Sun, Mar 29, 2026·Benchmark International Arena, Tampa
Nashville Predators 2, Tampa Bay Lightning 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 55% of the time.
47%
8%
8%
37%
TBL winsNSH wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against NSH's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Stamkos–O'Reilly–L'Heureux | Marchessault–Forsberg–Svechkov | Haula–Jost–Evangelista | Stamkos–O'Reilly–Evangelista | Kemell–Schaefer–Wood | Forsberg–Svechkov–Kemell | Haula–Marchessault–Forsberg | Haula–Evangelista–Wood | Jost–Svechkov–Kemell | Jost–Svechkov–Schaefer | Josi–Skjei | Barron–Wilsby | Hague–Perbix | Josi–Hague | Skjei–Barron | Skjei–Wilsby | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gourde–Girgensons–Holmberg | 1:300.00–0.06 | 0:490.00–0.03 | 0:580.00–0.05 | 0:400.08–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.01 | 3:080.05–0.06 | 2:290.11–0.08 | 1:550.10–0.17 | ||||||||
| Cirelli–Hagel–Goncalves | 2:020.11–0.00 | 0:570.24–0.00 | 0:530.00–0.13 | 0:570.00–0.05 | 2:560.22–0.09 | 1:090.08–0.12 | 1:510.00–0.18 | 0:310.06–0.00 | ||||||||
| Perry–Guentzel–Point | 2:040.46–0.18 | 0:420.07–0.00 | 0:360.00–0.00 | 2:090.53–0.00 | 1:550.13–0.02 | 1:280.07–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Sabourin–Bjorkstrand–Paul | 1:060.12–0.00 | 1:020.00–0.00 | 1:300.12–0.05 | 0:300.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||
| Guentzel–Point–Hagel | 0:430.00–0.09 | |||||||||||||||
| Guentzel–Cirelli–Hagel | 0:440.03–0.00 | 1:010.03–0.02 | ||||||||||||||
| Paul–Point–Goncalves | 0:450.00–0.00 | 0:410.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||||
| Raddysh–Moser | 2:280.11–0.11 | 2:350.34–0.00 | 1:520.00–0.18 | 0:360.00–0.02 | 0:480.00–0.05 | 1:090.07–0.00 | 6:560.57–0.15 | 2:350.13–0.15 | 2:440.07–0.28 | 0:540.01–0.00 | 0:310.07–0.00 | |||||
| McDonagh–Cernak | 2:360.01–0.08 | 1:400.04–0.00 | 0:520.00–0.05 | 0:440.00–0.00 | 0:440.03–0.82 | 1:260.00–0.05 | 2:550.07–0.89 | 3:260.11–0.17 | 0:500.00–0.00 | |||||||
| D'Astous–Lilleberg | 2:110.22–0.03 | 1:160.00–0.18 | 1:020.00–0.00 | 2:470.04–0.00 | 3:020.22–0.06 | 1:500.00–0.00 | 0:380.24–0.00 | 0:370.00–0.00 | ||||||||
| McDonagh–Lilleberg | 0:440.01–0.01 | 1:410.04–0.02 | ||||||||||||||
| Cernak–D'Astous | 0:310.00–0.00 | 1:010.00–0.01 | ||||||||||||||
| Raddysh–D'Astous | 0:410.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||||
| Moser–Lilleberg | 1:160.46–0.00 | 0:580.46–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
TBLNSHFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Roman JosiNSH | 26 | 27:05 | 1:03 | 1:42 | 7 | 5 |
 Ryan O'ReillyNSH | 26 | 24:29 | 0:57 | 1:43 | 6 | 5 |
 Darren RaddyshTBL | 26 | 23:51 | 0:55 | 3:18 | 3 | 4 |
 Brady SkjeiNSH | 26 | 22:46 | 0:53 | 1:35 | 5 | 6 |
 Brandon HagelTBL | 25 | 22:20 | 0:54 | 2:31 | 3 | 5 |
 Anthony CirelliTBL | 28 | 20:59 | 0:45 | 1:37 | 3 | 8 |
 J.J. MoserTBL | 25 | 20:10 | 0:48 | 1:44 | 3 | 5 |
 Filip ForsbergNSH | 20 | 19:37 | 0:59 | 2:36 | 2 | 1 |
 Ryan McDonaghTBL | 25 | 19:06 | 0:46 | 1:30 | 1 | 7 |
 Jake GuentzelTBL | 19 | 18:46 | 0:59 | 2:31 | 8 | 0 |
 Brayden PointTBL | 18 | 18:06 | 1:00 | 3:13 | 6 | 0 |
 Emil LillebergTBL | 20 | 17:34 | 0:53 | 2:00 | 1 | 2 |
 Steven StamkosNSH | 20 | 17:17 | 0:52 | 1:42 | 5 | 2 |
 Jonathan MarchessaultNSH | 18 | 17:16 | 0:58 | 2:31 | 2 | 3 |
 Gage GoncalvesTBL | 22 | 17:08 | 0:47 | 1:19 | 4 | 0 |
 Nicolas HagueNSH | 19 | 17:05 | 0:54 | 1:22 | 1 | 3 |
 Tyson JostNSH | 16 | 16:39 | 1:02 | 1:49 | 0 | 1 |
 Zemgus GirgensonsTBL | 23 | 16:08 | 0:42 | 1:16 | 1 | 8 |
 Charle-Edouard D'AstousTBL | 16 | 15:52 | 1:00 | 2:25 | 1 | 0 |
 Erik CernakTBL | 21 | 15:49 | 0:45 | 1:30 | 0 | 5 |
 Yanni GourdeTBL | 21 | 15:29 | 0:44 | 1:36 | 1 | 4 |
 Luke EvangelistaNSH | 18 | 14:57 | 0:50 | 1:24 | 3 | 0 |
 Adam WilsbyNSH | 19 | 14:57 | 0:47 | 1:43 | 1 | 1 |
 Fedor SvechkovNSH | 15 | 14:55 | 1:00 | 1:46 | 1 | 2 |
 Nick PerbixNSH | 21 | 14:48 | 0:42 | 1:11 | 1 | 5 |
 Zachary L'HeureuxNSH | 20 | 14:24 | 0:43 | 1:09 | 2 | 4 |
 Justin BarronNSH | 21 | 14:22 | 0:41 | 1:45 | 2 | 1 |
 Erik HaulaNSH | 22 | 14:05 | 0:38 | 1:16 | 2 | 4 |
 Matthew WoodNSH | 15 | 13:42 | 0:55 | 1:19 | 2 | 0 |
 Corey PerryTBL | 17 | 12:59 | 0:46 | 1:57 | 3 | 0 |
 Pontus HolmbergTBL | 16 | 11:54 | 0:45 | 1:18 | 1 | 4 |
 Nick PaulTBL | 17 | 11:36 | 0:41 | 1:38 | 3 | 5 |
 Oliver BjorkstrandTBL | 8 | 8:19 | 1:02 | 1:20 | 1 | 0 |
 Joakim KemellNSH | 11 | 8:16 | 0:45 | 1:10 | 2 | 0 |
 Reid SchaeferNSH | 7 | 6:26 | 0:55 | 1:27 | 0 | 0 |
 Scott SabourinTBL | 8 | 5:54 | 0:44 | 1:12 | 0 | 0 |