitrasBOS1711:480:421:0203
Oliver BjorkstrandTBL1711:430:411:2150
Declan CarlileTBL1811:180:381:1631
Nick PaulTBL2010:230:312:5881
Victor HedmanTBL1610:180:391:0440
Alex SteevesBOS108:020:481:1201
Michael EyssimontBOS107:380:461:1901
Anthony CirelliTBL106:250:391:0323