Sat, Feb 29, 2020·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa
Detroit Red Wings 3, Ottawa Senators 4 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 94% of the time.
92%
OTT winsDET wins
Detroit Red Wings
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 27:08 | 0.04 | 25.5% | +26.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 22:04 | 0.01 | 50.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21:43 | 0.26 | 42.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21:22 | 0.00 | 47.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 20:45 | 0.16 | 50.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 19:57 | 0.16 | 30.8% | +41.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19:40 | 0.32 | 27.9% | +14.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18:46 | 0.33 | 30.8% | +14.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:27 | 0.06 | 53.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:57 | 0.16 | 60.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14:35 | 0.36 | 48.7% | +26.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 14:33 | 0.09 | 58.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13:14 | 0.11 | 71.8% | +19.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:54 | 0.00 | 33.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:44 | 0.01 | 64.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 12:09 | 0.02 | 26.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 11:28 | 0.22 | 54.9% | +19.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 11:00 | 0.00 | 49.4% | 0.0 |
| O | 39 | 36 | 3 | .923 | 6.56 | +3.6 | 64:57 |
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 30:35 | 0.25 | 50.5% | +28.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 23:45 | 1.12 | 43.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 23:30 | 0.08 | 63.4% | +13.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22:31 | 0.80 | 29.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22:19 | 0.11 | 61.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21:43 | 0.00 | 46.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20:51 | 0.26 | 39.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 20:06 | 0.66 | 32.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 19:09 | 0.37 | 32.1% | +13.9 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 10 | 18:27 | 1.65 | 81.2% | +40.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 16:18 | 0.29 | 79.5% | +26.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:36 | 0.24 | 15.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12:56 | 0.02 | 63.6% | +26.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:18 | 0.00 | 56.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10:06 | 0.38 | 60.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:58 | 0.01 | 56.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9:42 | 0.00 | 70.6% | +28.2 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 7:41 | 0.34 | 74.0% | +28.2 |
| W | 28 | 25 | 3 | .893 | 2.30 | −0.7 | 65:00 |