Mon, Apr 1, 2019·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa
Tampa Bay Lightning 5, Ottawa Senators 2
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 56% of the time.
34%
10%
11%
45%
OTT winsTBL wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
OTT forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TBL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Kucherov–Gourde–Point | Stamkos–Palat–Joseph | Miller–Paquette–Erne | Killorn–Johnson–Cirelli | McDonagh–Cernak | Coburn–Sergachev | Gaunce–Rutta | McDonagh–Rutta | Coburn–Cernak | McDonagh–Sergachev | Coburn–Rutta | Gaunce–Cernak | Gaunce–Sergachev | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pageau–Duclair–Tkachuk | 3:340.20–0.18 | 1:280.00–0.00 | 2:350.11–0.03 | 2:080.10–0.18 | 0:420.04–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.00 | |||||||
| Gibbons–White–Tkachuk | 0:440.00–0.00 | 4:080.02–0.22 | 0:410.00–0.03 | 2:440.00–0.19 | 0:500.01–0.00 | 0:380.00–0.00 | 0:350.01–0.00 | ||||||
| Lindberg–Gibbons–Veronneau | 0:560.00–0.21 | 0:590.00–0.02 | 1:060.01–0.00 | 1:320.00–0.02 | 1:260.00–0.21 | ||||||||
| Ryan–Tierney–Balcers | 1:020.00–0.02 | 0:510.00–0.00 | 1:050.00–0.03 | 0:470.00–0.02 | 0:360.00–0.02 | 1:070.00–0.00 | |||||||
| Smith–Paajarvi–Tierney | 0:430.02–0.14 | 1:350.00–0.00 | 0:560.00–0.00 | 1:420.00–0.20 | |||||||||
| Paajarvi–Lindberg–Duclair | 1:300.00–0.00 | 0:350.00–0.00 | 0:360.00–0.00 | 0:410.00–0.00 | 1:260.00–0.00 | 0:530.00–0.00 | |||||||
| Smith–Paajarvi–Lindberg | 0:360.04–0.02 | 1:200.00–0.00 | 0:350.00–0.00 | 1:170.04–0.02 | |||||||||
| Gibbons–White–Veronneau | 0:450.00–0.00 | 0:340.02–0.10 | 0:350.00–0.00 | 1:540.02–0.10 | |||||||||
| Ryan–White–Balcers | 0:560.00–0.02 | 0:350.00–0.00 | 1:260.00–0.03 | ||||||||||
| Smith–Pageau–Veronneau | 1:200.07–0.00 | 0:420.07–0.00 | 0:470.00–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Ryan–Paajarvi–Pageau | 0:550.00–0.03 | 1:050.00–0.03 | |||||||||||
| Ceci–Wolanin | 2:470.02–0.29 | 6:100.03–0.19 | 1:170.00–0.00 | 2:480.04–0.00 | 5:090.64–0.23 | 2:310.01–0.14 | 0:580.00–0.00 | 1:110.08–0.00 | 0:570.01–0.00 | ||||
| DeMelo–Chabot | 6:110.32–0.18 | 2:480.03–0.35 | 2:310.00–0.00 | 1:290.00–0.02 | 6:140.18–0.16 | 2:520.10–0.18 | 1:540.00–0.21 | 0:470.00–0.00 | 0:470.06–0.00 | 0:310.01–0.00 | |||
| Harpur–Jaros | 2:080.00–0.00 | 0:570.00–0.06 | 2:340.07–0.08 | 4:510.07–0.00 | 2:550.01–0.03 | 3:210.00–0.06 | 4:560.12–0.11 | 0:430.00–0.03 | |||||
| Ceci–Harpur | 0:450.00–0.02 | ||||||||||||
| Chabot–Jaros | 0:470.00–0.00 | 0:360.00–0.00 | 0:450.00–0.00 | 0:470.00–0.00 | |||||||||
| Ceci–Chabot |
Every shift, one row per player.
OTTTBLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Ryan McDonaghTBL | 26 | 25:09 | 0:58 | 1:34 | 1 | 8 |
 Erik CernakTBL | 26 | 23:14 | 0:54 | 1:56 | 2 | 4 |
 Thomas ChabotOTT | 24 | 22:15 | 0:56 | 1:51 | 5 | 1 |
 Cody CeciOTT | 25 | 21:34 | 0:52 | 1:42 | 1 | 3 |
 Mikhail SergachevTBL | 21 | 20:06 | 0:57 | 2:56 | 4 | 1 |
 Nikita KucherovTBL | 20 | 19:36 | 0:59 | 2:20 | 4 | 1 |
 Brady TkachukOTT | 24 | 19:09 | 0:48 | 1:55 | 6 | 1 |
 Brayden PointTBL | 20 | 19:00 | 0:57 | 1:49 | 4 | 1 |
 Dylan DeMeloOTT | 23 | 18:58 | 0:49 | 1:40 | 4 | 3 |
 Braydon CoburnTBL | 23 | 18:53 | 0:49 | 1:56 | 3 | 1 |
 Ben HarpurOTT | 22 | 18:44 | 0:51 | 2:31 | 3 | 4 |
 Yanni GourdeTBL | 19 | 18:23 | 0:58 | 1:25 | 1 | 2 |
 Christian WolaninOTT | 22 | 18:07 | 0:49 | 1:46 | 1 | 0 |
 Colin WhiteOTT | 24 | 18:06 | 0:45 | 1:22 | 6 | 1 |
 Jean-Gabriel PageauOTT | 25 | 17:46 | 0:43 | 1:18 | 5 | 2 |
 Steven StamkosTBL | 19 | 17:45 | 0:56 | 2:04 | 4 | 2 |
 Christian JarosOTT | 19 | 16:26 | 0:52 | 2:07 | 4 | 2 |
 Ondrej PalatTBL | 18 | 16:12 | 0:54 | 1:33 | 3 | 2 |
 Brian GibbonsOTT | 18 | 15:46 | 0:53 | 1:51 | 1 | 3 |
 Jan RuttaTBL | 23 | 15:41 | 0:41 | 1:15 | 1 | 2 |
 Oscar LindbergOTT | 23 | 15:29 | 0:40 | 1:22 | 5 | 2 |
 Magnus PaajarviOTT | 20 | 14:28 | 0:43 | 1:18 | 2 | 3 |
 Chris TierneyOTT | 19 | 14:22 | 0:45 | 1:52 | 1 | 2 |
 Anthony CirelliTBL | 17 | 14:16 | 0:50 | 1:51 | 2 | 7 |
 Anthony DuclairOTT | 21 | 14:02 | 0:40 | 1:17 | 4 | 2 |
 Bobby RyanOTT | 18 | 13:12 | 0:44 | 1:18 | 4 | 0 |
 Zack SmithOTT | 19 | 13:12 | 0:42 | 1:07 | 2 | 3 |
 Cedric PaquetteTBL | 17 | 12:58 | 0:46 | 1:32 | 1 | 2 |
 Mathieu JosephTBL | 16 | 12:48 | 0:48 | 1:23 | 2 | 1 |
 J.T. MillerTBL | 15 | 12:45 | 0:51 | 1:46 | 0 | 2 |
 Alex KillornTBL | 17 | 12:10 | 0:43 | 1:26 | 1 | 4 |
 Cameron GaunceTBL | 15 | 12:07 | 0:48 | 1:52 | 0 | 2 |
 Rudolfs BalcersOTT | 16 | 11:48 | 0:44 | 1:18 | 3 | 0 |
 Tyler JohnsonTBL | 15 | 11:34 | 0:46 | 1:26 | 1 | 3 |
 Adam ErneTBL | 15 | 10:37 | 0:42 | 1:05 | 1 | 1 |
 Max VeronneauOTT | 13 | 10:36 | 0:49 | 1:51 | 0 | 1 |