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Ice Lab

Tue, Mar 12, 2013·BB&T Center, Sunrise

Tampa Bay Lightning 3, Florida Panthers 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 82% of the time.

FLA winsTBL wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

FLA forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TBL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

St. Louis–Lecavalier–KillornSt. Louis–Malone–StamkosMalone–Purcell–StamkosThompson–Conacher–PalatPurcell–Stamkos–ConacherMalone–Crombeen–ThompsonThompson–Purcell–PalatMalone–Crombeen–StamkosLecavalier–Killorn–ConacherLecavalier–Purcell–ConacherCrombeen–Thompson–PalatSt. Louis–Killorn–StamkosSalo–HedmanBrewer–CarleAulie–GudasCarle–GudasBrewer–AulieHedman–GudasCarle–HedmanBrewer–Gudas
Kopecky–Skille–Matthias1:330.17–0.001:560.01–0.001:520.20–0.000:560.00–0.020:310.00–0.001:100.03–0.000:350.00–0.000:530.03–0.000:440.00–0.003:350.20–0.001:240.03–0.000:340.00–0.001:440.00–0.001:440.20–0.020:550.00–0.000:460.00–0.00
Mueller–Shore–Huberdeau1:320.03–0.140:390.00–0.001:470.22–0.020:570.00–0.001:270.07–0.021:030.19–0.001:450.02–0.022:360.26–0.141:100.05–0.000:460.00–0.001:050.19–0.000:550.03–0.00
Goc–Fleischmann–Versteeg3:060.22–0.081:550.06–0.000:390.00–0.000:450.02–0.001:100.00–0.023:180.13–0.181:380.00–0.000:550.01–0.001:080.05–0.000:410.00–0.02
Parros–Smithson–Santorelli1:090.10–0.001:000.02–0.02
Goc–Fleischmann–Skille0:480.00–0.001:110.00–0.000:350.00–0.00
Goc–Fleischmann–Santorelli0:350.00–0.000:450.00–0.00
Kuba–Strachan2:080.25–0.001:410.05–0.000:570.04–0.020:570.00–0.000:500.10–0.001:200.00–0.010:360.00–0.001:470.05–0.030:560.00–0.004:400.15–0.072:050.03–0.022:120.09–0.002:260.05–0.030:420.00–0.070:570.03–0.000:570.00–0.00
Campbell–Gudbranson3:420.17–0.121:380.00–0.001:470.01–0.000:360.12–0.001:380.00–0.050:340.00–0.001:080.16–0.000:350.00–0.000:440.00–0.004:470.12–0.103:130.00–0.001:040.00–0.000:480.02–0.002:150.32–0.040:410.00–0.00
Yonkman–Robak0:580.01–0.000:390.00–0.001:090.10–0.000:500.00–0.001:580.03–0.00
Campbell–Robak0:460.08–0.000:560.12–0.00
Kuba–Gudbranson1:090.00–0.000:410.00–0.020:300.00–0.100:410.00–0.000:410.00–0.02
Campbell–Strachan0:420.25–0.000:380.06–0.000:420.25–0.000:380.06–0.00
Kuba–Campbell0:490.00–0.000:460.00–0.00
Strachan–Robak0:400.00–0.000:490.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndSkille FMatthias FKopecky FFleischmann FVersteeg FGoc FShore FMueller FHuberdeau FSantorelli FParros FSmithson FKuba DStrachan DGudbranson DCampbell DRobak DYonkman DMarkstrom GCrombeen FThompson FStamkos FLecavalier FKillorn FSt. Louis FMalone FPurcell FPalat FPyatt FConacher FSalo DHedman DBrewer DCarle DGudas DAulie DBergeron DLindback G
FLATBLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Brian CampbellFLA3231:100:583:1082
Filip KubaFLA3324:350:451:50102
Victor HedmanTBL3624:240:411:35412
Matt CarleTBL3223:210:441:3768
Steven StamkosTBL2722:310:502:0128
Martin St. LouisTBL2621:320:501:5135
Tyson StrachanFLA2720:500:462:1844
Tomas KopeckyFLA2820:220:441:1564
Erik GudbransonFLA2719:420:441:3252
Jonathan HuberdeauFLA2519:290:471:35101
Sami SaloTBL3419:060:341:35411
Eric BrewerTBL2618:490:432:0639
Nate ThompsonTBL2418:290:461:5426
Marcel GocFLA2618:250:431:35143
Peter MuellerFLA2418:170:461:3581
Jack SkilleFLA2618:050:421:1155
Ryan MaloneTBL2418:040:451:4328
Shawn MatthiasFLA2317:390:461:5042
Tomas FleischmannFLA2517:170:411:13142
Colby RobakFLA2416:580:421:3783
Alex KillornTBL2416:080:401:0838
Vincent LecavalierTBL2315:540:411:0626
Radko GudasTBL1915:200:481:4332
Cory ConacherTBL1914:180:451:0914
Keith AulieTBL1714:160:501:5803
Drew ShoreFLA2313:440:361:2361
Kris VersteegFLA1913:440:431:26100
B.J. CrombeenTBL1813:180:441:0903
Ondrej PalatTBL1713:040:462:2633
Teddy PurcellTBL1712:300:441:4134
Mike SantorelliFLA138:280:391:0520
Jerred SmithsonFLA178:020:280:5743
Marc-Andre BergeronTBL107:040:420:5420
Nolan YonkmanFLA106:100:371:1910
George ParrosFLA85:180:400:5700
Tom PyattTBL53:520:460:5402