Fri, Oct 9, 2015·Joe Louis Arena, Detroit
Toronto Maple Leafs 0, Detroit Red Wings 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 55% of the time.
35%
10%
10%
45%
DET winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 21:29 | 0.06 | 61.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:51 | 0.10 | 58.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:46 | 0.00 | 62.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 19:39 | 0.05 | 56.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:38 | 0.04 | 73.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 18:18 | 0.03 | 57.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 16:24 | 0.29 | 28.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15:54 | 0.09 | 73.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:42 | 0.13 | 52.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 15:05 | 0.26 | 45.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:56 | 0.22 | 89.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 14:49 | 0.19 | 45.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 14:20 | 0.01 | 71.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:56 | 0.37 | 78.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:32 | 0.15 | 48.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:14 | 0.00 | 27.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:58 | 0.25 | 92.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11:18 | 0.23 | 68.5% | 0.0 |
| – | 13 | 12 | 1 | .923 | 1.19 | +0.2 | 39:40 | |
| L | 9 | 6 | 3 | .667 | 1.03 | −2.0 | 20:20 |
Detroit Red Wings
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 21:16 | 0.01 | 34.2% | +7.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 20:40 | 0.02 | 40.8% | +13.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 20:32 | 0.00 | 37.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 19:08 | 0.03 | 45.6% | +3.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 18:39 | 0.00 | 36.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:47 | 0.09 | 29.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 1 | 17:10 | 0.04 | 55.8% | +24.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:09 | 0.00 | 46.0% | 0.0 | |
| 3 | 0 | 3 | +2 | 3 | 17:05 | 0.70 | 54.1% | +31.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:44 | 0.05 | 42.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:29 | 0.10 | 31.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:52 | 0.11 | 33.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 6 | 13:42 | 0.50 | 66.1% | +21.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:34 | 0.04 | 25.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13:21 | 0.19 | 28.0% | +14.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:20 | 0.22 | 30.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:10 | 0.04 | 37.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:22 | 0.10 | 22.3% | 0.0 |
| W | 22 | 22 | 0 | 1.000 | 2.47 | +2.5 | 60:00 |