Thu, Mar 5, 2026·Canada Life Centre, Winnipeg
Tampa Bay Lightning 1, Winnipeg Jets 4
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Winnipeg Jets win this game 63% of the time.
55%
9%
28%
WPG winsTBL wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
WPG forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TBL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Gourde–Girgensons–Holmberg | Kucherov–Gourde–Point | Kucherov–Guentzel–Point | Guentzel–Bjorkstrand–Cirelli | Kucherov–Cirelli–Hagel | Bjorkstrand–Cirelli–Hagel | Guentzel–Bjorkstrand–Point | Girgensons–Sabourin–Holmberg | Guentzel–Cirelli–Hagel | Kucherov–Point–Hagel | Sabourin–Bjorkstrand–Geekie | Gourde–Girgensons–Sabourin | Girgensons–Hagel–Holmberg | Sabourin–Hagel–Geekie | Kucherov–Guentzel–Cirelli | Hagel–Holmberg–Geekie | Raddysh–Moser | McDonagh–Cernak | Hedman–Carlile | Raddysh–D'Astous | D'Astous–Carlile | Moser–Carlile | Cernak–Moser | Hedman–D'Astous | Hedman–Cernak | Cernak–D'Astous | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scheifele–Connor–Iafallo | 4:420.02–0.07 | 2:270.00–0.32 | 1:590.42–0.02 | 1:230.00–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.05 | 0:330.00–0.00 | 4:310.10–0.39 | 4:430.00–0.05 | 1:210.00–0.12 | 1:350.42–0.02 | 0:480.00–0.00 | 0:390.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||||
| Lowry–Vilardi–Perfetti | 0:550.04–0.01 | 1:340.04–0.02 | 1:060.00–0.17 | 1:100.00–0.00 | 1:050.00–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.00 | 0:350.04–0.00 | 0:400.04–0.00 | 0:430.00–0.00 | 3:020.04–0.02 | 1:120.07–0.00 | 2:250.00–0.07 | 1:100.01–0.00 | 0:470.04–0.00 | 0:510.00–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Toews–Nyquist–Duehr | 1:080.00–0.01 | 0:480.00–0.00 | 0:560.07–0.11 | 0:360.00–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.00 | 1:070.00–0.00 | 1:130.00–0.00 | 1:300.07–0.11 | 0:360.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||||||
| Toews–Nyquist–Pearson | 1:320.00–0.00 | 1:400.00–0.00 | 0:420.00–0.11 | 0:360.04–0.13 | 0:560.00–0.04 | 1:320.17–0.00 | 1:220.04–0.13 | |||||||||||||||||||
| Pearson–Barron–Koepke | 0:380.00–0.00 | 0:510.00–0.05 | 0:450.12–0.04 | 0:450.12–0.04 | 1:280.00–0.00 | 0:530.13–0.00 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Barron–Koepke–Duehr | 0:420.18–0.08 | 0:380.27–0.00 | 0:550.11–0.00 | 0:470.11–0.00 | 0:330.18–0.08 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| Scheifele–Connor–Vilardi | 0:460.13–0.00 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| DeMelo–Samberg | 2:030.02–0.08 | 4:160.04–0.19 | 1:310.20–0.00 | 1:050.00–0.00 | 1:480.07–0.11 | 1:070.12–0.19 | 0:400.00–0.00 | 1:040.10–0.00 | 6:450.18–0.30 | 2:020.10–0.00 | 2:120.17–0.01 | 2:120.27–0.11 | 0:320.00–0.03 | |||||||||||||
| Fleury–Salomonsson | 1:450.06–0.07 | 0:520.00–0.02 | 2:050.00–0.01 | 0:530.00–0.17 | 1:000.00–0.00 | 0:360.00–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.12 | 0:410.08–0.13 | 0:420.00–0.00 | 1:080.11–0.04 | 1:400.13–0.06 | 3:030.00–0.04 | 3:200.27–0.21 | 1:060.11–0.02 | 1:390.08–0.13 | 0:440.13–0.00 | 0:500.00–0.00 | 0:490.00–0.00 | 0:470.00–0.00 | |||||||
| Heinola–Phillips | 0:490.00–0.00 | 1:010.00–0.00 | 0:400.00–0.00 | 1:520.00–0.16 | 0:340.00–0.00 | 1:260.00–0.15 | 1:550.00–0.05 | 0:460.00–0.00 | 1:290.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||||||
| Heinola–Salomonsson | 1:060.00–0.04 | 0:570.22–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.00 | 0:510.00–0.04 | 0:420.00–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Fleury–Phillips | 0:320.06–0.00 | 0:380.06–0.00 | 0:350.00–0.00 | 0:310.00–0.01 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| DeMelo–Fleury | 0:510.00–0.05 | 0:460.00–0.00 | 0:500.03–0.00 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| Samberg–Phillips | 1:090.04–0.00 | 0:410.00–0.00 | 0:590.04–0.00 | 0:450.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| DeMelo–Heinola | 0:350.01–0.00 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Samberg–Salomonsson | 0:400.00–0.00 | 0:480.00–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
WPGTBLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Haydn FleuryWPG | 30 | 23:58 | 0:48 | 1:27 | 2 | 4 |
 Dylan SambergWPG | 26 | 23:14 | 0:54 | 1:58 | 4 | 6 |
 Darren RaddyshTBL | 23 | 23:04 | 1:00 | 1:53 | 3 | 3 |
 Dylan DeMeloWPG | 26 | 22:54 | 0:53 | 1:57 | 3 | 5 |
 Kyle ConnorWPG | 22 | 22:17 | 1:01 | 1:41 | 5 | 3 |
 Jake GuentzelTBL | 23 | 21:45 | 0:57 | 1:53 | 4 | 4 |
 Mark ScheifeleWPG | 21 | 21:07 | 1:00 | 1:51 | 5 | 2 |
 Nikita KucherovTBL | 23 | 20:41 | 0:54 | 1:53 | 8 | 2 |
 Elias SalomonssonWPG | 27 | 20:09 | 0:45 | 1:21 | 2 | 2 |
 Yanni GourdeTBL | 22 | 18:59 | 0:52 | 1:53 | 2 | 5 |
 Brayden PointTBL | 24 | 18:25 | 0:46 | 1:53 | 7 | 3 |
 Declan CarlileTBL | 23 | 18:22 | 0:48 | 1:37 | 1 | 4 |
 Brandon HagelTBL | 21 | 18:17 | 0:52 | 1:56 | 5 | 2 |
 Alex IafalloWPG | 21 | 17:43 | 0:51 | 1:38 | 5 | 2 |
 Erik CernakTBL | 24 | 17:15 | 0:43 | 1:16 | 0 | 7 |
 Anthony CirelliTBL | 23 | 17:13 | 0:45 | 1:26 | 5 | 5 |
 J.J. MoserTBL | 15 | 16:39 | 1:07 | 1:53 | 2 | 2 |
 Gabriel VilardiWPG | 18 | 16:29 | 0:55 | 1:42 | 3 | 4 |
 Oliver BjorkstrandTBL | 17 | 15:25 | 0:54 | 1:53 | 5 | 2 |
 Cole PerfettiWPG | 18 | 15:08 | 0:50 | 1:31 | 4 | 3 |
 Adam LowryWPG | 21 | 15:01 | 0:43 | 1:10 | 4 | 6 |
 Jonathan ToewsWPG | 19 | 14:50 | 0:47 | 1:09 | 6 | 1 |
 Victor HedmanTBL | 19 | 14:45 | 0:47 | 1:37 | 2 | 3 |
 Zemgus GirgensonsTBL | 21 | 14:42 | 0:42 | 1:49 | 2 | 7 |
 Pontus HolmbergTBL | 18 | 14:18 | 0:48 | 1:30 | 0 | 5 |
 Charle-Edouard D'AstousTBL | 16 | 14:01 | 0:53 | 1:30 | 2 | 1 |
 Ville HeinolaWPG | 19 | 13:51 | 0:44 | 1:16 | 7 | 1 |
 Ryan McDonaghTBL | 18 | 13:44 | 0:46 | 1:15 | 0 | 6 |
 Gustav NyquistWPG | 19 | 13:39 | 0:43 | 1:14 | 6 | 1 |
 Tanner PearsonWPG | 17 | 13:30 | 0:48 | 1:13 | 4 | 1 |
 Isaak PhillipsWPG | 17 | 12:10 | 0:43 | 1:03 | 2 | 3 |
 Morgan BarronWPG | 16 | 11:49 | 0:44 | 1:11 | 0 | 4 |
 Conor GeekieTBL | 13 | 10:28 | 0:48 | 1:24 | 1 | 1 |
 Walker DuehrWPG | 18 | 10:23 | 0:35 | 1:07 | 1 | 2 |
 Cole KoepkeWPG | 15 | 9:54 | 0:40 | 1:23 | 0 | 2 |
 Scott SabourinTBL | 12 | 9:03 | 0:45 | 1:09 | 0 | 2 |