Tue, Mar 10, 2026·Benchmark International Arena, Tampa
Columbus Blue Jackets 5, Tampa Bay Lightning 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 88% of the time.
84%
TBL winsCBJ wins
Columbus Blue Jackets
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Zach WerenskiD · #8 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 22:59 | 0.07 | 74.2% | +32.6 |
 Ivan ProvorovD · #9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 22:05 | 0.04 | 84.2% | +22.7 |
 Charlie CoyleC · #3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 20:36 | 0.23 | 47.6% | +22.7 |
 Damon SeversonD · #78 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 19:29 | 0.00 | 87.3% | 0.0 |
 Dante FabbroD · #15 | 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 19:09 | 0.27 | 54.4% | +2.3 |
 Kirill MarchenkoRW · #86 | 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 19:00 | 0.20 | 35.8% | +16.2 |
 Denton MateychukD · #5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18:44 | 0.00 | 87.6% | +22.7 |
 Adam FantilliC · #19 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 5 | 18:39 | 0.99 | 86.2% | +16.2 |
 Mason MarchmentLW · #17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 18:33 | 0.06 | 85.3% | 0.0 |
 Sean MonahanC · #23 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 5 | 15:53 | 1.06 | 85.9% | +34.0 |
 Boone JennerC · #38 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:39 | 0.10 | 68.0% | 0.0 |
 Isac LundeströmC · #21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 13:39 | 0.37 | 85.7% | 0.0 |
 Danton HeinenLW · #43 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:32 | 0.09 | 72.2% | 0.0 |
 Kent JohnsonC · #91 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 12:32 | 0.14 | 95.8% | +17.6 |
 Jake ChristiansenD · #2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 11:56 | 0.03 | 73.9% | 0.0 |
 Mathieu OlivierRW · #24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 11:45 | 0.20 | 78.4% | 0.0 |
 Conor GarlandRW · #83 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 6 | 11:39 | 0.67 | 95.8% | +34.0 |
 Cole SillingerC · #4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 10:42 | 0.00 | 53.5% | 0.0 |
 Elvis Merzlikins#90 | W | 18 | 16 | 2 | .889 | 1.73 | −0.3 | 59:29 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Charle-Edouard D'AstousD · #51 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 23:34 | 0.13 | 19.8% | 0.0 |
 Victor HedmanD · #77 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 22:11 | 0.16 | 12.4% | +17.0 |
 Declan CarlileD · #67 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:35 | 0.00 | 10.5% | 0.0 |
 Nikita KucherovRW · #86 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20:32 | 0.14 | 8.8% | +17.0 |
 Ryan McDonaghD · #27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:21 | 0.00 | 17.4% | 0.0 |
 Brandon HagelLW · #38 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:23 | 0.06 | 24.3% | 0.0 |
 Brayden PointC · #21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 18:33 | 0.00 | 18.9% | 0.0 |
 J.J. MoserD · #90 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 18:20 | 0.06 | 17.8% | +16.5 |
 Jake GuentzelC · #59 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 18:16 | 0.33 | 12.7% | 0.0 |
 Anthony CirelliC · #71 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16:02 | 0.00 | 25.9% | +16.5 |
 Yanni GourdeC · #37 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:31 | 0.00 | 20.6% | 0.0 |
 Oliver BjorkstrandRW · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:49 | 0.18 | 9.3% | 0.0 |
 Corey PerryRW · #10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 13:01 | 0.49 | 28.9% | 0.0 |
 Zemgus GirgensonsC · #28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:32 | 0.08 | 24.5% | 0.0 |
 Gage GoncalvesC · #93 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11:22 | 0.05 | 39.2% | +17.0 |
 Conor GeekieC · #14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:31 | 0.01 | 9.3% | 0.0 |
 Steven SantiniD · #16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:21 | 0.00 | 19.3% | 0.0 |
 Pontus HolmbergRW · #29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 9:14 | 0.04 | 32.7% | 0.0 |
 Andrei Vasilevskiy#88 | L | 31 | 27 | 4 | .871 | 4.24 | +0.2 | 59:51 |