Fri, Oct 22, 2010·HSBC Arena, Buffalo
Ottawa Senators 4, Buffalo Sabres 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 73% of the time.
20%
9%
64%
BUF winsOTT wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against OTT's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Alfredsson–Fisher–Michalek | Ruutu–Neil–Kelly | Kovalev–Regin–Foligno | Shannon–Foligno–Winchester | Gonchar–Phillips | Hale–Karlsson | Carkner–Campoli | Phillips–Carkner | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roy–Vanek–Stafford | 5:470.03–0.30 | 4:190.09–0.14 | 2:380.07–0.03 | 11:270.12–0.43 | 0:310.04–0.00 | 1:390.01–0.03 | 0:470.00–0.00 | |
| Hecht–Connolly–McCormick | 3:030.42–0.16 | 2:230.03–0.00 | 2:110.02–0.03 | 0:340.00–0.00 | 2:130.36–0.00 | 3:460.04–0.16 | 3:100.15–0.03 | |
| Niedermayer–Grier–Ennis | 2:150.11–0.03 | 2:110.00–0.21 | 0:330.00–0.35 | 0:570.03–0.00 | 2:360.00–0.09 | 2:210.00–0.51 | ||
| Gaustad–Kaleta–Gerbe | 3:480.14–0.06 | 3:150.01–0.10 | 1:090.08–0.06 | 4:290.05–0.10 | 1:260.01–0.00 | |||
| Gaustad–Kaleta–Ennis | 0:570.00–0.01 | 0:570.00–0.00 | ||||||
| Leopold–Myers | 9:450.58–0.50 | 1:490.00–0.00 | 2:210.00–0.07 | 0:340.00–0.35 | 6:240.44–0.24 | 5:350.02–0.33 | 2:530.04–0.36 | |
| Montador–Butler | 2:030.00–0.02 | 3:370.06–0.03 | 3:350.06–0.00 | 0:530.02–0.00 | 5:080.11–0.03 | 2:510.02–0.02 | 3:320.09–0.00 | 0:440.00–0.00 |
| Rivet–Sekera | 1:050.00–0.13 | 7:030.13–0.24 | 1:370.04–0.18 | 4:370.04–0.26 | 3:010.05–0.10 | 3:180.01–0.20 | ||
| Montador–Sekera | 0:390.03–0.00 | |||||||
| Montador–Myers | 0:420.00–0.04 |
Every shift, one row per player.
BUFOTTFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Tyler MyersBUF | 30 | 24:37 | 0:49 | 1:37 | 3 | 4 |
 Sergei GoncharOTT | 24 | 24:29 | 1:01 | 2:01 | 2 | 6 |
 Chris PhillipsOTT | 25 | 23:32 | 0:56 | 2:04 | 2 | 6 |
 Jordan LeopoldBUF | 29 | 23:11 | 0:48 | 1:37 | 4 | 6 |
 Mike FisherOTT | 23 | 22:58 | 1:00 | 2:01 | 3 | 2 |
 Milan MichalekOTT | 23 | 21:08 | 0:55 | 1:50 | 3 | 1 |
 Derek RoyBUF | 23 | 21:01 | 0:55 | 1:37 | 4 | 3 |
 Daniel AlfredssonOTT | 24 | 20:46 | 0:52 | 2:01 | 3 | 2 |
 Erik KarlssonOTT | 20 | 19:01 | 0:57 | 1:51 | 2 | 3 |
 Thomas VanekBUF | 22 | 18:52 | 0:51 | 1:45 | 4 | 2 |
 Drew StaffordBUF | 21 | 18:40 | 0:53 | 1:20 | 5 | 3 |
 Andrej SekeraBUF | 25 | 18:36 | 0:45 | 1:11 | 5 | 3 |
 Steve MontadorBUF | 25 | 18:32 | 0:44 | 1:23 | 3 | 5 |
 Chris NeilOTT | 25 | 17:50 | 0:43 | 1:28 | 2 | 7 |
 Chris ButlerBUF | 23 | 17:35 | 0:46 | 1:32 | 2 | 4 |
 Chris CampoliOTT | 20 | 17:14 | 0:52 | 1:28 | 4 | 0 |
 Craig RivetBUF | 22 | 17:04 | 0:47 | 1:09 | 3 | 2 |
 Nick FolignoOTT | 23 | 17:01 | 0:44 | 1:21 | 4 | 1 |
 Chris KellyOTT | 23 | 16:56 | 0:44 | 1:28 | 2 | 8 |
 Peter ReginOTT | 21 | 16:55 | 0:48 | 1:24 | 4 | 1 |
 Alex KovalevOTT | 19 | 16:38 | 0:53 | 1:54 | 4 | 0 |
 Matt CarknerOTT | 20 | 16:37 | 0:50 | 1:30 | 3 | 1 |
 Tim ConnollyBUF | 23 | 16:36 | 0:43 | 1:15 | 5 | 4 |
 David HaleOTT | 19 | 16:33 | 0:52 | 1:28 | 0 | 2 |
 Jarkko RuutuOTT | 21 | 16:10 | 0:46 | 1:28 | 2 | 6 |
 Jochen HechtBUF | 21 | 15:25 | 0:44 | 1:15 | 4 | 4 |
 Paul GaustadBUF | 17 | 13:21 | 0:47 | 1:37 | 0 | 4 |
 Mike GrierBUF | 18 | 13:16 | 0:44 | 1:37 | 2 | 4 |
 Tyler EnnisBUF | 16 | 12:39 | 0:47 | 1:10 | 2 | 1 |
 Cody McCormickBUF | 16 | 11:27 | 0:43 | 1:11 | 4 | 3 |
 Rob NiedermayerBUF | 16 | 11:10 | 0:42 | 1:10 | 2 | 2 |
 Nathan GerbeBUF | 14 | 10:27 | 0:45 | 1:09 | 1 | 1 |
 Patrick KaletaBUF | 14 | 10:20 | 0:44 | 1:05 | 0 | 1 |
 Jesse WinchesterOTT | 11 | 5:31 | 0:30 | 0:56 | 1 | 2 |
 Ryan ShannonOTT | 11 | 5:13 | 0:28 | 0:56 | 2 | 1 |
 Brian LeeOTT | 4 | 1:28 | 0:22 | 0:46 | 1 | 0 |