Tue, Oct 18, 2011·Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary
Edmonton Oilers 1, Calgary Flames 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Calgary Flames win this game 53% of the time.
43%
10%
9%
38%
CGY winsEDM wins
Edmonton Oilers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 24:50 | 0.30 | 17.2% | +12.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 22:22 | 0.12 | 41.2% | +12.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22:05 | 0.13 | 26.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 21:22 | 0.00 | 37.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 20:03 | 0.12 | 38.6% | +12.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19:20 | 0.18 | 20.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 18:59 | 0.34 | 32.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 18:31 | 0.16 | 31.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:02 | 0.05 | 30.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 17:40 | 0.00 | 18.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:23 | 0.00 | 16.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:21 | 0.11 | 35.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 15:09 | 0.20 | 25.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:44 | 0.00 | 33.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:21 | 0.37 | 58.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 10:54 | 0.39 | 10.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3:45 | 0.02 | 10.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3:08 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| L | 28 | 26 | 2 | .929 | 2.67 | +0.7 | 59:01 |
Calgary Flames
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23:32 | 0.01 | 32.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 22:46 | 0.14 | 88.7% | +40.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 22:05 | 0.05 | 90.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 21:49 | 0.26 | 87.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:54 | 0.03 | 32.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 18:37 | 0.49 | 87.2% | +35.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:14 | 0.06 | 43.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 17:52 | 0.37 | 72.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 17:04 | 0.17 | 65.5% | +40.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:00 | 0.14 | 46.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 16:33 | 0.26 | 88.0% | +35.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 14:58 | 0.47 | 71.5% | +40.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:42 | 0.07 | 44.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 14:42 | 0.04 | 82.3% | +35.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 14:00 | 0.01 | 86.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8:52 | 0.08 | 100.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5:48 | 0.00 | 100.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:56 | 0.01 | 100.0% | 0.0 |
| W | 25 | 24 | 1 | .960 | 2.49 | +1.5 | 60:00 |