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Ice Lab

Thu, Apr 2, 2026·Benchmark International Arena, Tampa

Pittsburgh Penguins 3, Tampa Bay Lightning 6

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 84% of the time.

TBL winsPIT wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Shift data for this game has gaps, so treat the charts as approximate.

Line matchups

TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against PIT's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Crosby–Rust–ChinakhovMalkin–Rakell–NovakAcciari–Dewar–SoderblomMantha–Brazeau–KindelCrosby–Mantha–ChinakhovRust–Rakell–NovakKarlsson–WotherspoonLetang–GirardClifton–SheaLetang–WotherspoonClifton–Girard
Kucherov–Guentzel–Point0:420.22–0.004:240.42–0.553:240.02–0.480:500.42–0.008:091.11–0.711:560.25–0.391:130.02–0.08
Gourde–Girgensons–Holmberg7:360.45–0.150:390.00–0.032:480.32–0.014:470.26–0.150:560.00–0.030:420.00–0.00
Perry–Paul–Chaffee6:290.12–0.071:280.00–0.002:280.09–0.063:560.26–0.02
Bjorkstrand–Cirelli–Goncalves0:580.00–0.002:030.00–0.021:550.30–0.031:010.00–0.020:530.00–0.002:520.02–0.023:170.36–0.060:310.00–0.00
Kucherov–Cirelli–Goncalves0:440.00–0.180:550.00–0.030:440.00–0.180:550.00–0.03
Guentzel–Cirelli–Goncalves0:440.00–0.00
D'Astous–Lilleberg0:550.01–0.074:240.12–0.253:310.03–0.073:070.30–0.160:560.00–0.023:320.09–0.253:280.02–0.156:460.64–0.190:320.00–0.00
Raddysh–Moser1:250.23–0.004:230.01–0.692:040.01–0.002:340.02–0.130:500.42–0.006:540.72–0.572:390.23–0.262:130.00–0.030:320.01–0.00
McDonagh–Cernak6:310.44–0.081:240.09–0.010:430.00–0.003:380.32–0.015:430.36–0.081:090.00–0.00
Raddysh–D'Astous0:390.00–0.000:360.00–0.000:420.03–0.001:130.00–0.00
Moser–Lilleberg0:500.00–0.110:480.00–0.29
Cernak–Moser0:330.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndGirgensons FHolmberg FGourde FGuentzel FKucherov FPoint FBjorkstrand FCirelli FGoncalves FPerry FChaffee FPaul FRaddysh DMoser DCernak DMcDonagh DD'Astous DLilleberg DVasilevskiy GRust FChinakhov FCrosby FMalkin FNovak FKindel FBrazeau FMantha FRakell FDewar FSoderblom FAcciari FWotherspoon DKarlsson DGirard DLetang DShea DClifton DSkinner G
TBLPITFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Erik KarlssonPIT2523:480:571:5873
Darren RaddyshTBL2321:420:572:1941
Jake GuentzelTBL2521:240:511:5342
Charle-Edouard D'AstousTBL2520:580:501:4263
Nikita KucherovTBL2220:450:572:1941
Emil LillebergTBL2620:420:481:2042
Kris LetangPIT2320:040:522:2431
Parker WotherspoonPIT2120:000:572:0244
Sidney CrosbyPIT2619:430:461:26110
J.J. MoserTBL2419:130:481:1933
Rickard RakellPIT2318:240:482:1344
Samuel GirardPIT2118:200:522:2560
Egor ChinakhovPIT2418:190:461:1980
Evgeni MalkinPIT2118:180:521:5933
Bryan RustPIT2518:050:431:25112
Ryan McDonaghTBL2418:040:451:25111
Brayden PointTBL2117:590:512:1531
Erik CernakTBL2517:210:421:19111
Connor CliftonPIT2216:530:462:1203
Ryan SheaPIT2016:130:491:4203
Yanni GourdeTBL2515:430:381:4215
Gage GoncalvesTBL2015:430:471:3535
Anthony CirelliTBL2215:080:411:2538
Zemgus GirgensonsTBL2214:500:401:4316
Tommy NovakPIT2014:270:431:1633
Anthony ManthaPIT1913:590:441:2312
Connor DewarPIT1813:110:441:4406
Corey PerryTBL1212:261:022:0730
Noel AcciariPIT1612:210:461:1206
Ben KindelPIT1811:590:401:2612
Elmer SoderblomPIT1511:430:471:0904
Pontus HolmbergTBL1811:330:391:0406
Nick PaulTBL1511:000:441:1335
Justin BrazeauPIT169:530:371:2211
Oliver BjorkstrandTBL149:280:411:2562
Mitchell ChaffeeTBL119:230:511:1630