Mon, Feb 6, 2012·Air Canada Centre, Toronto
Edmonton Oilers 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 6
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 67% of the time.
59%
9%
25%
TOR winsEDM wins
Edmonton Oilers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 22:59 | 0.08 | 45.3% | +32.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 1 | 20:03 | 0.02 | 51.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 0 | 19:53 | 0.00 | 50.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 19:30 | 0.10 | 33.5% | +12.7 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 19:23 | 0.12 | 35.0% | +31.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 19:15 | 0.22 | 53.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −4 | 1 | 19:04 | 0.04 | 45.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 3 | 19:02 | 0.67 | 51.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 18:57 | 0.05 | 39.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 2 | 18:53 | 0.03 | 30.3% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 18:48 | 0.36 | 39.3% | +31.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17:41 | 0.27 | 52.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:53 | 0.02 | 56.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 16:31 | 0.17 | 54.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 0 | 15:03 | 0.09 | 56.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 7:10 | 0.04 | 56.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 6:33 | 0.12 | 60.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 5:55 | 0.09 | 71.6% | 0.0 |
| L | 30 | 25 | 5 | .833 | 2.85 | −2.1 | 58:27 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22:23 | 0.00 | 62.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 21:36 | 0.05 | 58.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 21:09 | 0.00 | 53.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 0 | 20:59 | 0.00 | 51.6% | +13.7 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | +4 | 6 | 18:44 | 0.96 | 64.1% | +35.4 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 1 | 18:35 | 0.05 | 49.3% | +18.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 16:53 | 0.49 | 60.7% | +13.4 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 16:36 | 0.40 | 57.0% | +33.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 16:04 | 0.17 | 69.9% | +19.8 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 16:01 | 0.14 | 48.9% | +13.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 15:18 | 0.00 | 51.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 15:12 | 0.26 | 75.5% | +19.8 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 4 | 15:11 | 0.33 | 51.7% | +15.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14:57 | 0.28 | 69.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:38 | 0.19 | 47.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:11 | 0.10 | 19.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:52 | 0.00 | 19.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:41 | 0.05 | 19.8% | 0.0 |
| W | 30 | 27 | 3 | .900 | 2.48 | −0.5 | 60:00 |