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Ice Lab

Thu, Mar 5, 2026·Canada Life Centre, Winnipeg

Tampa Bay Lightning 1, Winnipeg Jets 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Winnipeg Jets win this game 63% of the time.

WPG winsTBL wins

Tampa Bay Lightning

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Darren RaddyshD · #43011−3123:040.0647.0%+13.1
Jake GuentzelC · #59011−2521:450.8622.8%+13.1
Nikita KucherovRW · #86000−2120:410.0549.8%0.0
Yanni GourdeC · #370000118:590.1759.6%0.0
Brayden PointC · #21101−3318:250.4546.8%+13.1
Declan CarlileD · #67000−1018:220.0345.7%0.0
Brandon HagelLW · #38000−3118:170.2348.7%0.0
Erik CernakD · #810000117:150.0949.7%0.0
Anthony CirelliC · #71000−2117:130.2546.7%0.0
J.J. MoserD · #90000−2316:390.0650.2%0.0
Oliver BjorkstrandRW · #22000−1315:250.3042.4%0.0
Victor HedmanD · #77000−1214:450.0632.6%0.0
Zemgus GirgensonsC · #280000314:420.1857.9%0.0
Pontus HolmbergRW · #29000−1214:180.2249.8%0.0
Charle-Edouard D'AstousD · #510000014:010.0029.3%0.0
Ryan McDonaghD · #270000013:440.0057.9%0.0
Conor GeekieC · #140000010:280.0025.2%0.0
Scott SabourinRW · #46000009:030.0826.2%0.0
Andrei Vasilevskiy#88L29263.8973.05+0.158:54

Winnipeg Jets

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Haydn FleuryD · #24000+2223:580.0655.5%0.0
Dylan SambergD · #54000+2023:140.0659.6%0.0
Dylan DeMeloD · #2000+2322:540.0955.5%0.0
Kyle ConnorLW · #81112+2422:171.0853.8%+14.2
Mark ScheifeleC · #55112+2421:070.6252.1%+14.2
Elias SalomonssonD · #57000+2020:090.0066.9%0.0
Alex IafalloLW · #9022+2317:430.4945.8%+14.2
Gabriel VilardiC · #130000116:290.1367.2%0.0
Cole PerfettiC · #910000215:080.0555.6%0.0
Adam LowryC · #170000115:010.0736.9%0.0
Jonathan ToewsC · #19011+1114:500.0439.1%+12.8
Ville HeinolaD · #340000113:510.0956.0%0.0
Gustav NyquistRW · #14101+1113:390.1747.1%+12.8
Tanner PearsonLW · #70022+2113:300.1857.1%+40.6
Isaak PhillipsD · #30000012:100.0020.1%0.0
Morgan BarronC · #36101+1211:490.1680.5%+27.8
Walker DuehrRW · #710000110:230.1972.2%0.0
Cole KoepkeLW · #45011+139:540.4065.9%+27.8
Connor Hellebuyck#37W27261.9633.09+2.159:47