Thu, Mar 5, 2026·Canada Life Centre, Winnipeg
Tampa Bay Lightning 1, Winnipeg Jets 4
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Winnipeg Jets win this game 63% of the time.
55%
9%
28%
WPG winsTBL wins
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −3 | 1 | 23:04 | 0.06 | 47.0% | +13.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 5 | 21:45 | 0.86 | 22.8% | +13.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 20:41 | 0.05 | 49.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:59 | 0.17 | 59.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −3 | 3 | 18:25 | 0.45 | 46.8% | +13.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 18:22 | 0.03 | 45.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 18:17 | 0.23 | 48.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:15 | 0.09 | 49.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 17:13 | 0.25 | 46.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 16:39 | 0.06 | 50.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 15:25 | 0.30 | 42.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 14:45 | 0.06 | 32.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14:42 | 0.18 | 57.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 14:18 | 0.22 | 49.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:01 | 0.00 | 29.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:44 | 0.00 | 57.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:28 | 0.00 | 25.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:03 | 0.08 | 26.2% | 0.0 |
| L | 29 | 26 | 3 | .897 | 3.05 | +0.1 | 58:54 |
Winnipeg Jets
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 23:58 | 0.06 | 55.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 23:14 | 0.06 | 59.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 | 22:54 | 0.09 | 55.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 4 | 22:17 | 1.08 | 53.8% | +14.2 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 4 | 21:07 | 0.62 | 52.1% | +14.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 20:09 | 0.00 | 66.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 17:43 | 0.49 | 45.8% | +14.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:29 | 0.13 | 67.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:08 | 0.05 | 55.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:01 | 0.07 | 36.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 14:50 | 0.04 | 39.1% | +12.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:51 | 0.09 | 56.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 13:39 | 0.17 | 47.1% | +12.8 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 13:30 | 0.18 | 57.1% | +40.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:10 | 0.00 | 20.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 11:49 | 0.16 | 80.5% | +27.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:23 | 0.19 | 72.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 9:54 | 0.40 | 65.9% | +27.8 |
| W | 27 | 26 | 1 | .963 | 3.09 | +2.1 | 59:47 |