Tue, Nov 3, 2015·Joe Louis Arena, Detroit
Tampa Bay Lightning 1, Detroit Red Wings 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 55% of the time.
45%
9%
10%
36%
DET winsTBL wins
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22:59 | 0.03 | 38.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21:48 | 0.13 | 57.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21:09 | 0.03 | 37.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19:39 | 0.07 | 32.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19:28 | 0.03 | 61.8% | +24.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 18:54 | 0.45 | 34.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18:38 | 0.49 | 82.5% | +24.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 17:50 | 0.15 | 42.0% | +24.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 5 | 17:10 | 0.21 | 44.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:33 | 0.01 | 14.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 15:32 | 0.02 | 44.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 15:03 | 0.00 | 41.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:25 | 0.31 | 60.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:04 | 0.00 | 27.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 12:48 | 0.21 | 31.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:18 | 0.06 | 32.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:07 | 0.01 | 33.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7:39 | 0.03 | 30.4% | 0.0 |
| L | 29 | 27 | 2 | .931 | 2.49 | +0.5 | 58:56 |
Detroit Red Wings
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 21:51 | 0.00 | 40.4% | +30.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21:28 | 0.01 | 29.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20:38 | 0.05 | 69.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 19:41 | 0.24 | 53.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19:37 | 0.06 | 70.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:20 | 0.00 | 36.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:22 | 0.00 | 47.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 18:04 | 0.07 | 49.1% | +30.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 17:48 | 0.19 | 71.6% | +20.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 16:30 | 0.23 | 80.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 16:10 | 0.22 | 80.7% | +20.3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 15:37 | 0.37 | 52.9% | +30.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 14:45 | 0.56 | 64.4% | +20.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 12:44 | 0.00 | 57.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12:43 | 0.32 | 44.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9:20 | 0.18 | 96.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:38 | 0.00 | 100.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:55 | 0.00 | 100.0% | 0.0 |
| W | 30 | 29 | 1 | .967 | 2.24 | +1.2 | 59:41 |