Mon, Apr 1, 2019·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa
Tampa Bay Lightning 5, Ottawa Senators 2
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 56% of the time.
34%
10%
11%
45%
OTT winsTBL wins
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 25:09 | 0.09 | 51.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 23:14 | 0.07 | 43.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 6 | 20:06 | 0.17 | 43.4% | +36.6 | |
| 0 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 1 | 19:36 | 0.11 | 53.8% | +55.9 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 1 | 19:00 | 0.27 | 58.6% | +34.3 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 0 | 18:53 | 0.02 | 37.6% | +36.6 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 2 | 18:23 | 0.26 | 54.7% | +49.3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 17:45 | 0.48 | 47.4% | +0.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 16:12 | 0.15 | 92.4% | +0.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 15:41 | 0.11 | 78.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:16 | 0.00 | 32.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 12:58 | 0.00 | 15.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 12:48 | 0.00 | 92.4% | +0.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:45 | 0.08 | 59.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:10 | 0.05 | 59.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 12:07 | 0.03 | 70.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:34 | 0.35 | 59.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:37 | 0.00 | 10.1% | 0.0 |
| W | 24 | 22 | 2 | .917 | 1.95 | −0.1 | 59:44 |
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 22:15 | 0.04 | 39.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 3 | 21:34 | 0.04 | 59.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19:09 | 0.17 | 43.7% | +19.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 18:58 | 0.03 | 37.7% | +19.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:44 | 0.02 | 32.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −3 | 0 | 18:07 | 0.00 | 59.5% | +14.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 18:06 | 0.17 | 13.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 17:46 | 0.30 | 79.9% | +19.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:26 | 0.00 | 40.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:46 | 0.00 | 13.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:29 | 0.09 | 32.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:28 | 0.00 | 26.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:22 | 0.32 | 38.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 5 | 14:02 | 0.24 | 60.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:12 | 0.35 | 76.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 13:12 | 0.07 | 68.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 11:48 | 0.00 | 39.3% | +14.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 10:36 | 0.11 | 23.8% | +14.6 |
| L | 26 | 21 | 5 | .808 | 2.26 | −2.7 | 60:00 |