Sat, Mar 14, 2026·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Toronto Maple Leafs 2, Buffalo Sabres 3 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 78% of the time.
72%
15%
BUF winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Jake McCabeD · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 26:19 | 0.10 | 28.1% | 0.0 |
 Oliver Ekman-LarssonD · #95 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21:59 | 0.05 | 38.6% | 0.0 |
 William NylanderRW · #88 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21:18 | 0.15 | 39.6% | +16.7 |
 Matthew KniesLW · #23 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 20:09 | 0.00 | 26.4% | +16.7 |
 John TavaresC · #91 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 19:50 | 0.32 | 27.8% | 0.0 |
 Morgan RiellyD · #44 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:33 | 0.01 | 44.6% | 0.0 |
 Matias MaccelliLW · #63 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 19:25 | 0.21 | 26.5% | 0.0 |
 Brandon CarloD · #25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:18 | 0.00 | 38.2% | 0.0 |
 Bo GroulxC · #29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 19:08 | 0.35 | 39.5% | 0.0 |
 Simon BenoitD · #2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 17:05 | 0.11 | 35.2% | 0.0 |
 Philippe MyersD · #51 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 16:53 | 0.11 | 38.6% | 0.0 |
 Max DomiC · #11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 16:47 | 0.11 | 40.6% | +16.7 |
 Easton CowanRW · #53 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:07 | 0.22 | 34.9% | 0.0 |
 Nick RobertsonLW · #89 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 14:35 | 0.00 | 31.7% | +13.7 |
 Dakota JoshuaC · #81 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 11:58 | 0.16 | 38.7% | +13.7 |
 Calle JarnkrokC · #19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:38 | 0.00 | 22.8% | 0.0 |
 Jacob QuillanC · #26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10:10 | 0.01 | 88.2% | 0.0 |
 Michael PezzettaLW · #61 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6:29 | 0.09 | 80.7% | 0.0 |
 Joseph Woll#60 | O | 33 | 31 | 2 | .939 | 3.84 | +1.8 | 65:00 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Rasmus DahlinD · #26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 26:12 | 0.30 | 67.1% | 0.0 |
 Bowen ByramD · #4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 25:35 | 0.08 | 58.9% | 0.0 |
 Owen PowerD · #25 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 23:50 | 0.26 | 52.5% | +11.9 |
 Tage ThompsonC · #72 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 21:19 | 0.58 | 67.5% | 0.0 |
 Alex TuchRW · #89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 5 | 20:52 | 0.40 | 67.2% | 0.0 |
 Josh NorrisC · #9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19:13 | 0.39 | 78.0% | 0.0 |
 Josh DoanRW · #91 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19:02 | 0.23 | 78.3% | 0.0 |
 Ryan McLeodC · #71 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 17:56 | 0.12 | 51.4% | +17.5 |
 Jason ZuckerLW · #17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:24 | 0.10 | 29.8% | 0.0 |
 Logan StanleyD · #64 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:49 | 0.02 | 45.0% | 0.0 |
 Noah OstlundC · #86 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15:46 | 0.00 | 66.9% | +17.5 |
 Zach MetsaD · #73 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:32 | 0.02 | 87.3% | 0.0 |
 Zach BensonLW · #6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 14:43 | 0.61 | 66.9% | +11.9 |
 Jack QuinnRW · #22 | 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 13:42 | 0.09 | 30.4% | +17.5 |
 Beck MalenstynLW · #29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 11:27 | 0.27 | 59.1% | 0.0 |
 Peyton KrebsC · #19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 11:13 | 0.17 | 67.2% | 0.0 |
 Luke SchennD · #5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 11:02 | 0.06 | 47.2% | 0.0 |
 Sam CarrickC · #10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 10:34 | 0.13 | 53.7% | +11.9 |
 Alex Lyon#34 | W | 18 | 16 | 2 | .889 | 1.99 | 0.0 | 65:00 |