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Ice Lab

Sat, Nov 20, 2010·HSBC Arena, Buffalo

Tampa Bay Lightning 2, Buffalo Sabres 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 59% of the time.

BUF winsTBL wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Shift data for this game has gaps, so treat the charts as approximate.

Line matchups

BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TBL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

St. Louis–Downie–StamkosMalone–Moore–PurcellHall–Bergenheim–ThompsonHall–Thompson–JonesBergenheim–Thompson–PurcellMoore–Jones–TyrellMoore–Bergenheim–TyrellHall–Thompson–TyrellOhlund–LundinKubina–JonesClark–HedmanVernace–HedmanKubina–VernaceLundin–VernaceOhlund–Jones
Hecht–Connolly–Pominville3:500.08–0.012:350.13–0.000:300.00–0.003:010.03–0.003:340.23–0.012:450.04–0.010:460.02–0.00
Roy–Vanek–Ennis1:310.00–0.003:120.00–0.002:210.00–0.005:000.16–0.021:030.00–0.103:090.00–0.00
Niedermayer–Grier–McCormick2:050.00–0.021:270.01–0.011:480.00–0.312:480.00–0.012:460.00–0.401:110.01–0.000:330.00–0.00
Gaustad–Kaleta–Gerbe4:060.03–0.050:360.00–0.000:300.00–0.002:100.00–0.052:020.00–0.091:510.01–0.000:480.00–0.00
Gaustad–Kaleta–Ennis1:040.01–0.001:040.01–0.00
Gaustad–Pominville–Kaleta0:460.00–0.000:390.00–0.010:470.00–0.00
Gaustad–Roy–Vanek0:540.00–0.081:060.04–0.08
Leopold–Montador3:500.02–0.073:130.11–0.001:470.00–0.310:420.11–0.000:560.03–0.000:360.00–0.006:570.16–0.074:580.18–0.492:310.03–0.00
Sekera–Myers6:400.08–0.031:530.02–0.001:110.04–0.000:300.00–0.001:500.00–0.003:040.08–0.015:350.04–0.010:380.00–0.000:310.02–0.00
Rivet–Morrisonn0:480.01–0.003:030.03–0.013:220.00–0.000:540.00–0.081:240.01–0.100:310.00–0.003:290.03–0.013:200.03–0.191:590.00–0.010:530.00–0.000:570.00–0.000:590.00–0.08
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndGaustad FKaleta FGerbe FConnolly FPominville FHecht FRoy FVanek FEnnis FMcCormick FNiedermayer FGrier FLeopold DMontador DSekera DMyers DMorrisonn DRivet DLalime GBergenheim FHall FThompson FDownie FSt. Louis FStamkos FMalone FPurcell FMoore FTyrell FJones FClark DHedman DOhlund DLundin DKubina DJones DVernace DSmith G
BUFTBLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Jordan LeopoldBUF2923:510:492:0034
Steve MontadorBUF2722:040:491:4414
Tyler MyersBUF2821:570:471:4455
Martin St. LouisTBL2421:200:531:2041
Derek RoyBUF2320:390:541:5375
Steven StamkosTBL2420:200:511:1832
Andrej SekeraBUF2620:190:472:1126
Pavel KubinaTBL2719:490:441:2322
Thomas VanekBUF2018:410:561:5371
Mike LundinTBL2418:410:471:1125
Victor HedmanTBL2518:390:451:2031
Brett ClarkTBL2618:340:431:2042
Ryan MaloneTBL2518:310:441:1341
Mattias OhlundTBL2418:270:461:2629
Tim ConnollyBUF2217:500:491:5321
Steve DownieTBL2417:290:441:1321
Nate ThompsonTBL2417:230:431:2315
Jason PominvilleBUF1917:210:551:5332
Jochen HechtBUF2216:460:461:2211
Teddy PurcellTBL2116:440:481:1341
Sean BergenheimTBL2516:400:401:1243
Dominic MooreTBL2516:380:401:0931
Randy JonesTBL2116:220:471:3514
Adam HallTBL2115:120:431:4106
Tyler EnnisBUF1714:510:521:1422
Craig RivetBUF2014:300:441:5122
Paul GaustadBUF1913:370:431:2615
Shaone MorrisonnBUF1913:000:411:2621
Mike GrierBUF1612:250:471:0614
Rob NiedermayerBUF1510:540:441:0320
Cody McCormickBUF1310:480:501:0410
Dana TyrellTBL1610:400:400:5720
Patrick KaletaBUF1410:210:441:2614
Nathan GerbeBUF149:030:391:0614
Blair JonesTBL107:500:471:5021
Mike VernaceTBL64:410:471:1110