Sun, Mar 22, 2026·Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary
Tampa Bay Lightning 3, Calgary Flames 4 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 53% of the time.
38%
8%
10%
43%
CGY winsTBL wins
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Darren RaddyshD · #43 | 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 5 | 24:39 | 0.23 | 57.8% | +13.6 |
 J.J. MoserD · #90 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 1 | 23:08 | 0.03 | 50.8% | +13.6 |
 Nikita KucherovRW · #86 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 20:57 | 0.40 | 57.9% | +13.6 |
 Jake GuentzelC · #59 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 19:34 | 0.19 | 49.4% | 0.0 |
 Charle-Edouard D'AstousD · #51 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19:19 | 0.08 | 61.2% | 0.0 |
 Brandon HagelLW · #38 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 19:13 | 0.20 | 72.9% | 0.0 |
 Emil LillebergD · #78 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:23 | 0.16 | 52.4% | 0.0 |
 Anthony CirelliC · #71 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 4 | 17:56 | 0.19 | 70.6% | 0.0 |
 Brayden PointC · #21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 17:22 | 0.43 | 54.0% | 0.0 |
 Ryan McDonaghD · #27 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 16:11 | 0.06 | 46.5% | +15.2 |
 Erik CernakD · #81 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 16:04 | 0.00 | 47.0% | 0.0 |
 Yanni GourdeC · #37 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 15:38 | 0.05 | 46.2% | +43.6 |
 Pontus HolmbergRW · #29 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 14:40 | 0.25 | 58.6% | +43.6 |
 Zemgus GirgensonsC · #28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 14:34 | 0.20 | 51.2% | 0.0 |
 Gage GoncalvesC · #93 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 13:53 | 0.06 | 47.5% | +15.2 |
 Corey PerryRW · #10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:21 | 0.00 | 11.9% | 0.0 |
 Nick PaulLW · #20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 10:18 | 0.11 | 29.6% | 0.0 |
 Oliver BjorkstrandRW · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 9:55 | 0.02 | 13.2% | 0.0 |
 Jonas Johansson#31 | O | 29 | 25 | 4 | .862 | 2.52 | −1.5 | 59:39 |
Calgary Flames
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Olli MaattaD · #3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23:55 | 0.21 | 43.3% | 0.0 |
 Zach WhitecloudD · #28 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 23:03 | 0.08 | 40.1% | +16.0 |
 Kevin BahlD · #7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 22:46 | 0.05 | 39.3% | +50.9 |
 Hunter BrzustewiczD · #48 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 20:20 | 0.00 | 57.5% | +13.8 |
 Ryan StromeC · #22 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 18:49 | 0.37 | 36.7% | +50.9 |
 Mikael BacklundC · #11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 18:44 | 0.20 | 49.0% | +13.8 |
 Blake ColemanLW · #20 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 18:01 | 0.24 | 42.8% | +13.8 |
 Joel FarabeeLW · #86 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 17:47 | 0.00 | 41.9% | 0.0 |
 Yegor SharangovichC · #17 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17:46 | 0.21 | 48.2% | +16.0 |
 Joel HanleyD · #44 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 15:36 | 0.12 | 47.5% | 0.0 |
 Victor OlofssonLW · #95 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15:16 | 0.15 | 41.9% | +16.0 |
 Zayne ParekhD · #19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:09 | 0.04 | 66.2% | 0.0 |
 Matt CoronatoRW · #27 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 14:54 | 0.30 | 65.3% | +18.5 |
 Morgan FrostC · #16 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 14:21 | 0.34 | 68.1% | +18.5 |
 Matvei GridinRW · #92 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 13:50 | 0.20 | 65.3% | +50.9 |
 Martin PospisilC · #76 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:34 | 0.01 | 16.0% | 0.0 |
 Adam KlapkaRW · #43 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:20 | 0.02 | 37.7% | 0.0 |
 Tyson GrossC · #39 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:07 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 |
 Devin Cooley#1 | W | 35 | 32 | 3 | .914 | 2.66 | −0.3 | 60:26 |