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Ice Lab

Fri, Jan 14, 2011·St. Pete Times Forum, Tampa

New Jersey Devils 5, Tampa Bay Lightning 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 57% of the time.

TBL winsNJD wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against NJD's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Rolston–Elias–ZubrusClarkson–Sestito–PelleyArnott–Kovalchuk–PalmieriKovalchuk–Zajac–PalmieriKovalchuk–Zajac–ZharkovArnott–Mair–ZharkovArnott–Kovalchuk–ZharkovZajac–Pelley–PalmieriArnott–Zharkov–PalmieriWhite–GreeneTallinder–FayneFraser–CorrenteTallinder–FraserTallinder–GreeneFraser–Greene
St. Louis–Malone–Stamkos3:470.14–0.000:570.11–0.010:360.00–0.002:440.25–0.081:230.00–0.001:040.00–0.011:220.00–0.00
Lecavalier–Gagne–Bergenheim0:360.07–0.411:390.09–0.071:360.08–0.021:250.00–0.000:590.14–0.411:150.00–0.011:330.00–0.020:330.01–0.000:550.09–0.06
Hall–Thompson–Tyrell0:500.00–0.000:370.00–0.001:450.00–0.050:530.01–0.000:430.00–0.052:230.01–0.000:590.00–0.00
Lecavalier–Gagne–Malone0:590.00–0.000:300.00–0.021:060.06–0.001:070.00–0.000:330.00–0.00
St. Louis–Downie–Stamkos1:370.00–0.000:340.00–0.002:260.07–0.00
Moore–Downie–Purcell2:370.01–0.000:340.00–0.001:100.00–0.001:230.01–0.00
Hall–Moore–Tyrell0:590.00–0.020:300.02–0.050:490.00–0.001:020.07–0.051:380.00–0.02
Lecavalier–Gagne–Moore0:380.00–0.000:430.01–0.020:380.00–0.00
St. Louis–Downie–Purcell0:370.03–0.000:430.03–0.00
Bergenheim–Thompson–Purcell0:320.00–0.00
Hall–Malone–Bergenheim0:480.02–0.00
St. Louis–Lecavalier–Stamkos0:500.00–0.000:480.02–0.000:310.00–0.00
Hall–Malone–Stamkos0:580.00–0.040:480.00–0.03
Lecavalier–Gagne–Stamkos0:410.00–0.00
St. Louis–Malone–Downie0:320.03–0.000:320.03–0.000:350.00–0.00
Thompson–Downie–Purcell0:320.03–0.00
Kubina–Jones1:490.09–0.004:120.10–0.172:510.18–0.290:510.00–0.000:360.00–0.003:290.36–0.083:210.00–0.251:570.01–0.080:410.00–0.001:030.09–0.06
Clark–Hedman1:540.00–0.143:030.10–0.020:580.01–0.010:310.00–0.000:420.00–0.003:170.15–0.142:410.03–0.001:520.00–0.011:070.01–0.02
Ohlund–Lundin2:210.07–0.302:220.00–0.071:530.05–0.002:360.07–0.302:130.01–0.072:380.11–0.000:520.04–0.00
Ohlund–Hedman1:080.00–0.001:010.00–0.001:310.05–0.070:470.00–0.001:200.05–0.050:590.00–0.000:490.00–0.020:420.00–0.000:470.00–0.00
Kubina–Hedman0:330.05–0.000:300.00–0.020:410.04–0.071:150.02–0.00
Clark–Kubina1:500.08–0.000:460.03–0.002:330.11–0.000:510.00–0.00
Ohlund–Kubina0:590.07–0.000:550.03–0.000:560.07–0.001:030.03–0.000:440.00–0.02
Kubina–Lundin2:000.08–0.00
Jones–Hedman0:400.00–0.020:430.01–0.020:400.00–0.02
Clark–Lundin0:350.02–0.000:350.02–0.00
Ohlund–Jones0:360.02–0.010:300.00–0.000:380.00–0.03
Lundin–Hedman0:450.00–0.00
Jones–Lundin0:320.00–0.000:370.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndLecavalier FBergenheim FGagne FHall FTyrell FThompson FMalone FSt. Louis FStamkos FDownie FPurcell FMoore FJones DKubina DOhlund DLundin DHedman DClark DRoloson GEllis GPelley FSestito FClarkson FKovalchuk FZajac FPalmieri FZubrus FElias FRolston FMair FZharkov FArnott FFraser DGreene DTallinder DWhite DFayne DCorrente DBrodeur G
TBLNJDFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Pavel KubinaTBL3126:440:522:1153
Henrik TallinderNJD3525:050:431:1833
Andy GreeneNJD3424:460:441:2625
Colin WhiteNJD3322:360:411:2514
Ilya KovalchukNJD2721:540:492:3530
Victor HedmanTBL2921:270:441:3602
Steven StamkosTBL2421:220:531:5131
Martin St. LouisTBL2419:570:501:5131
Patrik EliasNJD3119:560:391:1118
Mark FraserNJD3019:060:381:0620
Brian RolstonNJD2819:040:411:1725
Dainius ZubrusNJD2618:420:431:2626
Ryan MaloneTBL2218:380:511:2441
Mattias OhlundTBL2317:430:461:3612
Vincent LecavalierTBL2417:340:441:3733
Randy JonesTBL2117:230:501:5623
Simon GagneTBL2416:400:421:2133
Brett ClarkTBL2516:180:391:2102
Travis ZajacNJD2716:130:361:0923
Dominic MooreTBL2015:450:471:1431
Mike LundinTBL1915:260:491:3322
Mark FayneNJD2515:210:371:1212
Jason ArnottNJD2314:460:391:0932
Vladimir ZharkovNJD2514:210:340:5312
Sean BergenheimTBL2114:140:411:4313
Nick PalmieriNJD2113:470:391:0030
Rod PelleyNJD2113:440:391:0211
Steve DownieTBL1613:280:511:2200
David ClarksonNJD1912:220:391:0530
Teddy PurcellTBL1612:050:451:1500
Dana TyrellTBL1811:530:401:1912
Adam HallTBL1711:310:411:3314
Tim SestitoNJD1711:270:401:0320
Matthew CorrenteNJD169:560:370:5410
Nate ThompsonTBL169:520:371:1903
Adam MairNJD42:440:410:5100