Tue, Dec 4, 2018·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit
Tampa Bay Lightning 6, Detroit Red Wings 5 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 80% of the time.
14%
74%
DET winsTBL wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
DET forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TBL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Killorn–Miller–Cirelli | Johnson–Kucherov–Point | Callahan–Paquette–Joseph | Stamkos–Palat–Gourde | Callahan–Miller–Paquette | Johnson–Palat–Point | Stamkos–Kucherov–Point | Stamkos–Kucherov–Gourde | Killorn–Gourde–Cirelli | Callahan–Stamkos–Gourde | McDonagh–Cernak | Girardi–Hedman | Coburn–Sergachev | Girardi–McDonagh | McDonagh–Sergachev | Coburn–Cernak | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abdelkader–Nyquist–Larkin | 0:540.00–0.00 | 1:320.12–0.00 | 2:280.34–0.10 | 1:500.00–0.16 | 1:310.01–0.27 | 3:190.12–0.27 | 3:130.23–0.12 | 4:140.11–0.33 | 0:480.12–0.00 | |||||||
| Glendening–de la Rose–Rasmussen | 0:360.00–0.00 | 3:290.11–0.26 | 0:340.01–0.00 | 2:240.00–0.19 | 0:450.00–0.03 | 0:480.05–0.09 | 4:290.11–0.20 | 3:290.23–0.32 | 3:120.05–0.28 | |||||||
| Nielsen–Vanek–Athanasiou | 2:550.00–0.09 | 2:090.01–0.30 | 1:200.00–0.22 | 0:330.00–0.00 | 1:000.00–0.00 | 3:210.01–0.30 | 3:090.00–0.09 | 1:200.02–0.11 | ||||||||
| Vanek–Athanasiou–Larkin | 1:010.08–0.09 | 1:350.12–0.25 | ||||||||||||||
| Nyquist–Frk–Ehn | 1:050.00–0.17 | 0:440.00–0.00 | 0:460.00–0.00 | 0:440.00–0.17 | ||||||||||||
| Abdelkader–Athanasiou–Larkin | 0:520.13–0.00 | 1:050.13–0.00 | ||||||||||||||
| Frk–de la Rose–Ehn | 0:340.00–0.02 | 0:340.00–0.00 | 0:310.00–0.04 | 1:270.00–0.06 | ||||||||||||
| Frk–Athanasiou–Ehn | 0:370.00–0.08 | 0:400.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||||
| Vanek–Frk–Ehn | 1:080.00–0.04 | 0:410.00–0.02 | ||||||||||||||
| Jensen–DeKeyser | 1:270.00–0.00 | 4:430.39–0.12 | 1:030.00–0.06 | 0:440.00–0.00 | 1:430.22–0.13 | 4:480.34–0.00 | 3:430.40–0.14 | 3:480.05–0.25 | 0:570.12–0.02 | |||||||
| Kronwall–Green | 3:250.00–0.20 | 1:070.00–0.11 | 0:330.00–0.02 | 1:430.08–0.07 | 0:520.00–0.27 | 3:160.00–0.39 | 3:550.08–0.32 | 2:040.00–0.24 | ||||||||
| Ericsson–Cholowski | 0:390.00–0.02 | 0:320.00–0.01 | 1:500.01–0.26 | 1:420.00–0.18 | 0:550.00–0.16 | 1:020.01–0.25 | 1:560.13–0.19 | 2:390.00–0.19 | 0:350.00–0.00 | |||||||
| Ericsson–Green | 0:340.00–0.03 | 0:490.04–0.00 | 1:000.01–0.01 | 0:310.00–0.04 | 1:020.00–0.17 | 0:350.00–0.15 | 1:500.00–0.15 | |||||||||
| Ericsson–Witkowski | 0:390.00–0.12 | 1:040.00–0.03 | 1:190.00–0.12 | 0:410.00–0.00 | 1:090.00–0.03 | |||||||||||
| Kronwall–Witkowski | 1:250.06–0.00 | 0:480.00–0.09 | 0:410.00–0.11 | 0:420.00–0.00 | 0:500.00–0.09 | 0:550.06–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Jensen–Cholowski | 0:390.00–0.11 | 0:450.00–0.00 | 0:390.00–0.11 | |||||||||||||
| Kronwall–Jensen | 0:330.00–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.00 | 0:520.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||
| Green–Cholowski | 0:490.00–0.00 | 0:300.26–0.05 | ||||||||||||||
| Green–Jensen | 0:560.00–0.00 | 0:580.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||||
| Witkowski–Cholowski | 0:440.01–0.00 | 0:440.01–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
DETTBLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Dylan LarkinDET | 30 | 25:13 | 0:50 | 1:24 | 5 | 5 |
 Mike GreenDET | 30 | 24:52 | 0:50 | 1:57 | 1 | 0 |
 Victor HedmanTBL | 31 | 24:03 | 0:47 | 1:51 | 5 | 1 |
 Ryan McDonaghTBL | 27 | 23:58 | 0:53 | 1:31 | 2 | 3 |
 Nick JensenDET | 28 | 23:41 | 0:51 | 1:56 | 2 | 7 |
 Nikita KucherovTBL | 28 | 22:14 | 0:48 | 1:37 | 7 | 3 |
 Niklas KronwallDET | 29 | 22:09 | 0:46 | 1:49 | 2 | 1 |
 Erik CernakTBL | 25 | 21:55 | 0:53 | 1:51 | 1 | 2 |
 Gustav NyquistDET | 29 | 21:36 | 0:45 | 1:11 | 5 | 4 |
 Brayden PointTBL | 25 | 21:29 | 0:52 | 1:37 | 6 | 1 |
 Justin AbdelkaderDET | 23 | 20:52 | 0:54 | 1:36 | 4 | 3 |
 Andreas AthanasiouDET | 26 | 20:33 | 0:47 | 1:54 | 3 | 1 |
 Dan GirardiTBL | 26 | 18:54 | 0:44 | 1:22 | 3 | 1 |
 Mikhail SergachevTBL | 25 | 18:33 | 0:45 | 1:27 | 4 | 2 |
 Steven StamkosTBL | 23 | 17:17 | 0:45 | 1:51 | 6 | 3 |
 Frans NielsenDET | 26 | 17:11 | 0:40 | 1:23 | 3 | 1 |
 Braydon CoburnTBL | 21 | 16:53 | 0:48 | 1:27 | 2 | 2 |
 Jacob de la RoseDET | 22 | 16:39 | 0:45 | 1:09 | 3 | 5 |
 Luke GlendeningDET | 26 | 16:31 | 0:38 | 1:17 | 3 | 10 |
 Thomas VanekDET | 21 | 16:16 | 0:46 | 1:12 | 2 | 0 |
 Danny DeKeyserDET | 20 | 16:08 | 0:48 | 1:26 | 2 | 7 |
 Dennis CholowskiDET | 22 | 15:41 | 0:43 | 1:26 | 3 | 1 |
 Tyler JohnsonTBL | 22 | 15:31 | 0:42 | 1:41 | 3 | 2 |
 Michael RasmussenDET | 20 | 15:22 | 0:46 | 1:26 | 4 | 5 |
 Yanni GourdeTBL | 21 | 15:21 | 0:44 | 1:37 | 5 | 2 |
 Jonathan EricssonDET | 17 | 15:11 | 0:54 | 1:44 | 0 | 3 |
 Anthony CirelliTBL | 21 | 14:57 | 0:43 | 1:15 | 1 | 4 |
 Alex KillornTBL | 19 | 14:36 | 0:46 | 1:38 | 1 | 3 |
 Ryan CallahanTBL | 20 | 14:22 | 0:43 | 1:00 | 1 | 2 |
 Ondrej PalatTBL | 19 | 13:51 | 0:44 | 1:10 | 5 | 2 |
 Cedric PaquetteTBL | 19 | 13:22 | 0:42 | 1:05 | 2 | 2 |
 Mathieu JosephTBL | 18 | 12:15 | 0:41 | 1:05 | 1 | 1 |
 J.T. MillerTBL | 17 | 11:56 | 0:42 | 1:15 | 3 | 2 |
 Luke WitkowskiDET | 12 | 9:12 | 0:46 | 1:11 | 2 | 1 |
 Christoffer EhnDET | 13 | 7:57 | 0:37 | 1:20 | 0 | 0 |
 Martin FrkDET | 13 | 7:52 | 0:36 | 0:56 | 1 | 0 |