Sun, Jan 1, 2017·Exhibition Stadium, TorontoOutdoor game
Detroit Red Wings 4, Toronto Maple Leafs 5 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 53% of the time.
39%
8%
47%
TOR winsDET wins
Detroit Red Wings
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Brendan SmithD · #2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 | 23:21 | 0.11 | 66.4% | 0.0 |
 Niklas KronwallD · #55 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23:20 | 0.00 | 52.6% | 0.0 |
 Xavier OuelletD · #61 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22:08 | 0.04 | 46.2% | +0.9 |
 Anthony ManthaRW · #39 | 2 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 4 | 21:24 | 0.68 | 41.1% | +65.7 |
 Henrik ZetterbergC · #40 | 0 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 2 | 20:44 | 0.22 | 53.5% | +67.3 |
 Jonathan EricssonD · #52 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20:37 | 0.04 | 45.2% | +0.9 |
 Danny DeKeyserD · #65 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 19:06 | 0.02 | 58.7% | 0.0 |
 Tomas TatarLW · #21 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 18:59 | 0.22 | 60.9% | +20.4 |
 Gustav NyquistRW · #14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 18:05 | 0.66 | 51.4% | 0.0 |
 Frans NielsenC · #51 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 18:04 | 0.30 | 55.1% | 0.0 |
 Dylan LarkinC · #71 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17:12 | 0.77 | 51.9% | +2.6 |
 Thomas VanekLW · #62 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 16:33 | 0.52 | 57.0% | +46.9 |
 Andreas AthanasiouC · #72 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12:53 | 0.29 | 35.2% | 0.0 |
 Luke GlendeningC · #41 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 12:46 | 0.01 | 46.2% | 0.0 |
 Riley SheahanC · #15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:35 | 0.38 | 92.3% | 0.0 |
 Drew MillerLW · #20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:11 | 0.00 | 38.0% | 0.0 |
 Nick JensenD · #3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 10:26 | 0.00 | 39.5% | 0.0 |
 Steve OttC · #29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:03 | 0.04 | 20.0% | 0.0 |
 Jared Coreau#31 | O | 28 | 23 | 5 | .821 | 4.03 | −1.0 | 61:13 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Nikita ZaitsevD · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 24:39 | 0.02 | 49.1% | 0.0 |
 Morgan RiellyD · #44 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 23:34 | 0.27 | 62.1% | +35.1 |
 Jake GardinerD · #51 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 1 | 22:17 | 0.18 | 72.2% | +69.7 |
 Leo KomarovRW · #47 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 20:42 | 0.32 | 47.5% | +24.0 |
 Connor BrownRW · #12 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 19:47 | 0.63 | 49.6% | +56.0 |
 Auston MatthewsC · #34 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 19:06 | 0.63 | 53.0% | +47.0 |
 Zach HymanLW · #11 | 0 | 2 | 2 | −1 | 0 | 18:33 | 0.02 | 53.3% | +10.3 |
 Connor CarrickD · #8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 18:17 | 0.25 | 61.8% | +9.0 |
 Roman PolakD · #46 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 17:11 | 0.00 | 7.4% | 0.0 |
 William NylanderRW · #29 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 16:49 | 0.13 | 49.2% | +24.0 |
 Nazem KadriC · #43 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 6 | 16:36 | 0.69 | 50.6% | 0.0 |
 Mitch MarnerRW · #16 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15:31 | 0.50 | 49.7% | +35.1 |
 Tyler BozakC · #42 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14:47 | 0.30 | 47.4% | 0.0 |
 Matt HunwickD · #2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:41 | 0.00 | 3.0% | 0.0 |
 James van RiemsdykLW · #25 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14:01 | 0.00 | 45.3% | +35.1 |
 Nikita SoshnikovRW · #26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:09 | 0.00 | 26.9% | 0.0 |
 Frederik GauthierC · #33 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:23 | 0.00 | 33.5% | 0.0 |
 Matt MartinLW · #15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6:57 | 0.09 | 39.9% | 0.0 |
 Frederik Andersen#31 | W | 37 | 33 | 4 | .892 | 4.30 | +0.3 | 63:40 |