Thu, Apr 9, 2026·Centre Bell, Montreal
Tampa Bay Lightning 1, Montréal Canadiens 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Montréal Canadiens win this game 87% of the time.
82%
8%
MTL winsTBL wins
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 26:38 | 0.73 | 30.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 23:12 | 0.18 | 37.7% | +48.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22:47 | 0.01 | 12.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 22:05 | 0.04 | 9.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21:22 | 0.16 | 35.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 20:41 | 0.02 | 35.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20:28 | 0.00 | 28.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 18:43 | 0.00 | 59.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18:19 | 0.05 | 45.2% | +48.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:05 | 0.10 | 15.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 13:59 | 0.25 | 67.3% | +48.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 13:17 | 0.25 | 68.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:25 | 0.00 | 6.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:46 | 0.00 | 9.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:12 | 0.08 | 49.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 7:38 | 0.00 | 15.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7:06 | 0.07 | 0.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5:02 | 0.00 | 28.2% | 0.0 |
| L | 21 | 19 | 2 | .905 | 3.41 | +1.4 | 58:15 |
Montréal Canadiens
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 29:17 | 0.16 | 87.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 25:39 | 0.00 | 70.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22:55 | 0.04 | 29.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 22:25 | 0.86 | 85.6% | +73.2 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 21:23 | 1.05 | 85.6% | +73.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:14 | 0.15 | 75.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:56 | 0.22 | 75.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 5 | 17:56 | 0.61 | 85.6% | +23.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:38 | 0.00 | 25.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:03 | 0.20 | 71.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:40 | 0.18 | 23.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:32 | 0.00 | 80.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:29 | 0.79 | 46.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:09 | 0.01 | 87.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:44 | 0.08 | 49.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:12 | 0.08 | 63.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:03 | 0.11 | 38.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:45 | 0.00 | 71.6% | 0.0 |
| W | 18 | 17 | 1 | .944 | 1.94 | +0.9 | 60:00 |