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Ice Lab

Mon, Mar 7, 2011·St. Pete Times Forum, Tampa

Washington Capitals 2, Tampa Bay Lightning 1 (SO)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 51% of the time.

TBL winsWSH wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against WSH's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Arnott–Semin–OvechkinKnuble–Ovechkin–BackstromBradley–Hendricks–GordonKnuble–Laich–JohanssonSturm–Chimera–JohanssonArnott–Laich–SeminSturm–Chimera–GordonAlzner–CarlsonHannan–WidemanHannan–SchultzErskine–WidemanWideman–SchultzErskine–SchultzHannan–ErskineHannan–Alzner
Hall–Thompson–Tyrell5:020.10–0.074:120.24–0.040:370.00–0.001:010.02–0.051:150.15–0.044:250.00–0.073:130.13–0.001:370.07–0.020:310.00–0.03
St. Louis–Lecavalier–Stamkos1:280.04–0.080:480.00–0.000:380.00–0.002:090.04–0.020:430.08–0.000:360.00–0.005:110.05–0.020:340.00–0.000:460.00–0.020:370.04–0.00
Gagne–Moore–Purcell0:360.00–0.021:330.07–0.001:170.00–0.031:590.04–0.000:300.00–0.011:090.00–0.001:000.16–0.021:210.04–0.000:470.00–0.07
St. Louis–Moore–Stamkos0:400.00–0.001:430.00–0.022:180.00–0.001:030.00–0.02
Bergenheim–Ritola–Jones1:530.00–0.060:530.00–0.060:460.00–0.05
Lecavalier–Gagne–Bergenheim1:170.11–0.000:380.01–0.000:330.10–0.00
Moore–Bergenheim–Purcell0:530.00–0.010:530.00–0.01
Lecavalier–Gagne–Purcell0:440.00–0.010:450.00–0.01
Ohlund–Brewer6:120.10–0.134:110.17–0.040:370.00–0.001:110.10–0.011:160.00–0.015:170.00–0.053:480.31–0.000:440.00–0.012:070.07–0.020:480.00–0.03
Kubina–Jones2:000.00–0.062:160.08–0.064:520.08–0.150:530.00–0.014:400.04–0.080:400.00–0.003:000.00–0.081:060.00–0.030:470.02–0.001:370.00–0.09
Clark–Hedman3:020.02–0.012:060.06–0.023:100.01–0.040:380.00–0.005:510.06–0.020:560.00–0.020:520.00–0.011:260.00–0.011:000.06–0.001:170.02–0.03
Kubina–Hedman0:560.00–0.020:380.16–0.000:440.00–0.00
Brewer–Hedman0:470.00–0.000:340.00–0.000:410.00–0.000:510.04–0.00
Ohlund–Clark0:460.00–0.02
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3OTEndLecavalier FHall FThompson FMoore FSt. Louis FStamkos FBergenheim FGagne FTyrell FPurcell FRitola FJones FBrewer DOhlund DClark DHedman DJones DKubina DRoloson GOvechkin FBackstrom FKnuble FLaich FSemin FArnott FSturm FChimera FJohansson FBradley FGordon FHendricks FHannan DSchultz DAlzner DCarlson DErskine DWideman DNeuvirth GHoltby G
TBLWSHFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Dennis WidemanWSH2928:020:582:3844
Alex OvechkinWSH2724:390:551:4961
Eric BrewerTBL2924:330:511:5025
Victor HedmanTBL3123:590:461:4645
Scott HannanWSH2623:260:541:4034
Brett ClarkTBL3122:280:431:5063
John CarlsonWSH2922:260:461:5015
Alexander SeminWSH2421:270:541:5042
Dominic MooreTBL3021:160:431:2463
Adam HallTBL3221:130:401:27310
Karl AlznerWSH2920:400:431:2427
Brooks LaichWSH2720:150:451:3526
Pavel KubinaTBL2419:520:501:3744
Nate ThompsonTBL2919:480:411:2729
Mattias OhlundTBL3019:400:391:2726
Martin St. LouisTBL2619:340:451:5073
Mike KnubleWSH2618:520:441:1931
Steven StamkosTBL2518:440:451:5082
Jason ArnottWSH2218:160:501:4952
Vincent LecavalierTBL2717:470:401:2566
Marcus JohanssonWSH2817:130:371:1124
Jeff SchultzWSH2117:130:491:3622
Simon GagneTBL2416:420:421:2146
Randy JonesTBL2215:430:431:3725
Teddy PurcellTBL2015:030:451:2145
John ErskineWSH1714:120:501:1420
Boyd GordonWSH2313:320:351:0645
Sean BergenheimTBL1813:090:441:2833
Marco SturmWSH1913:060:411:0622
Dana TyrellTBL1812:010:401:2723
Nicklas BackstromWSH1511:410:471:1722
Jason ChimeraWSH1410:320:450:5821
Matt BradleyWSH118:340:471:2120
Matt HendricksWSH107:500:471:0320
Blair JonesTBL106:200:381:0512
Mattias RitolaTBL84:580:371:1301