Sat, Nov 3, 2018·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Ottawa Senators 2, Buffalo Sabres 9
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 89% of the time.
85%
BUF winsOTT wins
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21:19 | 0.01 | 17.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −3 | 4 | 21:16 | 0.08 | 21.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 18:29 | 0.10 | 31.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 18:22 | 0.03 | 36.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 18:08 | 0.13 | 34.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:29 | 0.16 | 43.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 3 | 16:28 | 0.26 | 29.4% | +1.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −4 | 0 | 16:23 | 0.00 | 29.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:06 | 0.26 | 37.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 16:04 | 0.08 | 15.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 15:27 | 0.19 | 30.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:02 | 0.00 | 26.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 14:37 | 0.02 | 15.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 2 | 14:28 | 0.15 | 33.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:05 | 0.04 | 17.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 13:45 | 0.22 | 55.3% | +1.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 13:39 | 0.01 | 36.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:08 | 0.04 | 74.4% | 0.0 |
| – | 31 | 25 | 6 | .806 | 2.97 | −3.0 | 45:35 | |
| L | 10 | 7 | 3 | .700 | 1.69 | −1.3 | 14:25 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 25:40 | 0.05 | 71.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 22:46 | 0.09 | 66.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 2 | 20:24 | 0.06 | 82.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 19:10 | 0.10 | 61.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +4 | 0 | 18:46 | 0.00 | 60.3% | +14.7 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 18:06 | 0.05 | 49.5% | +3.6 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 4 | 17:25 | 0.33 | 39.0% | +0.6 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 0 | 16:41 | 0.00 | 42.3% | +4.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15:52 | 0.34 | 56.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15:16 | 0.20 | 52.0% | +14.7 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 14:33 | 0.15 | 66.1% | +1.5 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 14:30 | 0.20 | 71.1% | +1.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 14:05 | 0.08 | 71.1% | +1.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14:04 | 0.00 | 45.0% | +14.7 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 6 | 13:43 | 1.49 | 96.4% | +22.3 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 5 | 13:11 | 1.15 | 96.5% | +24.5 | |
| 0 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 3 | 12:50 | 0.24 | 96.4% | +22.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 8:58 | 0.13 | 60.5% | +1.4 |
| W | 29 | 27 | 2 | .931 | 1.78 | −0.2 | 60:00 |