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Ice Lab

Sat, Mar 21, 2026·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa

Toronto Maple Leafs 2, Ottawa Senators 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 92% of the time.

OTT winsTOR wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

OTT forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TOR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Domi–Nylander–KniesJoshua–Groulx–MaccelliTavares–Nylander–CowanTavares–Robertson–CowanJarnkrok–Lorentz–QuillanDomi–Robertson–KniesJarnkrok–Knies–QuillanJoshua–Robertson–QuillanMcCabe–StecherEkman-Larsson–CarloMyers–BenoitEkman-Larsson–MyersStecher–BenoitCarlo–BenoitEkman-Larsson–McCabeMcCabe–CarloEkman-Larsson–Stecher
Tkachuk–Cozens–Greig0:450.00–0.002:150.29–0.001:070.11–0.000:410.00–0.110:570.09–0.001:350.30–0.004:380.21–0.310:350.07–0.00
Cousins–Amadio–Pinto2:410.21–0.001:170.00–0.232:140.17–0.073:250.32–0.070:560.03–0.000:360.00–0.000:510.02–0.230:420.00–0.00
Giroux–Batherson–Stützle1:400.00–0.001:180.05–0.001:100.31–0.001:490.14–0.000:420.00–0.001:180.00–0.000:300.00–0.000:360.17–0.00
Eller–Foegele–Zetterlund1:140.10–0.000:440.01–0.161:240.14–0.000:400.00–0.002:310.25–0.160:410.00–0.000:340.00–0.00
Giroux–Amadio–Pinto1:390.05–0.000:300.05–0.000:390.00–0.000:410.00–0.00
Foegele–Batherson–Stützle0:490.00–0.000:480.00–0.001:020.00–0.000:350.00–0.00
Eller–Cousins–Foegele1:000.03–0.001:000.03–0.00
Chabot–Zub4:030.03–0.000:430.00–0.073:490.22–0.171:300.14–0.000:380.00–0.006:210.24–0.132:240.09–0.170:370.03–0.001:030.00–0.000:530.09–0.000:430.00–0.000:580.00–0.00
Spence–Kleven1:220.02–0.003:500.23–0.001:100.00–0.232:560.08–0.271:040.14–0.001:560.42–0.003:260.44–0.004:220.34–0.312:020.14–0.161:050.00–0.000:420.02–0.230:430.00–0.001:120.17–0.00
Gilbert–Matinpalo0:450.00–0.071:330.27–0.001:430.01–0.072:010.00–0.001:080.08–0.001:420.00–0.071:250.00–0.003:290.18–0.001:150.07–0.000:540.00–0.070:330.17–0.00
Chabot–Matinpalo0:310.24–0.000:300.00–0.00
Chabot–Spence0:450.01–0.00
Kleven–Zub
Zub–Matinpalo1:000.03–0.001:120.12–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndStützle FBatherson FGiroux FTkachuk FGreig FCozens FPinto FCousins FAmadio FEller FFoegele FZetterlund FSpence DKleven DChabot DMatinpalo DGilbert DZub DUllmark GGroulx FMaccelli FJoshua FQuillan FJarnkrok FLorentz FDomi FKnies FNylander FTavares FCowan FRobertson FCarlo DEkman-Larsson DMcCabe DStecher DBenoit DMyers DWoll G
OTTTORFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Thomas ChabotOTT2928:360:592:3424
Matthew KniesTOR2424:281:012:1962
Artem ZubOTT2524:070:581:5403
Oliver Ekman-LarssonTOR2923:200:481:5546
Jake McCabeTOR2722:360:501:3535
William NylanderTOR2021:471:051:5960
Troy StecherTOR2421:190:531:4131
Jordan SpenceOTT2319:510:522:0350
Tim StützleOTT2319:040:502:2971
John TavaresTOR2118:550:541:5135
Shane PintoOTT2518:360:451:2125
Brandon CarloTOR2418:180:461:0807
Tyler KlevenOTT2518:130:441:2650
Easton CowanTOR1818:041:001:4021
Simon BenoitTOR2217:120:471:2701
Brady TkachukOTT2216:410:461:3580
Michael AmadioOTT2215:590:441:1224
Drake BathersonOTT2215:270:421:1660
Dylan CozensOTT2315:250:401:0680
Ridly GreigOTT2415:070:381:4833
Max DomiTOR1714:240:511:3431
Nikolas MatinpaloOTT2014:200:431:2410
Bo GroulxTOR1813:390:461:1302
Claude GirouxOTT2413:130:331:0144
Philippe MyersTOR1913:090:421:2001
Warren FoegeleOTT1912:430:401:1640
Nick RobertsonTOR1312:250:571:4302
Lars EllerOTT1911:590:381:4033
Nick CousinsOTT1811:510:401:0610
Dennis GilbertOTT1911:170:361:3210
Dakota JoshuaTOR1610:470:401:0201
Matias MaccelliTOR1610:370:402:1930
Steven LorentzTOR1610:300:391:0202
Jacob QuillanTOR1610:160:391:1501
Calle JarnkrokTOR149:540:421:1302
Fabian ZetterlundOTT169:310:361:2010