Sat, Mar 21, 2026·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa
Toronto Maple Leafs 2, Ottawa Senators 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 92% of the time.
90%
OTT winsTOR wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
OTT forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TOR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Domi–Nylander–Knies | Joshua–Groulx–Maccelli | Tavares–Nylander–Cowan | Tavares–Robertson–Cowan | Jarnkrok–Lorentz–Quillan | Domi–Robertson–Knies | Jarnkrok–Knies–Quillan | Joshua–Robertson–Quillan | McCabe–Stecher | Ekman-Larsson–Carlo | Myers–Benoit | Ekman-Larsson–Myers | Stecher–Benoit | Carlo–Benoit | Ekman-Larsson–McCabe | McCabe–Carlo | Ekman-Larsson–Stecher | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tkachuk–Cozens–Greig | 0:450.00–0.00 | 2:150.29–0.00 | 1:070.11–0.00 | 0:410.00–0.11 | 0:570.09–0.00 | 1:350.30–0.00 | 4:380.21–0.31 | 0:350.07–0.00 | |||||||||
| Cousins–Amadio–Pinto | 2:410.21–0.00 | 1:170.00–0.23 | 2:140.17–0.07 | 3:250.32–0.07 | 0:560.03–0.00 | 0:360.00–0.00 | 0:510.02–0.23 | 0:420.00–0.00 | |||||||||
| Giroux–Batherson–Stützle | 1:400.00–0.00 | 1:180.05–0.00 | 1:100.31–0.00 | 1:490.14–0.00 | 0:420.00–0.00 | 1:180.00–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.00 | 0:360.17–0.00 | |||||||||
| Eller–Foegele–Zetterlund | 1:140.10–0.00 | 0:440.01–0.16 | 1:240.14–0.00 | 0:400.00–0.00 | 2:310.25–0.16 | 0:410.00–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Giroux–Amadio–Pinto | 1:390.05–0.00 | 0:300.05–0.00 | 0:390.00–0.00 | 0:410.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||
| Foegele–Batherson–Stützle | 0:490.00–0.00 | 0:480.00–0.00 | 1:020.00–0.00 | 0:350.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||
| Eller–Cousins–Foegele | 1:000.03–0.00 | 1:000.03–0.00 | |||||||||||||||
| Chabot–Zub | 4:030.03–0.00 | 0:430.00–0.07 | 3:490.22–0.17 | 1:300.14–0.00 | 0:380.00–0.00 | 6:210.24–0.13 | 2:240.09–0.17 | 0:370.03–0.00 | 1:030.00–0.00 | 0:530.09–0.00 | 0:430.00–0.00 | 0:580.00–0.00 | |||||
| Spence–Kleven | 1:220.02–0.00 | 3:500.23–0.00 | 1:100.00–0.23 | 2:560.08–0.27 | 1:040.14–0.00 | 1:560.42–0.00 | 3:260.44–0.00 | 4:220.34–0.31 | 2:020.14–0.16 | 1:050.00–0.00 | 0:420.02–0.23 | 0:430.00–0.00 | 1:120.17–0.00 | ||||
| Gilbert–Matinpalo | 0:450.00–0.07 | 1:330.27–0.00 | 1:430.01–0.07 | 2:010.00–0.00 | 1:080.08–0.00 | 1:420.00–0.07 | 1:250.00–0.00 | 3:290.18–0.00 | 1:150.07–0.00 | 0:540.00–0.07 | 0:330.17–0.00 | ||||||
| Chabot–Matinpalo | 0:310.24–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||||
| Chabot–Spence | 0:450.01–0.00 | ||||||||||||||||
| Kleven–Zub | |||||||||||||||||
| Zub–Matinpalo | 1:000.03–0.00 | 1:120.12–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
OTTTORFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
| 29 | 28:36 | 0:59 | 2:34 | 2 | 4 | |
| 24 | 24:28 | 1:01 | 2:19 | 6 | 2 | |
| 25 | 24:07 | 0:58 | 1:54 | 0 | 3 | |
| 29 | 23:20 | 0:48 | 1:55 | 4 | 6 | |
| 27 | 22:36 | 0:50 | 1:35 | 3 | 5 | |
| 20 | 21:47 | 1:05 | 1:59 | 6 | 0 | |
| 24 | 21:19 | 0:53 | 1:41 | 3 | 1 | |
| 23 | 19:51 | 0:52 | 2:03 | 5 | 0 | |
| 23 | 19:04 | 0:50 | 2:29 | 7 | 1 | |
| 21 | 18:55 | 0:54 | 1:51 | 3 | 5 | |
| 25 | 18:36 | 0:45 | 1:21 | 2 | 5 | |
| 24 | 18:18 | 0:46 | 1:08 | 0 | 7 | |
| 25 | 18:13 | 0:44 | 1:26 | 5 | 0 | |
| 18 | 18:04 | 1:00 | 1:40 | 2 | 1 | |
| 22 | 17:12 | 0:47 | 1:27 | 0 | 1 | |
| 22 | 16:41 | 0:46 | 1:35 | 8 | 0 | |
| 22 | 15:59 | 0:44 | 1:12 | 2 | 4 | |
| 22 | 15:27 | 0:42 | 1:16 | 6 | 0 | |
| 23 | 15:25 | 0:40 | 1:06 | 8 | 0 | |
| 24 | 15:07 | 0:38 | 1:48 | 3 | 3 | |
| 17 | 14:24 | 0:51 | 1:34 | 3 | 1 | |
| 20 | 14:20 | 0:43 | 1:24 | 1 | 0 | |
| 18 | 13:39 | 0:46 | 1:13 | 0 | 2 | |
| 24 | 13:13 | 0:33 | 1:01 | 4 | 4 | |
| 19 | 13:09 | 0:42 | 1:20 | 0 | 1 | |
| 19 | 12:43 | 0:40 | 1:16 | 4 | 0 | |
| 13 | 12:25 | 0:57 | 1:43 | 0 | 2 | |
| 19 | 11:59 | 0:38 | 1:40 | 3 | 3 | |
| 18 | 11:51 | 0:40 | 1:06 | 1 | 0 | |
| 19 | 11:17 | 0:36 | 1:32 | 1 | 0 | |
| 16 | 10:47 | 0:40 | 1:02 | 0 | 1 | |
| 16 | 10:37 | 0:40 | 2:19 | 3 | 0 | |
| 16 | 10:30 | 0:39 | 1:02 | 0 | 2 | |
| 16 | 10:16 | 0:39 | 1:15 | 0 | 1 | |
| 14 | 9:54 | 0:42 | 1:13 | 0 | 2 | |
| 16 | 9:31 | 0:36 | 1:20 | 1 | 0 |