Sun, Mar 29, 2026·Benchmark International Arena, Tampa
Nashville Predators 2, Tampa Bay Lightning 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 55% of the time.
47%
8%
8%
37%
TBL winsNSH wins
Nashville Predators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 4 | 27:05 | 0.11 | 20.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 24:29 | 0.00 | 56.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 22:46 | 0.09 | 21.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 4 | 19:37 | 0.52 | 61.6% | +50.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 17:17 | 0.20 | 77.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:16 | 0.49 | 23.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 17:05 | 0.10 | 48.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 16:39 | 0.02 | 34.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 14:57 | 0.04 | 38.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 14:57 | 0.20 | 69.3% | +33.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 14:55 | 0.08 | 64.5% | +33.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:48 | 0.05 | 78.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 14:24 | 0.32 | 49.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 14:22 | 0.03 | 64.3% | +17.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:05 | 0.00 | 22.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:42 | 0.08 | 13.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 8:16 | 0.96 | 77.7% | +17.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:26 | 0.00 | 7.2% | 0.0 |
| L | 28 | 25 | 3 | .893 | 3.62 | +0.6 | 58:54 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 23:51 | 0.03 | 67.3% | +18.9 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 22:20 | 0.96 | 49.8% | +33.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20:59 | 0.27 | 49.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 20:10 | 0.01 | 64.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 19:06 | 0.00 | 20.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 3 | 18:46 | 0.40 | 80.7% | +87.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 18:06 | 0.79 | 48.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 17:34 | 0.02 | 78.8% | +34.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:08 | 0.05 | 34.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:08 | 0.07 | 46.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 15:52 | 0.04 | 70.9% | +18.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:49 | 0.03 | 13.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 15:29 | 0.07 | 17.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 12:59 | 0.40 | 76.0% | +34.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 11:54 | 0.30 | 46.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:36 | 0.13 | 65.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:19 | 0.06 | 73.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5:54 | 0.00 | 55.5% | 0.0 |
| W | 31 | 29 | 2 | .935 | 3.30 | +1.3 | 60:00 |