Sat, Nov 3, 2018·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Ottawa Senators 2, Buffalo Sabres 9
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 89% of the time.
85%
BUF winsOTT wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against OTT's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Duchene–Stone–Dzingel | Ryan–Tierney–Paul | Boedker–McCormick–White | Ryan–Paajarvi–Tierney | Pyatt–Boedker–White | Pyatt–Paajarvi–White | Pyatt–Paajarvi–McCormick | Stone–Dzingel–White | Pyatt–Boedker–Paajarvi | Pyatt–Paajarvi–Dzingel | Ceci–Chabot | DeMelo–Lajoie | Wideman–Jaros | DeMelo–Chabot | Burgdoerfer–Chabot | Ceci–Jaros | Burgdoerfer–Ceci | Ceci–Lajoie | Burgdoerfer–Lajoie | Burgdoerfer–Jaros | Wideman–Burgdoerfer | Wideman–Chabot | Wideman–Lajoie | Jaros–Lajoie | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sheary–Reinhart–Mittelstadt | 3:200.01–0.11 | 2:170.04–0.15 | 1:060.21–0.04 | 1:360.02–0.00 | 0:490.00–0.02 | 0:550.00–0.06 | 3:550.09–0.14 | 3:230.00–0.13 | 0:350.00–0.00 | 1:260.00–0.24 | 0:340.03–0.00 | 0:420.21–0.00 | ||||||||||||
| Berglund–Larsson–Girgensons | 3:110.23–0.00 | 1:130.00–0.00 | 1:220.00–0.10 | 0:300.00–0.00 | 0:520.00–0.09 | 1:110.07–0.00 | 3:190.06–0.04 | 1:250.07–0.00 | 1:130.00–0.07 | 1:490.10–0.00 | 0:310.00–0.00 | 1:250.00–0.00 | 0:350.00–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Sobotka–Okposo–Rodrigues | 1:520.00–0.13 | 1:210.00–0.02 | 2:430.06–0.14 | 1:340.24–0.14 | 1:010.00–0.00 | 2:230.26–0.14 | 1:120.00–0.00 | 1:410.01–0.00 | 1:030.00–0.09 | 0:420.00–0.00 | 0:420.11–0.00 | 0:360.00–0.02 | ||||||||||||
| Pominville–Skinner–Eichel | 1:450.45–0.03 | 1:030.00–0.00 | 0:500.15–0.00 | 0:410.00–0.00 | 0:530.00–0.00 | 3:180.77–0.03 | 2:200.51–0.00 | 0:390.00–0.00 | 0:490.23–0.01 | 0:340.16–0.00 | 0:410.00–0.02 | |||||||||||||
| Bogosian–Scandella | 2:270.18–0.11 | 1:160.00–0.02 | 1:260.27–0.00 | 0:380.15–0.00 | 0:410.13–0.00 | 0:390.00–0.00 | 3:210.86–0.00 | 2:380.15–0.05 | 0:480.00–0.08 | 0:540.00–0.18 | 1:380.16–0.00 | 0:500.00–0.00 | 0:420.21–0.00 | |||||||||||
| McCabe–Ristolainen | 3:280.45–0.13 | 1:220.10–0.00 | 1:100.02–0.00 | 0:420.00–0.00 | 1:110.07–0.00 | 1:100.20–0.00 | 3:110.44–0.00 | 1:410.00–0.00 | 1:210.00–0.00 | 0:480.00–0.02 | 0:320.01–0.00 | |||||||||||||
| Nelson–Dahlin | 1:000.00–0.00 | 1:370.26–0.14 | 0:400.00–0.00 | 1:450.08–0.14 | 0:530.03–0.00 | 1:570.00–0.05 | 0:390.00–0.02 | 0:350.18–0.00 | 0:430.03–0.00 | |||||||||||||||
| Bogosian–McCabe | 1:450.01–0.01 | 1:100.00–0.04 | 0:360.05–0.02 | 1:440.05–0.07 | 1:030.00–0.09 | 0:370.00–0.00 | 1:000.00–0.10 | 0:360.03–0.00 | ||||||||||||||||
| Ristolainen–Nelson | 0:360.00–0.00 | 1:260.00–0.14 | 0:510.01–0.00 | 1:470.01–0.00 | 0:390.10–0.00 | |||||||||||||||||||
| Scandella–Nelson | 0:370.05–0.00 | 1:270.04–0.02 | 0:580.00–0.04 | 1:520.06–0.04 | 0:420.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||||||||
| Bogosian–Ristolainen | 0:420.00–0.00 | 0:530.00–0.00 | 0:560.00–0.00 | 0:420.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Bogosian–Nelson | 1:160.00–0.07 | 0:420.00–0.00 | 0:370.00–0.07 |
Every shift, one row per player.
BUFOTTFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Zach BogosianBUF | 28 | 25:40 | 0:55 | 2:25 | 2 | 3 |
 Rasmus RistolainenBUF | 25 | 22:46 | 0:55 | 1:41 | 3 | 2 |
 Cody CeciOTT | 22 | 21:19 | 0:58 | 1:50 | 4 | 1 |
 Thomas ChabotOTT | 25 | 21:16 | 0:51 | 1:46 | 6 | 3 |
 Marco ScandellaBUF | 28 | 20:24 | 0:44 | 1:17 | 5 | 5 |
 Jake McCabeBUF | 23 | 19:10 | 0:50 | 2:14 | 4 | 4 |
 Casey NelsonBUF | 21 | 18:46 | 0:54 | 1:29 | 2 | 2 |
 Chris TierneyOTT | 24 | 18:29 | 0:46 | 1:18 | 4 | 3 |
 Maxime LajoieOTT | 22 | 18:22 | 0:50 | 1:37 | 3 | 3 |
 Ryan DzingelOTT | 23 | 18:08 | 0:47 | 1:37 | 4 | 2 |
 Casey MittelstadtBUF | 22 | 18:06 | 0:49 | 2:14 | 4 | 0 |
 Conor ShearyBUF | 20 | 17:25 | 0:52 | 2:03 | 5 | 1 |
 Sam ReinhartBUF | 19 | 16:41 | 0:53 | 2:14 | 3 | 1 |
 Colin WhiteOTT | 22 | 16:29 | 0:45 | 1:24 | 2 | 2 |
 Mikkel BoedkerOTT | 20 | 16:28 | 0:49 | 1:29 | 5 | 1 |
 Dylan DeMeloOTT | 24 | 16:23 | 0:41 | 1:22 | 4 | 4 |
 Christian JarosOTT | 25 | 16:06 | 0:39 | 1:06 | 2 | 5 |
 Matt DucheneOTT | 22 | 16:04 | 0:44 | 1:11 | 3 | 5 |
 Evan RodriguesBUF | 22 | 15:52 | 0:43 | 1:12 | 4 | 5 |
 Mark StoneOTT | 22 | 15:27 | 0:42 | 1:11 | 2 | 4 |
 Kyle OkposoBUF | 21 | 15:16 | 0:44 | 1:16 | 4 | 4 |
 Bobby RyanOTT | 21 | 15:02 | 0:43 | 1:06 | 3 | 2 |
 Tom PyattOTT | 21 | 14:37 | 0:42 | 1:18 | 1 | 4 |
 Patrik BerglundBUF | 18 | 14:33 | 0:49 | 1:19 | 3 | 6 |
 Zemgus GirgensonsBUF | 19 | 14:30 | 0:46 | 1:11 | 3 | 6 |
 Nick PaulOTT | 19 | 14:28 | 0:46 | 1:09 | 2 | 2 |
 Johan LarssonBUF | 19 | 14:05 | 0:44 | 1:11 | 3 | 6 |
 Magnus PaajarviOTT | 19 | 14:05 | 0:44 | 1:18 | 1 | 5 |
 Vladimir SobotkaBUF | 20 | 14:04 | 0:42 | 1:21 | 2 | 4 |
 Max McCormickOTT | 19 | 13:45 | 0:43 | 1:02 | 2 | 0 |
 Jason PominvilleBUF | 19 | 13:43 | 0:43 | 1:57 | 5 | 0 |
 Chris WidemanOTT | 21 | 13:39 | 0:39 | 1:06 | 2 | 1 |
 Jeff SkinnerBUF | 21 | 13:11 | 0:38 | 1:01 | 5 | 0 |
 Jack EichelBUF | 21 | 12:50 | 0:37 | 0:58 | 5 | 0 |
 Erik BurgdoerferOTT | 16 | 12:08 | 0:46 | 1:12 | 0 | 2 |
 Rasmus DahlinBUF | 10 | 8:58 | 0:54 | 1:12 | 2 | 1 |