Mon, Mar 7, 2011·St. Pete Times Forum, Tampa
Washington Capitals 2, Tampa Bay Lightning 1 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 51% of the time.
41%
10%
11%
38%
TBL winsWSH wins
Washington Capitals
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 28:02 | 0.16 | 50.9% | +37.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 24:39 | 0.37 | 41.5% | +37.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 23:26 | 0.07 | 40.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22:26 | 0.00 | 52.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 6 | 21:27 | 0.18 | 44.7% | +37.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:40 | 0.01 | 61.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 20:15 | 0.54 | 39.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18:52 | 0.23 | 43.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 18:16 | 0.02 | 44.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:13 | 0.04 | 48.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:13 | 0.00 | 19.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:12 | 0.02 | 51.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:32 | 0.02 | 84.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:06 | 0.04 | 63.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11:41 | 0.11 | 48.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:32 | 0.07 | 33.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:34 | 0.00 | 79.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:50 | 0.00 | 34.1% | 0.0 |
| – | 7 | 6 | 1 | .857 | 0.49 | −0.5 | 20:00 | |
| W | 21 | 21 | 0 | 1.000 | 1.48 | +1.5 | 45:00 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 24:33 | 0.36 | 64.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23:59 | 0.01 | 49.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 22:28 | 0.05 | 68.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21:16 | 0.04 | 55.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 21:13 | 0.02 | 52.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19:52 | 0.06 | 62.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 5 | 19:48 | 0.28 | 54.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 19:40 | 0.00 | 64.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19:34 | 0.05 | 33.3% | +16.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18:44 | 0.23 | 54.2% | +16.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:47 | 0.13 | 78.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16:42 | 0.23 | 72.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:43 | 0.00 | 25.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15:03 | 0.16 | 65.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13:09 | 0.20 | 52.1% | +16.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:01 | 0.14 | 68.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6:20 | 0.02 | 31.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4:58 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| O | 30 | 29 | 1 | .967 | 1.90 | +0.9 | 64:54 |