Thu, Feb 26, 2026·Lenovo Center, Raleigh
Tampa Bay Lightning 4, Carolina Hurricanes 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 56% of the time.
35%
8%
8%
48%
CAR winsTBL wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
CAR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TBL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Kucherov–Point–Goncalves | Guentzel–Hagel–James | Gourde–Girgensons–Holmberg | Girgensons–Sabourin–Bjorkstrand | Kucherov–Bjorkstrand–Point | Kucherov–Guentzel–Point | Gourde–Bjorkstrand–Holmberg | Kucherov–Point–Hagel | Raddysh–Moser | McDonagh–Cernak | Hedman–D'Astous | Hedman–Carlile | D'Astous–Carlile | Raddysh–D'Astous | McDonagh–Raddysh | Hedman–Raddysh | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aho–Svechnikov–Jarvis | 8:030.17–0.19 | 1:290.00–0.00 | 1:160.00–0.01 | 8:350.02–0.05 | 1:550.14–0.15 | 1:090.01–0.02 | 0:310.00–0.00 | |||||||||
| Hall–Stankoven–Blake | 1:000.17–0.00 | 0:360.03–0.00 | 5:030.15–0.23 | 1:040.00–0.00 | 2:510.28–0.00 | 3:300.07–0.23 | 2:090.11–0.00 | 1:000.00–0.00 | 1:070.01–0.00 | |||||||
| Staal–Martinook–Ehlers | 0:350.00–0.10 | 7:550.10–0.34 | 0:580.00–0.10 | 3:560.10–0.21 | 1:270.09–0.00 | 2:180.00–0.13 | ||||||||||
| Jankowski–Carrier–Robinson | 3:530.13–0.18 | 0:390.00–0.00 | 1:000.01–0.00 | 0:560.00–0.09 | 1:040.28–0.14 | 1:590.08–0.04 | 1:010.05–0.00 | |||||||||
| Slavin–Chatfield | 9:360.41–0.29 | 0:450.00–0.05 | 1:300.00–0.00 | 0:410.00–0.01 | 9:560.26–0.17 | 3:150.25–0.20 | 0:550.01–0.00 | 0:460.00–0.00 | 0:370.00–0.08 | |||||||
| Walker–Miller | 7:550.13–0.46 | 2:040.01–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.00 | 0:360.00–0.00 | 4:280.01–0.00 | 5:080.13–0.41 | 1:000.09–0.00 | 3:120.00–0.13 | 1:210.15–0.00 | 0:320.00–0.00 | ||||||
| Gostisbehere–Nikishin | 0:360.00–0.16 | 1:340.00–0.07 | 7:130.27–0.43 | 1:500.10–0.00 | 1:440.00–0.16 | 3:100.04–0.30 | 3:520.11–0.16 | 0:570.00–0.02 | 2:390.19–0.04 | 1:050.05–0.00 | ||||||
| Gostisbehere–Slavin | 0:310.00–0.23 |
Every shift, one row per player.
CARTBLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
