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Ice Lab

Tue, Mar 10, 2026·Benchmark International Arena, Tampa

Columbus Blue Jackets 5, Tampa Bay Lightning 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 88% of the time.

TBL winsCBJ wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against CBJ's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Jenner–Heinen–LundeströmMarchenko–Sillinger–FantilliCoyle–Marchment–OlivierMonahan–Garland–JohnsonMarchment–Marchenko–FantilliProvorov–MateychukWerenski–FabbroSeverson–ChristiansenSeverson–WerenskiFabbro–MateychukSeverson–ProvorovChristiansen–MateychukWerenski–Provorov
Gourde–Girgensons–Holmberg0:420.00–0.000:330.04–0.005:060.09–0.260:360.00–0.003:010.08–0.091:550.01–0.001:320.00–0.000:310.04–0.000:390.00–0.00
Perry–Bjorkstrand–Geekie4:310.04–0.430:570.04–0.001:480.04–0.701:220.01–0.002:300.00–0.00
Kucherov–Guentzel–Point1:130.00–0.062:300.02–0.011:140.02–0.113:250.05–0.230:390.00–0.000:460.00–0.010:370.00–0.00
Kucherov–Cirelli–Hagel2:420.00–0.011:550.01–1.030:310.02–0.001:140.00–0.762:280.01–0.280:390.00–0.000:360.02–0.00
Guentzel–Point–Goncalves2:290.00–0.381:060.00–0.000:340.00–0.001:520.04–0.38
Perry–Cirelli–Hagel1:040.00–0.020:340.00–0.001:240.02–0.000:530.00–0.00
Cirelli–Hagel–Goncalves0:480.00–0.001:010.00–0.050:310.00–0.000:490.00–0.051:180.04–0.00
Kucherov–Point–Goncalves0:330.00–0.000:450.05–0.00
Bjorkstrand–Goncalves–Geekie0:390.00–0.030:300.02–0.03
Guentzel–Bjorkstrand–Geekie
McDonagh–D'Astous1:320.04–0.233:370.04–0.011:420.08–0.002:130.00–0.753:200.12–1.293:530.01–0.001:520.04–0.230:370.00–0.000:390.04–0.00
Moser–Carlile0:340.00–0.084:080.07–0.073:190.03–0.031:170.00–0.004:340.05–0.191:580.02–0.002:530.00–0.01
Hedman–Santini3:540.00–0.131:380.00–0.091:120.00–0.002:200.00–0.182:010.00–0.002:220.00–0.000:360.05–0.00
Hedman–D'Astous1:500.00–0.071:360.03–0.111:060.02–0.182:280.01–0.000:410.00–0.00
McDonagh–Carlile1:080.00–0.001:050.02–0.020:380.00–0.021:050.02–0.000:380.00–0.00
D'Astous–Moser0:360.00–0.000:490.01–0.170:400.01–0.000:300.00–0.000:300.00–0.00
Hedman–Carlile0:510.00–0.281:090.00–0.28
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndPerry FGeekie FBjorkstrand FHagel FCirelli FKucherov FGourde FGirgensons FHolmberg FGoncalves FPoint FGuentzel FSantini DHedman DMcDonagh DD'Astous DCarlile DMoser DVasilevskiy GLundeström FJenner FHeinen FSillinger FFantilli FMarchenko FOlivier FCoyle FMarchment FMonahan FJohnson FGarland FWerenski DSeverson DProvorov DMateychuk DFabbro DChristiansen DMerzlikins G
TBLCBJFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Charle-Edouard D'AstousTBL2723:340:521:3312
Zach WerenskiCBJ2422:590:572:1336
Victor HedmanTBL2522:110:531:5245
Ivan ProvorovCBJ2822:050:471:4224
Charlie CoyleCBJ2620:360:481:5647
Declan CarlileTBL2420:350:511:2832
Nikita KucherovTBL2020:321:022:2353
Ryan McDonaghTBL2020:211:011:4414
Damon SeversonCBJ2719:290:431:3112
Brandon HagelTBL2419:230:481:2735
Dante FabbroCBJ2619:090:441:46112
Kirill MarchenkoCBJ2019:000:572:3042
Denton MateychukCBJ2718:440:421:3232
Adam FantilliCBJ1918:390:592:2443
Brayden PointTBL1818:331:022:0561
Mason MarchmentCBJ2018:330:561:4250
J.J. MoserTBL2318:200:481:5431
Jake GuentzelTBL1918:160:582:1061
Anthony CirelliTBL2416:020:401:1245
Sean MonahanCBJ2115:530:451:2426
Yanni GourdeTBL2015:310:471:3103
Oliver BjorkstrandTBL1614:490:561:2640
Boone JennerCBJ2114:390:421:3222
Isac LundeströmCBJ2213:390:371:0822
Corey PerryTBL1413:010:561:4220
Zemgus GirgensonsTBL1912:320:401:2013
Danton HeinenCBJ2012:320:381:0922
Kent JohnsonCBJ1812:320:421:1621
Jake ChristiansenCBJ1811:560:401:2010
Mathieu OlivierCBJ1711:450:411:1630
Conor GarlandCBJ1711:390:411:0722
Gage GoncalvesTBL1711:220:401:1321
Cole SillingerCBJ1710:420:380:5724
Conor GeekieTBL129:310:481:3010
Steven SantiniTBL159:210:371:1112
Pontus HolmbergTBL159:140:371:0812