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Ice Lab

Sat, Feb 19, 2011·St. Pete Times Forum, Tampa

Florida Panthers 3, Tampa Bay Lightning 2 (SO)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 55% of the time.

TBL winsFLA wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against FLA's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Weiss–Booth–SkilleStillman–Dvorak–ReasonerHiggins–Olesz–SantorelliHordichuk–Bernier–TimminsWeiss–Higgins–OleszHiggins–Skille–TimminsWeaver–GarrisonMcCabe–WidemanAllen–EllerbyAllen–WidemanWideman–EllerbyMcCabe–AllenMcCabe–EllerbyWideman–Garrison
St. Louis–Downie–Stamkos1:230.09–0.003:100.17–0.143:180.11–0.080:310.00–0.008:450.33–0.240:320.00–0.000:310.00–0.000:380.03–0.00
Hall–Moore–Bergenheim6:100.14–0.251:360.10–0.040:410.07–0.002:350.07–0.012:580.18–0.112:090.13–0.081:160.09–0.180:300.03–0.00
Lecavalier–Gagne–Thompson1:120.11–0.061:580.12–0.000:300.00–0.000:370.00–0.001:490.13–0.061:530.10–0.001:410.00–0.02
Lecavalier–Gagne–Purcell1:560.03–0.381:230.00–0.032:210.00–0.050:560.00–0.35
Thompson–Purcell–Tyrell1:100.00–0.150:500.00–0.150:340.03–0.00
Lecavalier–Thompson–Tyrell0:470.00–0.000:470.00–0.00
Ohlund–Brewer5:570.17–0.271:390.10–0.040:370.01–0.001:070.03–0.002:390.04–0.003:020.00–0.061:360.03–0.002:160.13–0.081:570.09–0.18
Clark–Hedman2:010.11–0.003:300.00–0.312:260.08–0.060:370.00–0.005:470.18–0.061:450.03–0.000:560.00–0.000:540.00–0.31
Kubina–Jones1:200.11–0.021:540.14–0.032:050.07–0.172:280.15–0.092:010.11–0.042:590.19–0.261:370.11–0.001:190.03–0.001:120.00–0.030:300.03–0.00
Bergeron–Hedman0:440.07–0.000:460.02–0.001:290.09–0.00
Kubina–Bergeron1:010.03–0.040:550.00–0.000:410.00–0.000:480.00–0.00
Bergeron–Jones0:570.04–0.000:350.03–0.000:370.02–0.000:370.02–0.00
Ohlund–Hedman1:110.00–0.030:570.00–0.03
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3OTEndBergenheim FHall FMoore FDownie FSt. Louis FStamkos FLecavalier FGagne FPurcell FTyrell FThompson FBrewer DOhlund DClark DHedman DJones DKubina DBergeron DEllis GWeiss FBooth FSkille FDvorak FReasoner FStillman FSantorelli FHiggins FOlesz FHordichuk FBernier FTimmins FAllen DMcCabe DWeaver DGarrison DEllerby DWideman DClemmensen G
TBLFLAFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Dennis WidemanFLA2929:571:021:4644
Martin St. LouisTBL2525:161:012:3250
Steven StamkosTBL2624:200:561:5760
Stephen WeissFLA2823:190:501:5832
Jason GarrisonFLA3123:040:451:4808
Vincent LecavalierTBL1922:291:112:1340
Mike WeaverFLA2922:050:461:5109
Bryan AllenFLA2521:400:522:0923
Victor HedmanTBL2420:110:501:3153
Bryan McCabeFLA2219:000:521:4442
David BoothFLA2318:550:491:5842
Radek DvorakFLA2218:160:501:3705
Marty ReasonerFLA2217:560:491:4817
Eric BrewerTBL2917:550:371:2225
Steve DownieTBL2017:470:531:1940
Simon GagneTBL1717:451:031:5550
Nate ThompsonTBL2117:270:501:2532
Adam HallTBL2617:170:401:2645
Jack SkilleFLA2117:120:491:2732
Dominic MooreTBL2417:010:431:1042
Mattias OhlundTBL2416:530:421:1523
Cory StillmanFLA2016:460:501:3433
Marc-Andre BergeronTBL1716:370:592:0790
Chris HigginsFLA2016:310:502:0911
Randy JonesTBL2316:190:432:1922
Brett ClarkTBL2115:450:451:1832
Sean BergenheimTBL2315:110:401:1542
Pavel KubinaTBL1915:030:482:1911
Mike SantorelliFLA2214:410:401:2332
Keaton EllerbyFLA1813:250:451:4532
Scott TimminsFLA1612:300:471:2621
Teddy PurcellTBL1311:560:551:4321
Rostislav OleszFLA1711:540:421:4811
Dana TyrellTBL139:280:441:2101
Steve BernierFLA86:020:451:0120
Darcy HordichukFLA64:530:491:1020