Tue, Dec 4, 2018·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit
Tampa Bay Lightning 6, Detroit Red Wings 5 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 80% of the time.
14%
74%
DET winsTBL wins
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 24:03 | 0.15 | 52.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23:58 | 0.14 | 62.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 4 | 22:14 | 0.82 | 45.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21:55 | 0.06 | 68.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 21:29 | 0.09 | 48.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:54 | 0.05 | 54.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 18:33 | 0.21 | 71.8% | +12.4 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 17:17 | 0.44 | 66.8% | +24.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:53 | 0.09 | 83.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 15:31 | 0.12 | 41.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 1 | 15:21 | 0.02 | 61.0% | +23.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:57 | 0.22 | 90.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:36 | 0.38 | 90.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 2 | 14:22 | 0.27 | 78.9% | +38.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 13:51 | 0.00 | 62.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 2 | 13:22 | 0.53 | 70.5% | +38.9 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | +4 | 2 | 12:15 | 0.29 | 68.3% | +76.3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11:56 | 0.03 | 93.0% | +12.4 |
| W | 24 | 19 | 5 | .792 | 2.04 | −3.0 | 65:00 |
Detroit Red Wings
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 25:13 | 0.23 | 46.6% | +32.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 24:52 | 0.00 | 23.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 23:41 | 0.03 | 59.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 22:09 | 0.02 | 18.9% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 7 | 21:36 | 0.52 | 35.8% | +32.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 20:52 | 0.12 | 51.8% | +14.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 20:33 | 0.15 | 38.7% | +39.0 | |
| 3 | 0 | 3 | +2 | 4 | 17:11 | 0.37 | 34.7% | +63.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 16:39 | 0.00 | 28.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:31 | 0.23 | 43.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 16:16 | 0.08 | 19.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 16:08 | 0.11 | 71.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:41 | 0.04 | 36.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 15:22 | 0.13 | 31.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 15:11 | 0.01 | 13.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9:12 | 0.00 | 13.2% | +24.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 7:57 | 0.00 | 13.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:52 | 0.00 | 10.2% | 0.0 |
| O | 35 | 30 | 5 | .857 | 3.93 | −1.1 | 65:00 |