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Ice Lab

Sun, Dec 18, 2011·BankAtlantic Center, Sunrise

Carolina Hurricanes 2, Florida Panthers 3 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 61% of the time.

FLA winsCAR wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

FLA forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against CAR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

LaRose–Staal–BowmanPonikarovsky–Ruutu–JokinenDwyer–Tlusty–SutterBrent–Stewart–NodlLaRose–Staal–NodlGleason–McBainHarrison–FaulkAllen–SpacekAllen–GleasonSpacek–McBain
Weiss–Fleischmann–Versteeg4:520.10–0.272:020.08–0.043:150.02–0.006:560.20–0.052:150.01–0.112:200.03–0.181:070.00–0.00
Samuelsson–Bergenheim–Matthias2:570.00–0.130:420.00–0.000:550.64–0.002:040.00–0.132:190.41–0.010:370.23–0.00
Sturm–Bradley–Kopecky1:460.00–0.031:300.00–0.012:040.00–0.032:490.11–0.01
Sturm–Samuelsson–Matthias1:070.03–0.020:380.03–0.000:550.00–0.000:590.00–0.02
Samuelsson–Weiss–Fleischmann1:330.00–0.001:430.00–0.00
Barch–Santorelli–Rallo1:180.00–0.001:220.01–0.00
Sturm–Versteeg–Matthias1:160.00–0.081:150.00–0.08
Sturm–Bradley–Santorelli0:370.00–0.001:150.00–0.000:490.00–0.001:060.00–0.00
Bradley–Kopecky–Santorelli1:000.00–0.011:040.00–0.01
Samuelsson–Kopecky–Matthias1:100.05–0.000:480.00–0.00
Samuelsson–Weiss–Versteeg0:410.00–0.02
Weaver–Kulikov4:130.07–0.082:450.03–0.051:350.02–0.004:400.12–0.083:430.00–0.011:540.03–0.07
Jovanovski–Gudbranson0:490.00–0.081:350.06–0.003:270.01–0.011:070.00–0.000:360.00–0.003:010.06–0.212:280.01–0.092:330.00–0.000:390.00–0.000:340.00–0.00
Campbell–Garrison2:280.07–0.221:250.00–0.070:460.00–0.000:500.00–0.000:360.42–0.003:500.07–0.131:110.41–0.001:360.01–0.18
Campbell–Kulikov3:130.03–0.022:300.04–0.002:060.03–0.002:120.00–0.021:570.02–0.00
Weaver–Garrison4:310.08–0.090:470.05–0.002:260.13–0.001:290.02–0.001:300.00–0.090:310.00–0.00
Campbell–Weaver0:360.00–0.000:570.00–0.010:350.00–0.00
Jovanovski–Kulikov0:400.00–0.000:440.00–0.00
Campbell–Gudbranson1:230.04–0.00
Jovanovski–Weaver0:410.00–0.010:450.00–0.01
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3OTEndSturm FBradley FKopecky FMatthias FBergenheim FSamuelsson FWeiss FFleischmann FVersteeg FSantorelli FBarch FRallo FGudbranson DJovanovski DKulikov DWeaver DCampbell DGarrison DTheodore GSutter FTlusty FDwyer FJokinen FPonikarovsky FRuutu FStaal FBowman FLaRose FNodl FStewart FBrent FMcBain DGleason DFaulk DHarrison DAllen DSpacek DWard G
FLACARFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Tim GleasonCAR3125:120:491:2642
Mike WeaverFLA3125:080:492:2157
Dmitry KulikovFLA3224:590:472:2544
Jamie McBainCAR2924:260:511:2451
Eric StaalCAR3123:420:461:2753
Brian CampbellFLA2722:560:511:4251
Kris VersteegFLA3022:430:451:1753
Stephen WeissFLA3222:330:421:1574
Jason GarrisonFLA3122:230:431:4374
Tomas FleischmannFLA3121:360:421:1571
Shawn MatthiasFLA3021:180:431:4037
Chad LaRoseCAR3121:030:411:3445
Justin FaulkCAR2920:010:411:1353
Jay HarrisonCAR2919:580:411:1746
Drayson BowmanCAR2919:430:411:4942
Mikael SamuelssonFLA2419:110:481:4453
Bryan AllenCAR2519:090:461:1557
Jussi JokinenCAR3018:570:381:1354
Ed JovanovskiFLA2918:310:381:1732
Tuomo RuutuCAR2818:040:391:0862
Tomas KopeckyFLA3018:020:361:1755
Brandon SutterCAR3317:510:321:0926
Jaroslav SpacekCAR2317:300:461:0984
Alexei PonikarovskyCAR2617:090:401:2862
Marco SturmFLA2316:240:431:1422
Patrick DwyerCAR2915:430:331:0912
Jiri TlustyCAR2513:280:321:0921
Erik GudbransonFLA1812:190:411:2501
Matt BradleyFLA1712:060:431:2920
Mike SantorelliFLA1511:060:441:3331
Tim BrentCAR127:410:381:0821
Sean BergenheimFLA117:170:401:1311
Andreas NodlCAR84:480:361:0500
Krys BarchFLA74:290:381:0311
Greg RalloFLA43:310:531:0300
Anthony StewartCAR63:260:340:5200