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Ice Lab

Sun, Jan 1, 2017·Exhibition Stadium, TorontoOutdoor game

Detroit Red Wings 4, Toronto Maple Leafs 5 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 53% of the time.

TOR winsDET wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TOR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against DET's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Nielsen–Vanek–NyquistZetterberg–Tatar–ManthaSheahan–Glendening–LarkinOtt–Miller–AthanasiouMiller–Athanasiou–LarkinEricsson–OuelletKronwall–SmithJensen–DeKeyserSmith–DeKeyserKronwall–DeKeyserKronwall–OuelletEricsson–SmithKronwall–Jensen
Komarov–Kadri–Nylander8:170.73–0.681:420.02–0.293:400.13–0.512:280.23–0.064:320.39–0.240:520.09–0.04
Hyman–Brown–Matthews1:070.00–0.277:150.21–0.291:060.01–0.007:160.68–0.291:170.00–0.050:310.00–0.001:310.00–0.27
van Riemsdyk–Bozak–Marner0:420.18–0.005:070.03–0.342:090.21–0.012:370.21–0.074:560.03–0.320:560.00–0.011:050.00–0.010:350.00–0.00
Martin–Gauthier–Soshnikov4:030.09–0.040:450.00–0.000:580.00–0.002:140.09–0.151:290.00–0.001:300.02–0.00
Gardiner–Carrick7:020.35–0.431:230.01–0.003:020.29–0.015:570.76–0.175:070.32–0.112:540.00–0.051:020.09–0.040:580.02–0.00
Rielly–Zaitsev1:360.17–0.008:250.39–0.391:350.00–0.000:500.00–0.007:230.26–0.381:290.00–0.051:400.17–0.021:380.00–0.000:520.00–0.000:510.00–0.000:540.18–0.00
Polak–Hunwick1:020.00–0.270:400.00–0.002:510.03–0.323:080.00–0.000:440.00–0.001:400.00–0.064:130.03–0.432:210.00–0.090:520.00–0.270:520.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3OTEndHyman FBrown FMatthews FNylander FKadri FKomarov FMarner Fvan Riemsdyk FBozak FMartin FSoshnikov FGauthier FZaitsev DRielly DCarrick DGardiner DPolak DHunwick DAndersen GTatar FMantha FZetterberg FNyquist FNielsen FVanek FOtt FGlendening FSheahan FMiller FAthanasiou FLarkin FJensen DDeKeyser DSmith DKronwall DEricsson DOuellet DCoreau G
TORDETFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Nikita ZaitsevTOR3624:390:412:2747
Morgan RiellyTOR3523:340:401:4646
Brendan SmithDET2923:210:481:5091
Niklas KronwallDET2623:200:542:3862
Jake GardinerTOR2822:170:481:2043
Xavier OuelletDET3022:080:441:3332
Anthony ManthaDET3021:240:431:3842
Henrik ZetterbergDET2920:440:431:3852
Leo KomarovTOR3120:420:402:0756
Jonathan EricssonDET3020:370:411:2035
Connor BrownTOR3119:470:381:2632
Auston MatthewsTOR2819:060:411:2031
Danny DeKeyserDET2919:060:402:0263
Tomas TatarDET2718:590:421:3832
Zach HymanTOR2918:330:381:2912
Connor CarrickTOR2218:170:501:2633
Gustav NyquistDET2518:050:431:26102
Frans NielsenDET2718:040:401:02100
Dylan LarkinDET2517:120:411:3644
Roman PolakTOR2117:110:491:4414
William NylanderTOR2616:490:392:0555
Nazem KadriTOR2516:360:401:0535
Thomas VanekDET2416:330:411:02100
Mitch MarnerTOR2315:310:401:0872
Tyler BozakTOR2514:470:351:0874
Matt HunwickTOR1914:410:461:4413
James van RiemsdykTOR2314:010:371:0883
Andreas AthanasiouDET1812:530:431:4933
Luke GlendeningDET2412:460:321:2039
Riley SheahanDET2012:350:381:0133
Nikita SoshnikovTOR1812:090:411:0602
Drew MillerDET1511:110:451:4930
Nick JensenDET1910:260:331:0942
Steve OttDET1710:030:351:2324
Frederik GauthierTOR179:230:331:0205
Matt MartinTOR106:570:421:1301