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Ice Lab

Tue, Nov 3, 2015·Joe Louis Arena, Detroit

Tampa Bay Lightning 1, Detroit Red Wings 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 55% of the time.

DET winsTBL wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

DET forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TBL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Killorn–Johnson–KucherovCallahan–Stamkos–PalatFilppula–Boyle–CondraMcGinn–Namestnikov–BrownFilppula–Stamkos–PalatBoyle–Condra–McGinnCallahan–Namestnikov–BrownFilppula–Condra–NamestnikovBoyle–McGinn–BrownStralman–HedmanCoburn–SustrCarle–GarrisonGarrison–HedmanCarle–SustrCarle–Stralman
Zetterberg–Abdelkader–Larkin1:300.00–0.085:290.16–0.301:070.00–0.061:040.29–0.000:470.00–0.004:470.04–0.183:400.12–0.261:550.00–0.00
Miller–Ferraro–Glendening7:470.09–0.350:510.05–0.001:230.00–0.002:150.00–0.002:260.05–0.004:230.09–0.251:410.00–0.14
Nyquist–Tatar–Sheahan1:220.12–0.001:560.23–0.090:360.00–0.010:530.00–0.011:440.08–0.011:080.00–0.002:300.12–0.014:180.23–0.101:300.00–0.010:540.08–0.00
Helm–Andersson–Pulkkinen1:230.00–0.001:240.03–0.000:350.06–0.000:440.00–0.000:310.00–0.002:490.09–0.00
Ericsson–DeKeyser3:450.00–0.224:480.12–0.290:360.00–0.002:250.00–0.030:390.06–0.005:120.00–0.164:160.12–0.192:020.12–0.121:410.01–0.100:320.00–0.03
Kronwall–Smith6:000.09–0.152:120.04–0.011:090.14–0.001:290.09–0.000:300.29–0.003:210.04–0.142:230.14–0.005:160.18–0.150:320.19–0.000:410.00–0.000:310.08–0.00
Kindl–Marchenko0:360.00–0.003:360.25–0.091:570.00–0.011:150.00–0.010:520.00–0.011:370.00–0.003:000.14–0.014:100.06–0.103:560.00–0.01
Kindl–Smith0:310.00–0.000:350.00–0.080:310.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndAbdelkader FZetterberg FLarkin FTatar FNyquist FSheahan FMiller FFerraro FGlendening FHelm FAndersson FPulkkinen FKindl DMarchenko DSmith DKronwall DEricsson DDeKeyser DHoward GBrown FMcGinn FNamestnikov FBoyle FCondra FFilppula FStamkos FPalat FCallahan FJohnson FKillorn FKucherov FGarrison DCarle DStralman DHedman DCoburn DSustr DBishop G
DETTBLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Victor HedmanTBL2522:590:551:4353
Danny DeKeyserDET3021:510:441:2219
Anton StralmanTBL2321:480:571:4745
Jonathan EricssonDET2921:280:441:2239
Jason GarrisonTBL2521:090:511:3115
Niklas KronwallDET2920:380:431:1265
Henrik ZetterbergDET2319:410:511:3254
Matt CarleTBL2319:390:511:3206
Brendan SmithDET2919:370:411:3045
Tyler JohnsonTBL2119:280:562:1044
Luke GlendeningDET2319:200:501:4335
Ondrej PalatTBL2218:540:522:1051
Nikita KucherovTBL1918:380:592:2744
Drew MillerDET2218:220:501:4335
Justin AbdelkaderDET2218:040:491:3264
Steven StamkosTBL1917:500:561:4780
Jakub KindlDET2117:480:511:3231
Ryan CallahanTBL2217:100:471:1942
Valtteri FilppulaTBL2116:330:471:2232
Gustav NyquistDET1816:300:551:3232
Riley SheahanDET2216:100:441:1744
Dylan LarkinDET2015:370:471:1543
Andrej SustrTBL2115:320:441:2012
Braydon CoburnTBL2015:030:451:1722
Tomas TatarDET1814:450:491:3042
Alex KillornTBL2014:250:431:3153
Erik CondraTBL1613:040:491:3214
Brian BoyleTBL1612:480:481:0224
Alexey MarchenkoDET2012:440:381:3211
Landon FerraroDET1712:430:451:2333
Vladislav NamestnikovTBL1612:180:461:2203
Darren HelmDET139:200:431:1121
Joakim AnderssonDET158:380:351:1323
Tye McGinnTBL128:070:411:1012
Teemu PulkkinenDET137:550:370:5941
JT BrownTBL127:390:381:1012