Tue, Mar 24, 2026·Benchmark International Arena, Tampa
Minnesota Wild 3, Tampa Bay Lightning 6
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 84% of the time.
78%
11%
TBL winsMIN wins
Minnesota Wild
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Quinn HughesD · #43 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 0 | 28:52 | 0.02 | 37.7% | +12.9 |
 Brock FaberD · #7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 24:39 | 0.05 | 48.5% | +14.6 |
 Kirill KaprizovLW · #97 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 21:31 | 0.35 | 59.1% | 0.0 |
 Matt BoldyLW · #12 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 21:15 | 0.24 | 54.1% | +12.9 |
 Joel Eriksson EkC · #14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19:52 | 0.62 | 53.2% | 0.0 |
 Jared SpurgeonD · #46 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 19:48 | 0.00 | 20.7% | 0.0 |
 Jonas BrodinD · #25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:13 | 0.09 | 42.6% | 0.0 |
 Ryan HartmanRW · #38 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 16:10 | 0.05 | 21.5% | +17.0 |
 Mats ZuccarelloRW · #36 | 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 1 | 15:48 | 0.31 | 13.7% | +12.9 |
 Vladimir TarasenkoRW · #91 | 1 | 1 | 2 | −2 | 1 | 15:25 | 0.09 | 9.3% | +31.7 |
 Marcus JohanssonLW · #90 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14:10 | 0.02 | 58.3% | +17.0 |
 Jake MiddletonD · #5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:16 | 0.03 | 38.0% | 0.0 |
 Bobby BrinkRW · #10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12:24 | 0.25 | 58.2% | +14.6 |
 Zach BogosianD · #24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:52 | 0.00 | 11.3% | 0.0 |
 Yakov TreninC · #13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:43 | 0.00 | 27.3% | 0.0 |
 Danila YurovRW · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:27 | 0.05 | 18.6% | 0.0 |
 Michael McCarronC · #47 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:07 | 0.03 | 35.2% | 0.0 |
 Nick FolignoLW · #71 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10:18 | 0.17 | 49.9% | 0.0 |
 Filip Gustavsson#32 | L | 24 | 20 | 4 | .833 | 3.15 | −0.9 | 58:16 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Darren RaddyshD · #43 | 1 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 5 | 23:48 | 0.27 | 52.3% | +49.2 |
 Charle-Edouard D'AstousD · #51 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20:27 | 0.01 | 74.4% | +46.2 |
 J.J. MoserD · #90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 20:26 | 0.11 | 40.1% | 0.0 |
 Nikita KucherovRW · #86 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19:26 | 0.31 | 53.9% | +19.2 |
 Jake GuentzelC · #59 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 19:14 | 0.45 | 65.4% | +35.2 |
 Emil LillebergD · #78 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19:01 | 0.01 | 67.1% | 0.0 |
 Brandon HagelLW · #38 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 18:49 | 0.92 | 58.6% | +17.9 |
 Ryan McDonaghD · #27 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 17:44 | 0.00 | 65.4% | +0.1 |
 Brayden PointC · #21 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17:33 | 0.51 | 70.7% | +14.0 |
 Anthony CirelliC · #71 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 16:06 | 0.00 | 52.4% | 0.0 |
 Gage GoncalvesC · #93 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 15:31 | 0.39 | 73.4% | +16.0 |
 Erik CernakD · #81 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 15:28 | 0.29 | 71.8% | +46.2 |
 Yanni GourdeC · #37 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 15:00 | 0.22 | 63.7% | 0.0 |
 Pontus HolmbergRW · #29 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 13:57 | 0.81 | 58.1% | +0.1 |
 Zemgus GirgensonsC · #28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 12:49 | 0.21 | 58.1% | 0.0 |
 Nick PaulLW · #20 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12:44 | 0.02 | 44.8% | +3.9 |
 Scott SabourinRW · #46 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:11 | 0.10 | 61.4% | 0.0 |
 Corey PerryRW · #10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:37 | 0.02 | 81.1% | 0.0 |
 Andrei Vasilevskiy#88 | W | 24 | 21 | 3 | .875 | 2.38 | −0.6 | 59:27 |