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Ice Lab

Tue, Mar 24, 2026·Benchmark International Arena, Tampa

Minnesota Wild 3, Tampa Bay Lightning 6

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 84% of the time.

TBL winsMIN wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against MIN's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Eriksson Ek–Kaprizov–BoldyZuccarello–Tarasenko–HartmanJohansson–Brink–YurovFoligno–McCarron–TreninTarasenko–McCarron–TreninJohansson–McCarron–BrinkJohansson–Tarasenko–HartmanJohansson–McCarron–TreninBrodin–FaberSpurgeon–HughesBogosian–MiddletonHughes–FaberBogosian–Hughes
Kucherov–Cirelli–Hagel7:410.29–0.251:260.00–0.000:380.00–0.182:400.01–0.304:590.36–0.021:430.11–0.020:550.13–0.06
Guentzel–Point–Goncalves1:490.17–0.184:390.43–0.061:020.00–0.001:040.45–0.000:350.00–0.005:200.53–0.061:460.45–0.000:410.00–0.002:090.08–0.18
Gourde–Girgensons–Holmberg1:450.00–0.201:580.15–0.002:320.20–0.000:490.03–0.002:060.22–0.123:480.00–0.201:420.26–0.001:400.00–0.000:490.03–0.00
Perry–Sabourin–Paul0:350.02–0.003:000.10–0.011:150.10–0.000:510.02–0.002:450.00–0.04
Kucherov–Guentzel–Point0:430.00–0.200:480.04–0.00
Sabourin–Paul–Goncalves0:360.00–0.001:030.00–0.00
Kucherov–Point–Hagel0:490.14–0.000:590.16–0.00
Gourde–Guentzel–Goncalves0:350.00–0.000:510.01–0.00
D'Astous–Lilleberg3:560.20–0.185:020.23–0.031:360.00–0.061:460.10–0.000:400.22–0.000:410.00–0.005:320.19–0.114:330.22–0.002:390.14–0.032:460.21–0.20
Raddysh–Moser5:290.28–0.201:490.10–0.032:370.00–0.000:380.00–0.183:590.21–0.506:330.11–0.022:540.15–0.021:240.00–0.18
McDonagh–Cernak2:330.11–0.201:390.27–0.001:330.20–0.011:420.00–0.014:030.32–0.002:090.27–0.202:520.13–0.021:320.00–0.000:330.03–0.00
Raddysh–D'Astous0:400.27–0.001:010.29–0.080:300.22–0.00
McDonagh–Raddysh
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndGirgensons FHolmberg FGourde FGuentzel FGoncalves FPoint FHagel FCirelli FPaul FPerry FSabourin FKucherov FMcDonagh DCernak DD'Astous DLilleberg DRaddysh DMoser DVasilevskiy GBoldy FEriksson Ek FKaprizov FTarasenko FHartman FZuccarello FBrink FJohansson FYurov FTrenin FMcCarron FFoligno FHughes DSpurgeon DFaber DBrodin DMiddleton DBogosian DGustavsson G
TBLMINFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Quinn HughesMIN2228:521:192:5213
Brock FaberMIN2424:391:021:5022
Darren RaddyshTBL2523:480:571:4033
Kirill KaprizovMIN2121:311:012:2930
Matt BoldyMIN2121:151:012:1333
Charle-Edouard D'AstousTBL2620:270:471:2611
J.J. MoserTBL2320:260:531:5213
Joel Eriksson EkMIN2019:521:002:1333
Jared SpurgeonMIN2319:480:522:0715
Nikita KucherovTBL1919:261:012:5422
Jake GuentzelTBL2319:140:501:4371
Emil LillebergTBL2619:010:441:2813
Brandon HagelTBL2318:490:491:4325
Jonas BrodinMIN2118:130:522:0012
Ryan McDonaghTBL2117:440:512:1312
Brayden PointTBL2217:330:481:4891
Ryan HartmanMIN1916:100:511:2832
Anthony CirelliTBL1916:060:512:1304
Mats ZuccarelloMIN1715:480:562:5221
Gage GoncalvesTBL1815:310:521:1830
Erik CernakTBL2215:280:421:4912
Vladimir TarasenkoMIN1915:250:491:3131
Yanni GourdeTBL1815:000:501:2902
Marcus JohanssonMIN1714:100:501:2420
Pontus HolmbergTBL1713:570:491:1301
Jake MiddletonMIN1813:160:441:3603
Zemgus GirgensonsTBL1812:490:431:1702
Nick PaulTBL1912:440:401:1414
Bobby BrinkMIN1412:240:531:2010
Zach BogosianMIN1511:520:471:2610
Yakov TreninMIN1211:430:591:3700
Danila YurovMIN1411:270:491:4800
Michael McCarronMIN1411:070:481:5612
Nick FolignoMIN1310:180:481:1400
Scott SabourinTBL139:110:421:0210
Corey PerryTBL128:370:431:0610