Wed, Nov 3, 2010·Verizon Center, Washington
Toronto Maple Leafs 4, Washington Capitals 5 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 58% of the time.
34%
9%
49%
WSH winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 28:14 | 0.00 | 74.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 26:02 | 0.00 | 52.4% | +29.4 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 24:02 | 0.31 | 66.8% | +44.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23:41 | 0.10 | 56.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21:57 | 0.32 | 48.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 21:33 | 0.29 | 48.3% | +58.8 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20:21 | 0.36 | 65.0% | +20.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 19:55 | 0.24 | 75.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19:52 | 0.20 | 65.1% | +20.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 18:30 | 0.79 | 73.3% | +29.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 17:59 | 0.00 | 48.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 13:48 | 0.02 | 25.1% | +15.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 13:13 | 0.02 | 47.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 7 | 13:03 | 0.72 | 66.6% | +15.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 12:27 | 0.00 | 15.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:04 | 0.00 | 93.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7:28 | 0.00 | 74.2% | +20.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3:41 | 0.00 | 88.1% | 0.0 |
| O | 30 | 26 | 4 | .867 | 2.96 | −1.0 | 65:00 |
Washington Capitals
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 3 | 30:20 | 0.42 | 39.6% | +24.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 23:50 | 0.02 | 40.6% | +15.7 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | −1 | 3 | 23:11 | 0.46 | 37.5% | +60.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 22:41 | 0.47 | 43.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 22:37 | 0.00 | 38.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22:29 | 0.01 | 35.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 0 | 19:48 | 0.09 | 38.3% | +51.1 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | −1 | 4 | 19:19 | 0.51 | 28.5% | +60.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 17:04 | 0.28 | 48.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 16:14 | 0.30 | 34.1% | +15.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 15:55 | 0.06 | 86.9% | +22.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 15:02 | 0.19 | 55.5% | +22.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:18 | 0.00 | 53.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 5 | 13:59 | 0.13 | 42.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 10:35 | 0.00 | 17.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:34 | 0.00 | 37.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9:59 | 0.01 | 46.6% | +22.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 5:17 | 0.00 | 28.3% | 0.0 |
| W | 28 | 24 | 4 | .857 | 3.37 | −0.6 | 64:59 |