Sat, Mar 21, 2026·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa
Toronto Maple Leafs 2, Ottawa Senators 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 92% of the time.
90%
OTT winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Matthew KniesLW · #23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 24:28 | 0.16 | 12.7% | 0.0 |
 Oliver Ekman-LarssonD · #95 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 23:20 | 0.07 | 34.3% | 0.0 |
 Jake McCabeD · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 22:36 | 0.00 | 14.8% | 0.0 |
 William NylanderRW · #88 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 21:47 | 0.22 | 43.3% | +12.8 |
 Troy StecherD · #28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21:19 | 0.07 | 26.4% | 0.0 |
 John TavaresC · #91 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 18:55 | 0.39 | 59.7% | +5.6 |
 Brandon CarloD · #25 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18:18 | 0.00 | 35.1% | +5.6 |
 Easton CowanRW · #53 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 18:04 | 0.27 | 36.2% | +18.4 |
 Simon BenoitD · #2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 17:12 | 0.05 | 35.8% | +12.8 |
 Max DomiC · #11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:24 | 0.00 | 7.0% | 0.0 |
 Bo GroulxC · #29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 13:39 | 0.21 | 25.0% | 0.0 |
 Philippe MyersD · #51 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:09 | 0.00 | 15.6% | 0.0 |
 Nick RobertsonLW · #89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:25 | 0.07 | 28.5% | 0.0 |
 Dakota JoshuaC · #81 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 10:47 | 0.06 | 31.2% | 0.0 |
 Matias MaccelliLW · #63 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 10:37 | 0.17 | 10.5% | 0.0 |
 Steven LorentzC · #18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:30 | 0.00 | 31.6% | 0.0 |
 Jacob QuillanC · #26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:16 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 |
 Calle JarnkrokC · #19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 9:54 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 |
 Joseph Woll#60 | L | 44 | 39 | 5 | .886 | 4.56 | −0.4 | 59:34 |
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Thomas ChabotD · #72 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 28:36 | 0.10 | 75.7% | +15.5 |
 Artem ZubD · #2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 24:07 | 0.05 | 75.2% | 0.0 |
 Jordan SpenceD · #10 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 5 | 19:51 | 0.19 | 63.9% | +25.7 |
 Tim StützleC · #18 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19:04 | 0.44 | 91.6% | +15.5 |
 Shane PintoC · #12 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 18:36 | 0.93 | 50.2% | +12.0 |
 Tyler KlevenD · #43 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 18:13 | 0.05 | 66.4% | +15.9 |
 Brady TkachukLW · #7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 | 16:41 | 0.65 | 72.7% | 0.0 |
 Michael AmadioRW · #22 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 15:59 | 0.30 | 64.8% | +12.0 |
 Drake BathersonRW · #19 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15:27 | 0.05 | 100.0% | +15.5 |
 Dylan CozensC · #24 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 15:25 | 0.55 | 76.2% | +2.2 |
 Ridly GreigC · #71 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15:07 | 0.38 | 58.5% | +2.2 |
 Nikolas MatinpaloD · #33 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 14:20 | 0.05 | 86.9% | 0.0 |
 Claude GirouxRW · #28 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 7 | 13:13 | 0.66 | 100.0% | +13.7 |
 Warren FoegeleLW · #37 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 12:43 | 0.26 | 81.4% | +5.9 |
 Lars EllerC · #89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 11:59 | 0.18 | 82.5% | 0.0 |
 Nick CousinsC · #21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 11:51 | 0.08 | 42.8% | 0.0 |
 Dennis GilbertD · #6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 11:17 | 0.00 | 79.0% | 0.0 |
 Fabian ZetterlundLW · #20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9:31 | 0.29 | 72.2% | 0.0 |
 Linus Ullmark#35 | W | 14 | 12 | 2 | .857 | 1.74 | −0.3 | 60:00 |